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🍞bcBread🍞

@_bcbread

『 bcBread.eth 』Dad || Founder @q00bs @bvcket_xyz | | Dev | | prev: @askbillybets @nowMedia @pepsico @codepted

Colorado, USA Beigetreten Ekim 2021
4.6K Folgt8.9K Follower
Titan
Titan@Titan_Node·
I swear, the proof of humanity or signature from biometrics is going to mean so much in the future. The amount of spam calls I get, and soon enough they will be able to synthesise my friends and family's voices. I'm going to need a signature showing that it's authentic. Everyone hates world coin, but it's probably going to do well.
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🍞bcBread🍞
🍞bcBread🍞@_bcbread·
bvcket@bvcket_xyz

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers Agent Analysis ✍️: - Moneyline: ⭐️ PRO PREDICT - Los Angeles Dodgers (55% confidence) Run line and O/U predictions in the app - link in profile. > PRO PREDICT reflects a directional lean - LAD is clearly the superior team. Raw internal model edge is +8.2% on LAD, but adjusted to +2.5% once Ohtani's knee (fully priced 48+ hrs ago) and an empirically anti - predictive recent - form signal are removed. Adjusted edge falls below the 4% threshold - this is a lean, not a high - conviction value bet. > Ohtani pitches with left knee inflammation, capped at 75 - 80 pitches targeting 6 innings. Already in the market - not a mispricing. Even limited: ERA 1.06 / WHIP 0.84 / xwOBA - against .256. Career vs TB: .138 AVG / .505 OPS / 21 K. McClanahan sits at ERA 3.23 season but 4.85 last 5 starts, WHIP 1.49 recent. Both starters on hard pitch limits - bullpens absorb significant innings. > Run line: Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (53% confidence). Both starters exit early - modal tight - game shape. +1.5 covers an outright TB win or a 1 - run Dodgers victory, the likeliest outcome when both aces are short. > Total: lean Over (52% confidence). McClanahan's recent 4.85 ERA and early exits for both starters invite bullpen exposure (LAD 3.32, TB 3.92 ERA). Countered by Ohtani brilliance, Dodger Stadium 0.94x park factor, and 60°F temps. Forces roughly cancel - low confidence lean. > Dodgers pen (ERA 3.32) holds quality edge over Rays pen (ERA 3.92). Tanner Scott fresh after just 11 pitches yesterday. Cam Booser (TB) high - usage flagged, limiting availability in leverage situations.

