Ethan

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Ethan

Ethan

@ESIM3N

My thoughts here and there for the history books.

London, England Beigetreten Kasım 2017
275 Folgt63 Follower
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
The definition of a superpower is changing. It’s no longer just about who can run the system, but who can disrupt it. Control of chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz gives states leverage to shape global decisions without dominating the entire order.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
Seems legit.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
VP: Iranians had to go back to Tehran to ask for permission on the deal.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@WilliamT4479 @DanMKervick Sure thing, coming from a guy whose country actually used the nuclear bomb. Not once but twice but yea we take your word for it.
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🇺🇸William Teague 🇺🇸
@DanMKervick No one wants Iran to have a nuclear bomb. No. One. Wants. Iran. To. Have. A. Nuclear. Bomb. NO. ONE. WANTS. ITAN. TO. HAVE. A. NUCLEAR. BOMB. How many times do we have to keep telling you idiots this simple fact. If they get a nuclear bomb they will use it.
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Dan Kervick
Dan Kervick@DanMKervick·
Iran is allowed to enrich uranium under international law. Iran is allowed to have a peaceful nuclear energy program under international law. The United States is a dangerous outlaw nation running an outlaw regime. Other nations have a duty to enforce international law.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@DanMKervick Unfortunately international law is thing of past with the way the president of USA is following the prime minister of Israel into the biggest blunder of the modern history.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
Trump is “blockading” a Strait that was already “blocked,” except it wasn’t actually blocked to begin with—foreign policy by Schrödinger.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@themaxburns It is so sad and true that i had to come and say bravo.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
It is the calm before the storm. Oil, Markets, Fucktopia.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@mjfree Prescribing policies with zero side-effect warnings.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@MarioNawfal Criticising others on human rights… while sitting on the Security Council after decades of wars is like hosting a fire safety seminar with a flamethrower
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@piersmorgan ‘Didn’t have this on my bingo card’ Yeah… because your bingo card is based on stereotypes
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Piers Morgan
Piers Morgan@piersmorgan·
I didn’t have this on my Bingo card for 2026, and I had a lot of crazy sh*t on my Bingo card for 2026…
Masoud Pezeshkian@drpezeshkian

His Holiness Pope Leo XIV (@Pontifex), I condemn the insult to Your Excellency on behalf of the great nation of Iran, and declare that the desecration of Jesus, the prophet of peace and brotherhood, is not acceptable to any free person. I wish you glory by Allah.

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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@amrwaked Directed by Christopher Epstolan
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Amr Waked
Amr Waked@amrwaked·
Breaking: - Donald Trump to star in the Epic Film « Pirates of the Hormuz », produced by Pedoflix
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@MarioNawfal Maybe the two for one deal that Bibi sold Trump on had the chinese part for free but this has always been about Bibi's dream to attack Iran.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
This war has always been and continues to be about China
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
Blaming everything on Iran is convenient… but the path to this crisis has been built step by step by Israeli escalation.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
@hasanahmadian You don’t need to break a blockade… just make it too expensive to enforce.
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Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان
🔹 التهديد بفرض حصار على إيران يفترض أن: 1. إيران لا تستطيع كسر الحصار بالقوة بعد فرضه عليها. 2. سيستغرق الأمر من الولايات المتحدة وقتًا قصيرًا لكسر إيران والتحكم في أسعار الطاقة. 🔹 غير أن هذه افتراضات إشكالية بعد 39 يومًا من الحرب، حيث: 1. أبقت حاملات الطائرات الأمريكية على مسافة بعيدة، خوفًا من القدرات العسكرية الإيرانية. 2. يكفي أن تصمد إيران فقط-حتى من دون حرب-لترتفع أسواق الطاقة بشكل كبير. الأرجح أن هذا التهديد يرمي لدعم الموقف التفاوضي الأمريكي. غير أنه لا يمكن لإيران إلا أن تكون مستعدة لأسوأ السيناريوهات.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
Most US refineries are built for heavy crude. Domestic output is mostly light. So they export light oil… and still need Middle East barrels to run the system.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
The real question isn’t if it closes… it’s how violently it does.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
Benchmarks say $98 Refiners are paying $120+ Paper is still negotiating… physical already made the decision
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
The system was built for efficiency… not for shocks. That’s where the leverage comes from.
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Ethan
Ethan@ESIM3N·
The definition of a superpower is changing. It’s no longer just about who can run the system, but who can disrupt it. Control of chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz gives states leverage to shape global decisions without dominating the entire order.
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