Sebastian Orellana@Saint_pablo123
There has been 2 times in history where $oil has traded above $120 per barrel
-months before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis
- 2020 Covid pandemic
Both times prices crashed over 50% within a couple months
Another generational trade opportunity is here with the current Iran-USA conflict driving prices to unrealistic and non-sustainable levels once again
High oil prices are self-defeating, once you push into the $120+ range, you’re compressing demand and stressing the economy.
Unlike equities, oil isn’t designed to compound higher, it’s an input cost, and when it gets too expensive, it kills its own demand.
I will be positioning myself accordingly, no need to rush with max leverage.
The opportunity will be obvious in hindsight