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#Bitcoin Some still argue that Bitcoin never entered a bear market and that the decline from the October 2025 peak is simply another correction within an ongoing bull market. Some even refer to the ~50% drawdown of 2021 as evidence. However, focusing solely on the size of the decline misses the bigger picture. The 2021 correction began in April and lasted roughly three months before Bitcoin went on to print new all-time highs. The current decline began after the October 6th, 2025 peak and has now lasted more than eight months without a new all-time high. Similar drawdown. Different timing, different duration, different market structure. Until proven otherwise, the four-year cycle remains the most logical explanation for the current market environment.

#Bitcoin The trend is your friend.

#Bitcoin Pushing higher 🚀 W-structure Bullish momentum

$BTC is currently undervalued. Buying Bitcoin when price drops below the green line has historically generated outsized returns.

8 months. $BTC

#Bitcoin Breaking out. #BTC reclaimed 🔴Tenkan. If confirmed, next target would be 🔵Kijun above. 🟠Lagging span is free.

#Bitcoin Bullish divergence forming. Price keeps making lower lows while momentum is stabilizing. Worth watching closely.

#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel Turning Green 🟢 In the past 3 cycles, when the 2-day Gaussian Channel turned green after a prolonged red phase, #BTC already bottomed or swept its cycle low shortly beforehand. Is history repeating ?

#Bitcoin Cycle Compass 🧭 This indicator has helped me identify several cycle tops, local tops and cycle bottoms over the years. I don’t use it in isolation, but rather in confluence with other indicators. Not perfect, yet I still find it highly relevant today.

#Bitcoin Balanced Price 🟠 Another useful metric to keep on your radar when looking for potential cycle bottoms. Historically, major #BTC bottoms have formed when price touched or closely approached the Balanced Price. The Balanced Price is currently sitting at $39,149 and trending lower.

#Bitcoin Potential Bottom Window ⏱️ ➡️ October 6th–16th, 2026 Based on the last two ATH → ATL sequences: 2017 ATH → 2018 ATL = 363 days 2021 ATH → 2022 ATL = 376 days Applying the same range to the October 6th, 2025 ATH points to the following timing window. Cycle symmetry, not certainty.

#Bitcoin Cycle Bottom Forget the noise. The 2-week LMACD has confirmed every major #BTC bottom. Until the bullish crossover happens, the bottom remains unconfirmed. Patience.

#Bitcoin Reload Zone This is typically where smart money adds exposure while the crowd is waiting for lower prices.

#Bitcoin Historical Accumulation Zone Historically, extreme pessimism has created the best accumulation opportunities for #BTC

#Bitcoin Historically, when BTC exceeds the lower Bollinger Band on the 3-week timeframe, major lows have usually followed. This time, however, the signal appeared unusually early in the cycle.

#Bitcoin Where I’m buying My DCA started at yearly low. The chart below shows where I will continue adding if price moves lower. It doesn’t mean #BTC has to reach those levels. Notice the similarities between the previous and current bear market.

#Bitcoin Wyckoff Bearish Case Update 🔴 This wasn’t exactly a popular view. It aged quite well.

#Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) NUPL captures market emotions to forecast #BTC’s highs and lows. Historically, NUPL below 0 has marked cycle bottoms. As shown in the chart, NUPL is still above 0.

@Washigorira 💜☮️

I’m truly grateful to everyone who follows, reposts, likes, comments on, or simply reads my work. Your support motivates me to keep sharing my market analysis and help as many people as possible cut through the noise. I appreciate every single one of you.

#Bitcoin Update • Reclaim failed • Market structure rejected price • Bearish scenario confirmed