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Bill Bugler
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Intel’s EUV edge could save Tesla’s Terafab timeline. Musk launches ‘little fab’ next week, but ASML High-NA lead time = 18-24 months. Intel’s got the first units online NOW. Why not bridge?
• Intel owns High-NA (10+ ordered, first deployed Dec ’25)
• Tesla could sim full process in Synopsys TCAD, port straight to Intel’s machines
• Packaging deal already exists—wafers next?
Musk: ‘make mistakes small-scale.’ Intel’s the shortcut. Thoughts? #Terafab #Intel #Tesla
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@elonmusk Intel’s EUV edge could save Tesla’s Terafab timeline. Musk launches ‘little fab’ next week, but ASML High-NA lead time = 18-24 months. Intel’s got the first units online NOW. Why not bridge?
• Intel owns High-NA (10+ ordered, first
deployed Dec ’25)
• Tesla could sim full process in Synopsys TCAD, port straight to Intel’s machines
• Packaging deal already exists—wafers next?
Musk: ‘make mistakes small-scale.’ Intel’s the shortcut. Thoughts? #Terafab #Intel #Tesla
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Right now on February seventeenth, twenty twenty-six, institutions own about sixty-four point five to sixty-six point nine percent of Intel, depending on the source. That’s up a bit from last year.
Over the past twelve months? Sixteen hundred eighty-three funds bought in, versus thirteen hundred sixty-four who sold—net buyers by a decent margin. Total inflows hit eighteen point eight billion dollars, outflows just six point six billion. So yeah, they’re piling on.
Last quarter (Q4 twenty twenty-five filings), they added roughly one hundred forty-eight million shares—about a four point seven percent bump. Big names like Vanguard (up nearly five percent), BlackRock holding steady at over eight percent, and new-ish players like Norges Bank jumping in.
Some trimming too—smaller funds like Fifth Third or Corsair cut back—but the net? Still positive accumulation. Price doubled from last February’s low twenties, partly on this smart-money vote. Quiet buying, no frenzy—just steady confidence in the foundry/AI pivot.
If it keeps climbing without wild volume? That’s the classic bullish signal.
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This just shows intel lagging in raising prices in response to its higher volume and supply constraints, particularly in server CPUs where demand significantly exceeds capacity.
Recent market dynamics, driven by AI infrastructure build-out, have led to widespread shortages of Intel Xeon processors. Multiple sources confirm that Intel’s server CPU inventory is effectively sold out for 2026, with lead times extending up to six months in key markets such as China. This scarcity has already prompted price adjustments, including reported 10% increases for certain Xeon models in China, with broader expectations of 10-15% hikes across server CPUs to balance demand and stabilize supply.
Analysts, including those from KeyBanc, have noted that Intel is actively considering or implementing these ASP increases (10-15%) for server products, given the near-complete sell-out of 2026 capacity. This pricing power stems directly from higher volume in data center segments, where hyperscalers and enterprises prioritize secure, immediate availability over cost sensitivity.
While Intel’s overall volume remains higher than AMD’s (e.g., ~70.8% x86 unit share in Q4 2025 per Mercury Research), the opportunity is most pronounced in servers (Intel ~71.2% unit share, but with revenue implications from premium mix). In contrast, AMD—despite gains in desktop (36.4%) and server revenue share (41.3%)—faces similar shortages but relies on TSMC, potentially limiting its flexibility.
For client segments (laptops and desktops), pricing pressure is less uniform, with reports of potential 15-20% increases in lower-end PCs due to capacity reallocation toward higher-margin Xeons and rising memory costs. However, competitive dynamics and softer PC demand may temper aggressive hikes there.
In summary, Intel’s higher volume, combined with AI-driven supply tightness, provides a strong rationale and apparent execution for price increases—primarily in servers—to capture greater margins and fund capacity ramps. This aligns with current reports and analyst upgrades reflecting improved near-term prospects.
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@schamorro357 Intel can focus on the next 4 quarters, More fab capacity in the US is years out for TSMC. A lot could change before those fabs are built. Ask Pat G to compare 2021 projections to his last day as CEO in 2024.
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Put simply, after April 15th, we will get the full story for what the US is asking for in regards to Taiwan and semiconductors. $INTC $TSM
Financial Times@FT
TSMC’s US investment plans at heart of $250bn puzzle for chip sector ft.trib.al/1rDd5OA
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Breaking: Pete Hegseth just rolled out DoD’s AI Acceleration Strategy – think “Arsenal of Freedom” meets hyperscale. Translation? Government wants its own NVIDIA racks, Grok-level models, and locked-down U.S. silicon.
• #AI
• #Grok
• #GrokAI
• #MilitaryTech
• #usmilitary
• #pentagon
• #nationalsecurity
• #elonmusk
• #INTC
• #AMD
• #AIchips
• #Semiconductors
• #DefenseTech
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Result? In rack-scale AI systems (like NVL72/144), Intel x86 nodes can scale NVIDIA GPUs with the same efficiency as NVIDIA’s own Grace ARM setups. Hyperscalers get maximum GPU utilization, lower latency, and better power efficiency without switching to ARM or rewriting software stacks. #INTC #AMD #Airdrop
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