Marc Novicoff

@mattyglesias @theisabelb There’s not infinite data on this but it does seem like Gen Z men are indeed more likely to want to get married and have kids than Gen Z women nbcnews.com/politics/polit… vox.com/podcasts/48087…

@jbarro theatlantic.com/politics/archi…

There are still all these national guard troops standing around DC. This is, among other things, a tremendous waste of money.

Mandatory E-Verify, the easiest choice in immigration policy as soon as you make all the hard ones theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/…

@JerusalemDemsas theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

looking for some good criticisms about polyamory and its implications for feminism and/or the left. anyone seen anything on this?

@mattyglesias @halbennet What percentage of the hypothetical-marginal-housing-built-because-of-the-bill was supposed to be BTR? I would have guessed a small number. Is that wrong? I'm not sure I see how this provision could be such a big deal unless BTR was meant to represent a huge share of it

Republicans are trying to pass a bill that will probably hurt their chances of winning future elections. Democrats won't let them. theatlantic.com/politics/2026/…

@JedKolko Are you surprised that net migration stayed positive?

Close watchers know that Census and CBO immigration estimates disagreed in recent years. Good news: they now have aligned.

🚨🚨🚨 New annual Census population estimates show much slower immigration in year to July 1, 2025. The 1.3m estimate covers the second half of 2024 and first half of 2025. Projections for 2nd half 2025 show further slowing. Little revision to 2022-2024 estimates.

@cremieuxrecueil I wrote about this! theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

The UN projection for South Korean fertility is wildly, insanely, gobsmackingly optimistic. Come on, man.

The biggest reason Trump's approval rate has dropped is affordability. The reason people won't embrace Democrats is culture. As @jonathanchait and I write, Gavin Newsom, the overwhelming Dem favorite at the moment, has huge weaknesses on both fronts theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/01/…

I wrote about whether we have crossed the line, from democracy to...various other things theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/01/…

The special election last night in Tennessee showed how strong the Democrats' current position is, and also, how much stronger it could be theatlantic.com/politics/2025/…

@KootHoomi70 You can definitely argue about the right way to end gerrymandering, but that's not the argument going on

@MarcNovicoff HR1 was also biased because the "community of interest" provision could only protect Democratic areas (which are concentrated in a few localities), not GOP ones (which are dispersed across numerous localities) It didn't purport to have a solution to the Massachusetts problem.

I wrote about gerrymandering, where every constraint on the practice is falling away, and Republicans are not interested in an off-ramp. Including most of the ones whose careers will be ended by it.

@ImNotOwned This is a @BenKrauss5 post btw. Matt didn't write this article slowboring.com/p/the-take-bak…

Democrats had a great night on Tuesday, but performing well in off-year elections was never the problem--being competitive in more states is the problem! theatlantic.com/politics/2025/…

“BREAKING NEWS: SPORTS BETTING IN TEXAS IS NOW LEGAL” ; “BREAKING NEWS: SPORTS BETTING IN CALIFORNIA IS NOW LEGAL” theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

@jasonfurman I haven't dug that deeply into the Social Security modeling, but for the UN WPP, the answer is that fertility has declined before and rebounded, so that will just happen again. You can see the Trustees allude to that here theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

Fertility rates are way below what the Social Security Trustees projected in both 2000 and 2010. And yet they have barely updated their long-run forecast. What's the best argument for the plausibility of their forecast?

My latest for @TheAtlantic: Democrats say they need to moderate. So why haven’t they started?