Nacho
7K posts

Nacho
@ElNachoCrypto
Variational arc 'the next trade is all that matters'

"Crypto is the dumbest market in the world" Scott Phillips (@ScottPh77711570) runs HyperTrend — $20M of his own capital, one losing year in six. His edge? Picking the table big firms can't sit at. "There's no second-best counterparty in crypto. You see crime, you run towards it — crime is the foundation of edge." We cover: - Why crypto still has edge in 2026 — even when your uncle is talking about Bitcoin at Thanksgiving - The simple rules (buy 20-day highs, top-20 coins) that print through any market - Why stacking trend + momentum + carry gets you there from a spreadsheet — no automation required - Price-insensitive buyers (Saylor), price-insensitive sellers (North Korea) & why both are permanent alpha - The 90-day Binance listing short — an edge hiding in plain sight in market maker contracts - Why most shit coins trend to zero — and how to trade the ones that don't - Building a tokenized, permissionless DeFi hedge fund on hyperliquid — 2 & 20, fully on-chain - Why the best quant firms are run by near-non-verbal autists with one translator Thank you so much @ScottPh77711570 for coming on the pod! Highlights: 01:04 Table selection and the math of competitive alpha 06:21 Why basic trend following yields outsized Sharpe in crypto 08:49 Why market inefficiency persists despite institutional inflows 14:58 Price insensitive buyers: Cults, VCs, and North Korean hackers 17:17 Factor analysis and the size-decay effect in shitcoins 25:40 The structural edge in mid-frequency crypto strategies 32:43 Tokenized DeFi vaults and on-chain hedge fund governance 40:43 Designing a robust portfolio: Equal weighting vs. MVO 44:21 Sourcing alpha from ghost chains and VC exit liquidity 49:58 Exploiting market maker contracts and post-listing drift 53:55 Operational alpha: Managing margin and manipulated funding rates 01:01:13 Shifting from quant to CEO 01:11:28 How to bridge the mentorship gap with elite traders 01:22:38 Building network triads: The secret to compounding social capital 01:29:23 Why 10x goals require total identity transformation

关于var我是这么想的,目前处于最后的拿分窗口期,5月RWA出来,如果真的能做到流动性最高,点差最小,品种最全,加上后续紧接的olp开放,api交易开放,散户们后面也就没什么拿分的机会了。如果rwa做的不好,那就是10.10后的某包,分随便拿但是不值钱。 成王败寇,5月见分晓

Every durable retail platform of the last decade has converged on the same product direction: a single account, a single UI, and the broadest possible asset menu with the deepest available liquidity. IB's "universal broker" positioning across 150+ markets drives ~25% YoY account growth. eToro sells itself on equities, crypto, ETFs, CFDs in one app. SoFi members using 2+ products retain and monetize materially better. Hyperliquid's own move from perps-only into spot, HIP-3 RWA markets, and a superapp direction tracks the same pattern. What no venue (especially on-chain) offers today is that consolidation with high-quality execution in perpetual futures across every RWA the user wants to trade. Traders juggle a Korean broker for KRX names, Robinhood or IBKR for US equities, an FX platform for currencies, a CFD provider for indices, and a crypto exchange for perps--each with its own balance, margin, tax, and UX. The first venue that delivers tight, stable execution across equities, global indices, commodities, FX, and regional single-names **as perpetuals, in one account, 24/7** will capture a massive increase in demand. Not because retail doesn't know what they want, but because until now no one could make the long tail liquid. More to come about the Variational Vision and our three-stage rollout for RWA markets.

variational traders after $VAR tge







introducing: 'good new things' a new series of spaces exploring what's new and exciting in crypto ep1 looks at @get_truenorth, w/@Mattixbt co-hosting wed 22nd april @ 11pm utc, link/details in post below


introducing: 'good new things' a new series of spaces exploring what's new and exciting in crypto ep1 looks at @get_truenorth, w/@Mattixbt co-hosting wed 22nd april @ 11pm utc, link/details in post below

introducing: 'good new things' a new series of spaces exploring what's new and exciting in crypto ep1 looks at @get_truenorth, w/@Mattixbt co-hosting wed 22nd april @ 11pm utc, link/details in post below


So the ceasefire was actually delayed ? Added some longs back (btc and eth) Now let’s see how the situation develops around the strait




