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#MaxSwap_ExpertView ⚡ Why cryptocurrencies hold up when everything else is falling Global markets are currently operating in a constant state of tension. The conflict in the Middle East is escalating, and the Strait of Hormuz is facing the threat of a blockade a critical route through which about 20% of the world’s oil supply passes. 📈 Brent crude has climbed above $114, and stock markets are reacting predictably: the S&P 500 is declining, Indian markets are falling, and emerging market currencies are hitting new lows. At the same time, another concern is growing: artificial intelligence is increasingly replacing human jobs, amplifying social and economic instability. In such an environment, risk assets usually drop sharply. Yet Bitcoin continues to hold above $67,000, which may seem unusual. Part of the explanation lies in the fundamental shift in demand structure. Major players such as Strategy are no longer trying to time the market. Instead, they systematically accumulate BTC through capital market instruments — issuing shares and convertible bonds, and converting the raised capital into bitcoin on their corporate balance sheets. This is not trading; it is a long-term accumulation strategy. In practice, the capital markets are effectively financing BTC purchases, while the company itself becomes a leveraged proxy bet on Bitcoin. ✨ The second part of the explanation relates to supply mechanics. Around 95% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist has already been mined, and BTC reserves on exchanges have dropped to roughly 2.7 million coins, a multi-year low. Coins are moving into cold wallets, ETFs, and corporate treasuries. When liquid supply shrinks, the market becomes less sensitive to negative news. However, it would be naive to draw overly romantic conclusions. The 21 million supply cap has been known to the market for more than a decade and does not move the price by itself. Bitcoin is holding up not simply because it is scarce, but because there is a steady flow of buyers right now: ETFs, corporations, and institutional funds. If that flow slows down, no mathematical scarcity will save the market. The current resilience of crypto is not a final victory over macroeconomics. It is the result of several factors combined: institutional demand, shrinking liquid supply, and the emerging infrastructural role of digital assets in global finance. The only open question is how sustainable this demand will be when the market starts testing its strength again.

#MaxSwap_ExpertView 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Cryptocurrency During Global Turmoil ⚡ Today, all attention is focused on one event — military operations against Iran. For us, the key question is: how is the crypto market reacting, and what are analysts saying? BTC sharply corrected on the first headlines, and volatility remains elevated. However, on March 2, all 12 U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded $458 million in net inflows in a single day — not a single fund saw outflows. This marked the first positive day after five consecutive weeks of negative flows. BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for $263 million of that total. Fidelity’s FBTC added $94 million. ETH ETFs brought in $38.7 million, while SOL ETFs attracted $17.4 million. The numbers suggest that large players used the moment to accumulate. Currently, about 11.1 million BTC are in profit and 8.9 million BTC are at a loss, and this gap continues to narrow. Historically, when these two metrics converge, the market has found its bottom — November 2022 at $15K and March 2020 at $3K. Meanwhile, leveraged speculators have largely exited or been liquidated, with open interest on Binance down 40% since the beginning of the year. The market has flushed out emotional traders. What are analysts saying? Arthur Hayes reminds us that every major U.S. military campaign in the Middle East since 1985 has ultimately ended with the Fed printing money. His current strategy: wait for a signal from the Fed, then buy. VanEck CEO Jan Van Eck told CNBC directly: “2026 is the fourth year of the four-year cycle — that’s why we’re in a bear market. But prices are already close to the bottom.” Ray Dalio, speaking outside of crypto, recommends buying gold, which reached $5,400 at peak fear. As a result, tokenized gold also became a winner. PAXG traded $310 million in volume on Binance, and XAUT entered the top three by volume on OKX. Within the crypto infrastructure itself, participants chose defensive assets in real time. ♾ It’s also notable that $10.3 million in outflows were recorded from Iranian exchanges starting February 28. Citizens are moving toward self-custody, including via BTC — as seen in previous Iranian crises. Polymarket assigns a 15% probability of regime collapse in Iran before March 31. For now, however, the market is not pricing in a global catastrophe. A historical parallel is also worth noting: after a similar strike in June 2025, BTC fell 6%, then rallied 62% over the following two months. Leverage has largely been cleared, on-chain accumulation is at record levels, and institutional flows have reversed upward. The conflict has once again drawn attention to BTC as a hedge instrument — and for now, that attention appears to be working in its favor.

