Leywaster Kujupiston
408 posts




Seeing the comment section reminds me of something i wrote earlier this year... Whales build beliefs/narratives, and the longer they allow these beliefs/narratives run, the more people will join as a "believer". Eventually, and when most will take decisions based on "what happens all the time" and "consensus", it will do a 180° I'm not sure if it will be anytime soon, but Saylor purchases have already built this "it's going down for sure" belief, and this idea is still growing. Whales "enter your mind" and drop an idea/belief without you noticing, and this goes on for a while, because it's a process that takes time (mind manipulation) Jim Cramer counter-tradoooooor has been working wonders for a long while, until it doesn't, and investors will fail, and then begin revenge-trading. Another narrative is the moon phases: x.com/Moneytaur_/sta… It's not the moon moving the markets. It's actually the collective belief in its power that sways outcomes. Eventually it's "accuracy" will subside, believers in those narratives enter Denial once their expectation fails, leading them down a path called "Death spiral" while assuming it's just a "one-off mistake" It's how they play with investors minds, deceiving and manipulating them. If you don't understand the psychology in this game, you will be +1 sheep whales will toy with. They're ahead of all of us. We either understand their mindset or we get REKT. ALWAYS assess carefully when an opinion is already consensus and what seems most logical. Don't follow the herd 🤝







Market Update (Operation Hardhome ❄️) V.4 (Previous Updates: 🎯🎯🎯) Very important update, we just had a bullish BOS on BTC & TOTAL which I will lay out my plans for. I know most of you understood the previous updates, as it's just a few accounts complaining vs the hundreds liking and actually reading my hardhome updates. But this is the "weak reverse titanic" I have been talking about, I just chose not to personally execute on it & of course could have done better. Many were left sidelined, but that's okay as it's been a BTC led rally. Most alts still within discount and if this sticks as a (sustainable) bottom then there is still a lot of upside to go. But, we first need to decipher if whales have the intention of manipulating or keeping this reversal. I'll talk about everything you need to know about what happens next and how I will plan. Here's a couple refresher posts for those who thought I was "bearish" and didn't give bottom signals 👇 TOTAL took it's key level simultaneously with Tether & TOTAL2 taking liquidity which gave the green light to scale into spot plays that once again gave free money. 💠x.com/TraderDune/sta… 💠x.com/TraderDune/sta… 💠x.com/TraderDune/sta… 💠x.com/TraderDune/sta… Titanic Update: Weak Reverse Titanic played out: 💠x.com/TraderDune/sta… "My timeframe for 72k to be hit and activate my "golden dawn" as a reverse titanic event would end in a couple days. Otherwise, I either expect a real titanic or an extremely disappointing reverse titanic." $BTC Very important read here, so stay with me. In every market update series, I give each major 2 goals: Break structure or take liquidity. Unlike the other 3 majors, BTC broke structure without taking any liquidity. So, there is a couple scenarios that may play out. First, let's understand the FACTS. Bitcoin just reclaimed it's PSH of 88k and broke market structure. That is the 72k invalidation, the "until proven otherwise". Many think this was my analysis, but that's just market structure principal. Now, 72k being invalidated means nothing about the level. It's still semi-optimal and my thoughts about it have never changed. As for directional shift sustainability, we need a BOS confirmation. A pullback into liquidity to form a HL, then reversal into reclaiming the new PSH for BOS confirmation. The pullback zones I marked out on the chart, it's also where I'll be looking to enter other alts that pullback into liquidity. My risk size will be normal HTF risk, not my spot risk. But, I will be extending my targets as it was spot. So basically, de-scaled spot positions. Why is that ? Like I said, to me this should be treated as a "weak reverse titanic" until proven otherwise. BTC bounced nearly 30% of pure oxygen, not even taking liquidity within it's range built on oxygen. This is indeed following the July 24' playbook which I keep repeating for a reason. If this is a major manipulated bull-trap, this will fall hard like it did in late July due to the lack of liquidity (fuel). To me, 96k is the potential make or break point. Reminds me of the 69k supply that I shorted back in late July 24' that sent btc down to 49k rapidly ⚡️. The Key PSL, is the 12H PSL. That's a must hold, breaking down there is a major hint of a fake BO. Helpful posts 👇 💠Manipulation closes by MMs on Bitcoin. They did this in July 24’ and most importantly Jan 22’ x.com/TraderDune/sta… 💠BTC Levels in depth x.com/TraderDune/sta… 💠Hardhome V.4 re-emphaized x.com/TraderDune/sta… $USDT.D The supply zone I marked was hit & rejected putting in the local top & a bearish 3-Drives, giving confluence alongside TOTAL/TOTAL2 to enter alts like I said. Now, we did put in a HTF SFP on tether dominance but the contest came in the last hours of the day. I am more intrigued by todays close to see if we get a BOS or a SFP, so heavily monitor that. The last time tether dominance put in a bullish SFP it marked the top. The fib levels is where I would start to de-risk from bottom longs. Also confluence for where BTC may reverse back down. Also, added 2 supply levels for pullback considerations. $TOTAL The 2.35T HOB gave the bottom, like I said ON THE CHART... confluence to enter spot & likely to see a relief rally occur there 🎯🎯. Same scenario in BTC in terms of current playbook's step 2: We broke MS, now need a pullback into liquidity and reclaim the newly formed PSH. You don't wanna see up-only here. I marked Demand levels for pullback confluences. #TOTAL2 Still a way to go to reclaim bullish MS as alts are once again lagging behind and underperforming compared to BTC. That just shows, when you zoom out that if this is a REAL reversal then sideliners are missing out on nothing. We are approaching the same exact supply level that BTC has at 96k, that to me is major confluence as it could also reject & put in a bearish HTF SFP. But, if you wanna enter spot on a pullback, you wanna see a successful reclaim of that PSH followed by a pullback into the demand levels I marked. NOTE: BTC.D is closing in on my last macro target of 67% ♨️ as ETHBTC is nearing EXTREME DISCOUNT macro range lows. -------- PS: Wait for the pullback into liquidity to enter small scaled spot longs with reasonable targets. If we don't get that & instead continue upwards without a pullback, watch out for the manipulation signs I talked about and prepare for July 24' playbook.






Btw, for the bullish scenario, you'd want to see some form of retracement before heading towards ATH. If we keep going straight up towards ATH, that would greatly increase the odds of a rejection at ATH, possibly even before it. So don't fear a pullback, welcome it.






















