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WDPROPS
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WDPROPS
@WDPROPSS
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Beigetreten Kasım 2025
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Hi, Colton. There might not be a vote today on the @SaracenCasinoAR online casino app, but if the commission approves it today, it probably could go up soon. As for @DKSportsbook & @FDSportsbook apps going live, that could take several weeks or more.
colton laster@coltonlaster4
@NEWSLarryHenry How quickly could the app go live after said meeting? Thanks for the work! @NEWSLarryHenry
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@PropBetGuy Thornton will draw a ton of attention with how aggressive TCU is against high usage on ball guys. Should get some very good looks.
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1u - John Mobley Jr. (OSU) under 16.5 points -125 (FD)
#collegebasketball #PlayerProps
B365 has under 17.5, if you can get down.
Averaged 15.7 ppg (16.3 in conference), but that was with OSU scoring 80 points per game - they’re implied around 74 today.
Under in 16/24 against power conference competition. Likely needs to get hot from three to clear this, but TCU does a solid job running their opponents off the three point line (65th percentile in opp 3P rate).
Defense typically wins out in the first round, as both teams had 4 days to prepare. OSU’s slow pace (251st) coupled with TCU’s top defense (23rd) should make this a grind - and lead to more Bruce Thornton possessions
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March Madness Starts tomorrow…
Tag your favorite CBB capper below.
I’m not one of them, but I’d be stupid not to use my platform to build the ones that are.
Check the comments if y’all want the sauce for March Madness⬇️
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@NEWSLarryHenry @WDPROPSS Does it look like it’s happening before Thursday, need a gut feeling
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@NEWSLarryHenry @OaklawnRacing @SouthlandGaming @SaracenCasinoAR Any news on DraftKings and FanDuel?
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NEW: Arkansas February mobile sportsbook totals:
@OaklawnRacing: Handle $15.66M, Net Win $1.78M;
@SouthlandGaming: Handle $6.88M, Win $766,826.22;
@SaracenCasinoAR: Handle $24.6M, Win $1.66M.
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Acuff is very similar to Trey Burke, who was an elite college player but wasn't shoved down our throat as a top 3 pick. If Acuff has a Burke esque career, are we going to sit here and say he's a disappointment or should we blame ourselves for not seeing what should be obvious?
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Acuff discourse is so tiring because he's arguably the most electric college player at the moment and then someone will come in telling you he should be the #1 pick like we didn't see his player comp ceiling just get salary dumped because of how bad he was on defense.
B/R Hoops@brhoops
Darius Acuff in the SEC title game: 30 PTS | 5-8 3PT | 11 AST | 37 MINS best player in the country?
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Bro wasnt wrong💀
Underdog NBA@UnderdogNBA
Jayson Tatum (conditioning) questionable for Thursday.
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Love this spot today🤝
Rahill and Icy@ThePropDen
🏀 CBB Play #2 (3/11) 🏀 15 likes for play #3! 💙🍻 Isaac McKneely O 12.5 Points (CZR -112) Collab w/@WDPROPSS 🐐❄️ Team: Lousiville Nice spot for McKneely here especially with Brown out. He has since increased minutes since Brown has been out. When McKneely plays high minutes he has done well. He is over this line in 54% of games with 30+ minutes. He is over this line in 67% of games with 32+ minutes. He has 34 and 35 minutes in this last 2 games without Brown so we should see a floor of 30 minutes here today. We are going right back to the same matchup we targeted with Kingz yesterday. Take your shooters vs the SMU zone defense. McKneely played a couple of other zones with Miami last game and had 15 points on 11 shot attempts and Syracuse last week where he had 16 points on 11 shot attempts (Both games without Brown). McKneely has also played SMU twice this season and had 14 points and 6 points (2-7 shooting). He only played 24 and 25 minutes in those games as well. McKneely is a 39.2% 3 point shooter. Wings who shoot a similar percentage or slightly better have thrived in this matchup against the SMU zone: Certa - 37 Min / 16 Pts / 13 FGA / 36.6 3P% Williams - 34 Min / 25 Pts / 18 FGA / 40.8 3P% Jones - 34 Min / 20 Pts / 11 FGA / 32.4 3P% Kingz - 39 Min / 25 Pts / 18 FGA / 36.7 3P% Evans - 30 Min / 21 Pts / 11 FGA / 35.4 3P% Nickel - 24 Min / 12 Pts / 8 FGA / 42.9 3P% Wiggins - 35 Min / 31 Pts / 14 FGA / 37.6 3P% Camden - 33 Min / 14 Pts / 11 FGA / 39.9 3P% Gealer - 37 Min / 30 Pts / 12 FGA / 41.3 3P% Bell - 34 Min / 20 Pts / 12 FGA / 37.4 3P% All the guys above have somewhat similar volume and 3P% to McKneely. They also took more than 50% of shots from 3 in this matchup. Those are the types of looks McKneely will get in this spot.
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Wednesday CBB PLAY🏀
Another collab w/ @juicecbb 🧑🍳
Tae Davis o12.5 Points
The Sooners take on the Gamecocks for the second time this season, but this time it's in the SEC tournament. South Carolina presents an intriguing matchup for Tae Davis, as they allow 38.9 PITP/G (3rd %ile), ranking 2nd-worst in the SEC. In conference play, Davis scored 65.1% of his points in the paint, which equates to 7.9 PITP/G, leading the Sooners in both. Davis has already shown he can excel against South Carolina, dropping 20 PTS in their previous meeting.
Davis PTS against SEC teams that allow > 36 PITP/G
Arkansas: 14
South Carolina: 20
South Carolina: ??
