Spoon Does Baseball
523 posts

Spoon Does Baseball
@SpoonBaseball
MLB Betting Picks + Analysis. Australian 🇦🇺. Podcast 🎙️ @baseballexpats All main plays 1U and Top Ups 0.25U, unless stated otherwise
Beigetreten Mart 2025
15 Folgt25 Follower

Phillies @ Cubs:
- Nola 6+ Ks, 1.5U @ 2.14 (SB)
- Top Up 8+ Ks, 0.25U @ 5.50 (B365)
Painful miss on Nola last week, we took him for 6 at 2.30 and he finished one short. He had almost every hitter he faced to 2 strikes, just failed to get the putaway pitch and suffered some long battles from opposing hitters. The value is still there, so taking again.
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Braves @ Phillies:
- SGM Sale 7+/Win, 1.5U @ 2.85 (Lads/Neds)
Spoke about this matchup on @baseballexpats. The low K rate for the Braves gives them a clear edge here, and this one to me spells trouble for Sanchez. Sale gets some plus lefty lefty action, keen.
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Big 3-1 day yesterday, only missing the 3s SGM when the Tigers were walked off.
Sunday Slate below
Cardinals @ Astros:
- McCullers 6+ Ks, 1.5U @ 2.50 (SB)
Backable price here for a starter very capable on his day. Trusting him to bounce back at home here as Houston chase a much needed quality start from their rotation.
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Blue Jays @ DBacks:
- Over 8.5, 1.5U @ 1.83 (B365)
Two very capable offences, having different seasons so far in 2026. The DBacks return home after a very impressive road trip, taking 6 of 9 against the Mets, Phillies and Orioles. For the Jays, its been hurdle after hurdle so far. Not giving up on this Toronto offence yet, runs will come, and their league 2nd best strikeout rate will convert into scoring opportunities sooner than later.
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Tigers @ Red Sox:
- SGM Mize 5+ Ks/Tigers Win, 1U @ 3.25 (Lads/Neds)
- Top Up 7 Ks/Win, 0.25U @ 6.85 (Lads/Neds)
Mize gets a plus matchup here, with Boston 20th on K rate in 2026, and the ceiling is clearly there. His season opener against Arizona saw a dominant 9 strikeouts, before some solid showings against the Twins and Marlins, to the tune of 4 and 5 strikeouts. Like the Tigers in this one, great prices.
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Mariners @ Padres:
- Castillo Over 4.5 Ks, 1.5U @ 1.9 (SB)
- Top Up 7+ Ks, 0.5U @ 4.25 (SB)
Other best of the day, discussed on @baseballexpats
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Rangers @ Athletics:
- SGM Leiter/Lopez 5+ Ks Each, 1.5U @ 2.05 (SB)
- Top Up 7 Each, 0.5U @ 7.25 (SB)
Best of the day, on recent episode of @baseballexpats. Both get plus matchups, with this one featuring the 27th and 29th ranked strikeout sides in baseball. High upside for both, keen!
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@baseballexpats That'll do us for Wednesday, enjoy the baseball and let's stay hot! 🥄⚾️
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Mets @ Dodgers:
- McClean 7+ Ks, 1U @ 2.42 (SB)
McClean looked filthy against the DBacks last week, and was let down by his bullpen late as Arizona came back to win. He registered some stat-breaking numbers on his off speed pitches, throwing a curve ball to James McCann which registered as the highest spin rate in 2026. Looks a strong play here against a Dodgers side who do swing and miss.
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Massive day of profit yesterday, lets keep it rolling today.
Cubs @ Phillies:
- Nola 6+ Strikeouts, 1U @ 2.28 (SB)
This is one of my best of the day, discussed on @baseballexpats, and originally I wanted to load up with some top ups too. There is a chance of rain impacting the later innings of this game, and as a result I'm going to just stake the 1 unit at a plus price, without topping up.
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