Obi-Kwan Kenobi

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Obi-Kwan Kenobi

Obi-Kwan Kenobi

@Statcast_Nerd

Actuary with a knack for advanced stats and sports betting.

Beigetreten Nisan 2022
10 Folgt39 Follower
Obi-Kwan Kenobi
Obi-Kwan Kenobi@Statcast_Nerd·
@Gutfoxx Saddest part I saw was that the stats still seem to be [Overall Range - 2] to [Overall Range + 2]. Basing that on Peppers having 80 PMV/BSH while he should be a primary FNM with lacking PMV/BSH. But the 44 PRC on the backup gives me hope that they'll use close to the full 0-99.
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Gutfoxx
Gutfoxx@Gutfoxx·
Read through the MUT blog. I like some stuff they're doing. Card art is real nice. Only sad part I've seen, EA still thinks people play MUT for the gameplay.
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MMA Orbit
MMA Orbit@mma_orbit·
🚨| Taylor Lapilus has been removed from the #UFC roster despite going 3-1 since his 2023 return. 🇫🇷❌ [per @omgitsfeely] This is the second time Lapilus has been let go from the promotion on a 3-1 run. 😳
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Obi-Kwan Kenobi
Obi-Kwan Kenobi@Statcast_Nerd·
@Rekreatur_ @DatMMAguy @BigMarcel24 He has 10 fights in the UFC which means he’s probably on a 40K/40K if not higher. If they wanted a cheap fighter, they’d grab a first contract DWCS guy.
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Alex
Alex@Rekreatur_·
@DatMMAguy @BigMarcel24 He must be like the cheapest fighter on the roster or something.
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Obi-Kwan Kenobi
Obi-Kwan Kenobi@Statcast_Nerd·
@2legEVParlays Lineup needs to be out for this; FD will not void a “not in starting lineup” if they are substituted in, but BetOnline will.
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Dr. EV MD
Dr. EV MD@2legEVParlays·
FD EV PLAY: - Our Odds: +170 (7.2% EV) - Fair Value: +152 - QK 1.06u | I'm betting $200 (2U)
Dr. EV MD tweet mediaDr. EV MD tweet media
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Obi-Kwan Kenobi
Obi-Kwan Kenobi@Statcast_Nerd·
@TheNamesHellen1 @BigMarcel24 @CCLegaspi First contracts are typically 3 fights and are usually not broken unless it is worth it to the UFC to pay for that contract to be terminated (Igor Severino bite, Dean Barry eye gouge, etc.). Medina will have likely another fight after this one.
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Daniel Dragovic
Daniel Dragovic@dragovic_daniel·
@BigMarcel24 @laertevianamma @CGutierrezMMA @JematsumotoUFC I planned on attending this card, but seeing how many low profile fights they schedule for this card, i might skip it. It's not worth the 5-6k it'll cost me flying from Denmark to Las Vegas, plus Hotel and UFC tickets. Very underwhelming card so far!
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NFL
NFL@NFL·
PICKED! The Riq Woolen comes down the interception for the @Seahawks to seal it.
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Obi-Kwan Kenobi
Obi-Kwan Kenobi@Statcast_Nerd·
@PromoCactus I was able to get them to increase their offer to ~90% of the wager payout, which is great by them. Sad to see them go.
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Promo Cactus🌵
Promo Cactus🌵@PromoCactus·
@Statcast_Nerd That’s a tough one. I would reach out to them and see what they’ll offer. The cash out price for Nov 17 might be decent
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Obi-Kwan Kenobi
Obi-Kwan Kenobi@Statcast_Nerd·
@deighty9 @Apps092 @BigMarcel24 @Troy_h8 @gemneyepat Under the ruleset adopted by the Toronto commission (which both fighters agreed to when they signed for the fight), the knees were grounded and illegal. Yes Evloev took advantage of a dated ruleset, but Allen’s team should have warned him about the grounded rules in place.
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dylan1or2
dylan1or2@deighty9·
@Apps092 @BigMarcel24 @Troy_h8 @gemneyepat It is a fact that he has that win on paper, yes. It is also a fact that the referee stole Allen's finishing sequence from him and let Movsar recover after being rocked from legal strikes. The streets won't forget, Allen *should have* won that.
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