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4 macro charts that have been showing the HTF story of the market in recent weeks. Everything unfolding slowly. All (and many more) shared with full analysis always only in @WealthGroup weeks in advance 🤝
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DB
4.6K posts
DB
@NotTheNewsDB
PhD in Entrepreneurship | Postdoc @imperialcollege | Market analyst @WealthGroup
Beigetreten Aralık 2021
189 Folgt7.7K Follower
$IREN is up 20% from my buyzone shared in @WealthGroup
Great infrastructure stock - now approaching a first area to secure some profits at least imo. The upside potential remains pretty high..
What stock do you have on your radar? 😁
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I covered my buy zones for several stocks of interest in this week's market overview. Join me in @WealthGroup for daily updates on macro developments, charts and indexes:
whop.com/wealthgroup/?p…
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78K-80K looks like a good area on the monthly TF for $BTC as a bearish retest, just under the monthly 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Bear flag range highs on more LTFs. 50 area on the 1M RSI. Lots of confluences for a LH.
DB@NotTheNewsDB
On the greater scheme of things, BTC is back within our HTF resistance area that stretches from 80K to 72K. My expectations remain that BTC prints a lower high in this zone, before heading lower towards our long-term DCA zone later this year, as per macro plan. Remember, headlines do not matter for our macro thesis. Structures, trends and data do. In the short-run, USDT dominance finding acceptance back within the bull flag, can be considered positive for the market as it did not manage to breakout of the bull flag it had initially formed. Another retest of the mid range at around 7.30%, aligning with 74K for BTC and range lows at 6.80 cannot be excluded. The latter could bring BTC towards the 80K-78K, which would be range highs of the bear flag, and the upper end of our 80K-72K zone.
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Inflation is the single most important threat to asset markets, but also the single most important driver of asset markets, depending on the time frame.
In the short-run, higher inflation means tighter policies, adding pressure on risk assets. This is what typically leads to bear markets.
On a long enough time frame, because of inflation, investors hedge against fiat, by positioning into long-term holdings, so that rising prices do not eat up their purchasing power.
The same concept can weight differently on assets depending on the time-horizon. Markets works in interesting ways.
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Managed to grab quite the HYPE trade over the past couple of weeks, exclusively in @WealthGroup
I teach a H4/D1 supply/demand strategy, as well as an M15 Pivot + 200QEMA strategy. Both are followed in separate journals and are taken based on recorded data after years of trading the same set ups.
This is a community where all of my trades, ideas, insights, and macro outlooks are shared.
On top of this, I run a stream schedule five days a week in the discord. I also organize and conduct 1 on 1's with new members in the group. This helps me get a better understanding of ones trade experience, available time, and how they can make the most out of their time with us.
In a time of uncertainty and difficult market navigation , our community has worked relentlessly to provide whatever opportunity is available to us.
Tons of members and traders that discuss stocks, crypto, and prediction markets at all hours of the day.
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$BTC $Bitcoin Trade recap of last two months.
Every trade was shared in @WealthGroup
Feel free to join us under the link in my Bio, to kill the ranges with us.
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New market analysis dropped with @robw00ds and @nodi_macro. Make sure to check it out 👇
woods.ai@robw00ds
Chopped it up with @NotTheNewsDB & @nodi_macro yesterday to discuss our opinions on the markets and how we’re navigating the current range we’re in. A lot of info to be heard in this one, watch it on YouTube below 👇 youtu.be/n5Wxhh-5lk4?si…
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Chopped it up with @NotTheNewsDB & @nodi_macro yesterday to discuss our opinions on the markets and how we’re navigating the current range we’re in.
A lot of info to be heard in this one, watch it on YouTube below 👇
youtu.be/n5Wxhh-5lk4?si…
YouTube
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Everytime $BTC moves a few %, I get questions about my macro thesis and whether it is still valid. It is a bit tiring to have a macro thesis and share it publicly as you need to defend it over and over again. Ultimately, my thesis has already worked out halfway, from the 126K top to the 60K local bottom. I believe that, with a bit of patience, it will continue to play out. Macro plans take time and cannot be invalidated on a few headlines. It will all make sense once it is done.
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@CryptoGodJohn No better time to lock in and change your life forever than in a bear market 🫡
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Currently 40%-45% of existing supply of $BTC is in a loss. Once this gets to 50%-60%, we start buying $BTC. A few more weeks to go.
DB@NotTheNewsDB
Everytime $BTC moves a few %, I get questions about my macro thesis and whether it is still valid. It is a bit tiring to have a macro thesis and share it publicly as you need to defend it over and over again. Ultimately, my thesis has already worked out halfway, from the 126K top to the 60K local bottom. I believe that, with a bit of patience, it will continue to play out. Macro plans take time and cannot be invalidated on a few headlines. It will all make sense once it is done.
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