Alabama: 14
Georgia: 19
Miss State: 13 (TT of 53)
Over in 5/5
South Carolina allows just 28.7% of PTS from 3Ps, ranking 4th in the SEC, which is notable given that Oklahoma's two leading scorers are shooters. When facing SEC teams with good defenses beyond the arc, Davis has seen consistent success scoring.
Davis PTS against SEC Teams that allow < 29% PTS to come on 3Ps:
Arkansas: 14
Florida: 17
Texas: 14
South Carolina: 20
Vandy: 14
Over in 5/5
SEC Forwards who score 6-9 PITP/G and 60+% PITP against SC
Tae Davis: 20 in 32 (12.5 / 32)
JP Estrella: 22 in 27 (13.4 / 27)
Felix Okpara: 20 in 28 (7.9 / 28)
Somto Cyril: 18 in 22 (9.4 / 22)
Somto Cyril: 12 in 22 (9.4 / 22)
Malique Ewin: 18 in 15 (7.1 / 15)
Rueben Chinyelu: 15 in 23 (10.7 / 23)
Rueben Chinyelu: 14 in 22 (10.2 / 22)
Keshawn Murphy: 11 in 21 (9.6 / 21)
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CBB TUESDAY PLAY🏀👀
🧑🍳 w/@juicecbb
Give him a follow if you haven’t, one of the best in the space🤝
1U Nick Martinelli O 30.5 PR
This appears to be a steep line, but Martinelli comes into this game averaging 22.8 PPG in conference and dropped 34 PTS against Penn State earlier in the season. In conference play, Penn State has a DRtg of 127.5, which ranks last in the B10 and is in the 0th percentile. Top B10 scorers have absolutely dominated this horrid defense, with Martinelli being a prime example. Penn State is also a great spot to back Martinelli's rebounding as they allow the 2nd most defensive rebounds in the B10. Martinelli recorded just 4 rebounds in their previous meeting, but this can be largely explained by Tre Singleton grabbing 18 rebounds, 13.2 over his average. Martinelli's rebounding provides a good cushion, as he has a higher hit rate on 30.5 PR in conference play than on 23.5 PTS.
B10 Forwards PR against PSU that avg > 15.0 PPG:
Nick Martinelli 38 (29.0)
Nick Martinelli ?? (29.0)
Hannes Steinbach 33 (31.2)
Pryce Sandfort 42 (23.9)
Cade Tyson 22 (23.1), 28 MP due to 4 fouls
Tyler Bilodeau 30 (23.7)
Nate Bittle 29 (23.3)
Last season, Martinelli played in two B10 tournament games, logging 39 and 40 minutes. He will likely see this amount of minutes again, as he already plays an average of 37.2 MPG in conference play. This season, when playing 39+ Minutes Martinelli has put up the following PR: 46, 40, 33, 33, 33, 32, 31, 26.
He went under 30.5 PR in just one game, against Michigan, a team that is a level above Penn State. When playing defenses of Penn State's caliber, Martinelli has gone off.
Martinelli PR against B10 teams with a DRtg > 118.0
PSU: 38
Maryland: 31 (just 2 REB)
Rutgers: 46
Indiana: 33
Oregon: 33
Martinelli has tormented the bottom five defenses in the B10, and I expect him to do so again in this tournament game.
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CBB SEASON RECAP🔥🏀
Total: 127-88/ 15.3 % ROI/ +35.1U
L30: 53-35/ 17.32% ROI/ +16.09U
Been a good season so far, but now time for the best time of the year to keep it going!🕺
Join the FREE discord to never miss a play: discord.gg/DkTEdfE5s
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WDPROPS retweetet
🏀 CBB Play #1 (3/6) 🏀
10 likes for play #2! 💙🍻
Honor Huff O 15.5 Points (CZR -113)
Collab w/@WDPROPSS 🐐❄️
Team: West Virginia
Nice spot for Huff in his last home game. Should be an emotional one. We have seen Seniors dominate in their last home games so far this season.
Huff is over this line in only 5/10 games but his volume has been consistent. He is averaging 12.3 FGA per game and 3.9 FTA per game in that stretch. That aligns closely with his season averages. His main issue has been the fact that he has been so inefficient. However he is due for some positive regression just based on his career averages.
Huff also has a safe floor of minutes assuming he doesn't get into foul trouble. He is averaging 37.5 minutes per game in his L10 games. He is over this line in 56% of games when playing 29+ minutes and he is over this line in 62% of games when he is playing 32+ minutes. 29-32 minutes should be his floor but he will most likely play close to 40.
He gets a matchup against UCF who he had 21 points against earlier this season in just 26 minutes because of foul trouble.
UCF has been leaking points to high volume guards all season. Most of Huff's production comes from beyond the arc. Guards with similar volume (especially from 3) to Huff have thrived in this spot.
Roy - 38 Min / 27 Pts / 14 FGA / 7 3PA
Carr - 38 Min / 26 Pts / 13 FGA / 8 3PA
McHenry - 29 Min / 19 Pts / 12 FGA / 9 3PA
Odum - 36 Min / 18 Pts / 13 FGA / 8 3PA
Johnson - 39 Min / 20 Pts / 13 FGA / 7 3PA
Peterson - 23 Min / 26 Pts / 17 FGA / 10 3PA
Miles - 29 Min / 20 Pts / 13 FGA / 7 3PA
Tanner - 24 Min / 17 Pts / 11 FGA / 7 3PA
All of these guys took at least 50% of their attempts from 3 and Huff will see that same type of usage and most likely even more in terms of his 2 point / 3 point FGA splits.
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