Likes2Trade
569 posts

Likes2Trade
@Likes2T
Early morning Trades Do your own DD, not a professional. All my opinions are my own.
Beigetreten Ocak 2022
14 Folgt23 Follower

@jsn421942 Not many lotto plays with odds slightly better than a coin flip. Bought another 300K in OTC
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@Likes2T Appreciate the response. No point in liquidating at this point. Worst case at this point is it just ends up helping my taxes next year.
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$ITRM from the article below that mentions the recent 4 bankruptcies. One is not like the others (see below). There is a vacuum of de-risked, FDA approved quality assets available in this patent cliff M&A frenzied environment.
fiercepharma.com/pharma/iterum-…

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@jsn421942 A buyout will happen, whether it clears $60M is the question. Hiring a global powerhouse (who typically resolves complex multi billion deals) to handle the deal is telling. It isn’t over despite what the uninformed believe.
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@Likes2T In your opinon, can a buy out still happen? I know it is now on OTC but I don't really see the point in liquidating to save my remaining 5%.
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@clinicnerds Shionogi is a perfect fit with Japan’s AMR focus and subsidies (and Orlynvah’s patent).
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@clinicnerds Absolutely. By hiring Teneo they went full overkill. To me it implies there are dollars to be had above debt. Anything over ~$60M goes to equity.
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@Likes2T Interesting comparison - maybe Innoviva will bid on Orlynvah.
Can shareholders get anything in liquidation?
How far down the capital structure are shareholders? There is a debt to Pfizer ($20m?), outstanding bills to Eversana and whoever manufactures Orlynvah for them.
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$itrm @HCWCO How is that $5-$9 price target doing? Surely even a failure of a CEO in Fishman can’t deter buyers…
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$ITRM We all see the discord pump groups. In between the already 400M volume and 5 turns is the smart positions accumulating under the radar with no clues. Does this sell for more or less than $80M - $100M? Find another fully de-risked drug like this currently available...
Likes2Trade@Likes2T
$itrm Find a drug like this: All 3 PBM coverage, commercial traction, novel wonder-drug, global long lasting patents... that sold for less than $100M. You can't, Fishman failed. Let's hope cooler heads prevail with this bought-my-CEO-seat 🤡 on the sidelines.
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@clinicnerds @Assholetrading @Twills08 Unless I’m wrong they don’t have ROFR, otherwise I doubt we would have two parties this far along. We need these two to be mid-sized plug and play suitors. The recipe is there for this liquidation sale to force competitive bids. You wont find another drug in this stage before.
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@Assholetrading @Twills08 @Likes2T Maybe $PFE buys it back - plugs it into their global salesforce - over the next decade is multibagger - doesn't move the needle much but could help cover their nice dividend payout
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@clinicnerds Two bidders explicitly mentioned in the 8K. Mendoza line is $80M that leaves $25M+ to equity. 10x min from here unless some underhanded shenanigans are underway.
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