#MaxSwap_ExpertView Today, there’s a strong narrative circulating that BlackRock is reducing its Bitcoin exposure. If we look at the IBIT wallet in isolation, the balance has declined from its October peak of 804K BTC to around 756K BTC a drop of 48K coins, or roughly 6%. This is a normal situation given the significant decline in Bitcoin’s price but not in interest toward it. At the same time, media outlets are deliberately focusing on outflows from IBIT, while ignoring the fact that over the same period, the total amount of BTC held across all U.S. ETFs increased from 1.3 million to 1.5 million coins. Let’s zoom out even further. Public companies and governments, through DAT purchases, have accumulated around 2 million BTC, increasing their holdings by approximately 50K BTC since October. The growth isn’t massive, but the overall trend is still accumulation. Including ETFs, that’s more than 3.5 million BTC about 17% of the total circulating supply — now in the hands of major players. This is also подтверждено by CryptoRank and CryptoQuant data, which show that BTC inflows to accumulation addresses have reached their highest level since early 2022 (see attached chart). The criteria for these wallets are: only incoming transactions, at least two transactions, and a minimum balance of 10 BTC. In early December 2025, such addresses absorbed 75K BTC in just ten days, with 40K BTC withdrawn from exchanges within 48 hours. At this point, we can conclude that despite price volatility, the market is seeing a contraction in available BTC supply. Capital is not leaving Bitcoin — it is being redistributed. Most likely, the market is in a classic phase of quiet accumulation. And if you only read the headlines, it’s easy to draw the wrong conclusions about the long-term intentions of the major players in this market.

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GM 👋 Woke up, saw MaxSwap on the hill and smiled. Simple tools really do matter. Let’s keep building

New month, fresh energy Why overcomplicate things? With MaxSwap, your wallet, swaps, and virtual card all live in one simple Telegram bot. No clutter, no stress just smooth moves and smarter crypto. Here’s to a calmer month, cleaner setups, and staying focused on what really matters. Happy new month from maxswap.cc

GM ☀️ Happy weekend No rush today just steady progress. Simple tools. Real use. Crypto that actually fits into everyday life. Enjoy the ride with MaxSwap

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💳 How to Top Up a MaxSwap Card Important: - If your MaxSwap wallet has no funds, start with Step 1. - If your wallet is already funded, you can skip directly to Step 2. Step 1. Fund Your MaxSwap Wallet ➡️ Open the @MaxSwap_bot in Telegram ➡️ Tap “Wallet” → “Top Up” ➡️ Select USDT ➡️ Choose the network ➡️ Tap “Create address” or “Use previous” if you already created one ➡️ Send USDT to the displayed address for the desired amount Once the funds are credited, you will receive a notification in the bot confirming the top-up. Step 2. Top Up Your MaxSwap Card ➡️ Open the MaxSwap Cards mini app ➡️ On the main screen, tap “Top Up” ➡️ Enter the desired amount ➡️ Confirm the transaction, done! Your card is successfully funded and ready to use! ⬇️ Top up your card t.me/MaxSwap_bot

@cryptocom GM from the maxswap family

Take a GM. Have a great day.

@binance GM from the maxswap family

Cooking up something sweet

💬 What is a recovery phrase and why do billions get lost because of it? ❓ Recovery phrase (seed phrase) is a set of words that gives full access to a non-custodial crypto wallet. In simple terms, it’s the only key: whoever has the phrase owns the funds. It is generated when the wallet is first created and shown only once. If the phrase is lost, access cannot be restored not through support, not through any service. That’s why billions of dollars are still locked on the blockchain today: the funds weren’t stolen or frozen, the key was simply lost. ❗️Well-known case is Stefan Thomas. In 2011, he was paid 7,002 BTC for his work and stored access on an encrypted IronKey flash drive. Over time, the password was lost and access to the funds disappeared forever.

🎄 Happy New Year, friends! Thank you for being with us all this year! You are our main motivation to move forward and get better. 🟡 We are preparing even more ideas, improvements and surprises in 2025!

⚡️ Bitcoin's 21 million bitcoin limit under threat. BlackRock has released a video hinting that the famous 21 million BTC issuance limit — is not such a sacred cow. The crypto community's reaction? A veritable storm.

🇦🇪 UAE has invested $40 billion in bitcoins? Changpeng Zhao, the former head of Binance, claimed that the UAE government owns $40 billion worth of bitcoins. However, the information from the CryptoDNES piece he cited is not backed up by facts.

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