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bvcket
bvcket@bvcket_xyz·
San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves Agent Analysis ✍️: - Moneyline: Atlanta Braves (66% confidence) Run line and O/U predictions are in the app - link in profile. > Sportsbook consensus (7 books): Atlanta 57% / Giants 43%. Internal model: Atlanta 69%. Polymarket: Atlanta 56%. Our model shows a 12.8% edge over Polymarket on the Braves ML. > Run line: Atlanta Braves - 1.5 (62% confidence). Grant Holmes (4.05 ERA season / 3.69 recent) holds a clear SP edge over Adrian Houser (5.54 ERA / 5.42 recent). Atlanta gets a 6 - 3 platoon advantage vs Houser (RHP). Houser's career line vs Atlanta: .286 AVG / .758 OPS over 8 starts. > Total: Over 8.5 (52% confidence - slim lean). Umpire Jordan Baker runs +0.40/g above league avg (hitter - friendly). Projected total ~8.7 vs line 8.5. Truist Park is neutral (1.00x factor). Low conviction on this market. > Giants cross - country travel risk: 2,126 miles, 3 time zones east on 2 - day rest. Atlanta at home, fully rested - a meaningful fatigue edge in an evening game. > Both bullpens fully rested (0 relievers used last 2 days). Quality edge firmly to Atlanta: BP ERA 3.29 vs Giants 4.52.
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bvcket
bvcket@bvcket_xyz·
Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers Agent Analysis ✍️: - Moneyline: ⭐️ PRO PREDICT - Los Angeles Dodgers (55% confidence) Run line and O/U predictions in the app - link in profile. > PRO PREDICT reflects a directional lean - LAD is clearly the superior team. Raw internal model edge is +8.2% on LAD, but adjusted to +2.5% once Ohtani's knee (fully priced 48+ hrs ago) and an empirically anti - predictive recent - form signal are removed. Adjusted edge falls below the 4% threshold - this is a lean, not a high - conviction value bet. > Ohtani pitches with left knee inflammation, capped at 75 - 80 pitches targeting 6 innings. Already in the market - not a mispricing. Even limited: ERA 1.06 / WHIP 0.84 / xwOBA - against .256. Career vs TB: .138 AVG / .505 OPS / 21 K. McClanahan sits at ERA 3.23 season but 4.85 last 5 starts, WHIP 1.49 recent. Both starters on hard pitch limits - bullpens absorb significant innings. > Run line: Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (53% confidence). Both starters exit early - modal tight - game shape. +1.5 covers an outright TB win or a 1 - run Dodgers victory, the likeliest outcome when both aces are short. > Total: lean Over (52% confidence). McClanahan's recent 4.85 ERA and early exits for both starters invite bullpen exposure (LAD 3.32, TB 3.92 ERA). Countered by Ohtani brilliance, Dodger Stadium 0.94x park factor, and 60°F temps. Forces roughly cancel - low confidence lean. > Dodgers pen (ERA 3.32) holds quality edge over Rays pen (ERA 3.92). Tanner Scott fresh after just 11 pitches yesterday. Cam Booser (TB) high - usage flagged, limiting availability in leverage situations.
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NUCLR GOLF
NUCLR GOLF@NUCLRGOLF·
🚨🌬️🇺🇸 JUST IN — Massive wind gusts of up to 45 MPH are forecasted for Thursday at Shinnecock Hills for the first round of the U.S Open leading to possible carnage. Only 3 golfers have finished under par for the week at Shinnecock for a U.S. Open in the past 40 years. According to Polymarket, there’s a 51% chance the winner finishes at even par or worse. What do you think the winning score will be?
NUCLR GOLF tweet mediaNUCLR GOLF tweet media
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bvcket
bvcket@bvcket_xyz·
Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals Agent Analysis ✍️: - Moneyline: Washington Nationals (55% confidence) Want Run line and O/U predictions? Check the app - link in profile. > Internal model has WAS at 62% vs books' 55% implied - a 7pp edge rooted in KC's injury depth crater (KC injury score 0.30 vs WAS 0.07). > KC's rotation is decimated - Ragans, Lugo, and Bubic all on IL, forcing Luinder Avila (6.19 ERA season, 10.23 recent, 2.27 WHIP) into today's start. No established closer either - Estevez and Mears both out, Lynch IV flagged for overuse. > Zack Littell counters with improving recent form (4.05 ERA last 5 starts, 1.08 WHIP) and a strong career line against KC (.677 OPS in 12 games, 18 K, 1 BB). > Run line lean: Kansas City Royals +1.5 (53% confidence) - Avila's xwOBA - against (34%) is unexpectedly better than Littell's (38%), and WAS's bullpen is fatigued with closer Varland unavailable after pitching yesterday, capping blowout ceiling. > Total: no confirmed line available in the data - both starters carry ERA concerns and lean Over exists given pitcher profiles, but without a specific number to evaluate against any call is directional noise rather than a quantified edge.
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bvcket
bvcket@bvcket_xyz·
New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds Agent Analysis ✍️: - Moneyline: New York Mets (55% confidence) Run line and O/U predictions are in the app - link in profile. > Sportsbook consensus (9 books): Mets 55% / Reds 45%. Internal model: Mets 66% / Reds 34%. Polymarket: Mets 55% / Reds 46%. Best value gap vs Polymarket: 12% on New York Mets - but refined analysis puts the gap to books at just +2pp, inside the no - edge zone. > No A - F edge trigger cleared the bar today. Mets are the more likely winner at 57% but this is a book - priced game. The +2pp gap to consensus falls below the 4% minimum needed to beat the vig long - term - directional lean only, no value bet. > Starting pitching favors Mets: McLean's xwOBA - against .289 (190 BIP) vs Lodolo's .378 (118 BIP) is a real .089 - point contact - quality gap. McLean limits hard contact; Lodolo's recent 4.25 ERA masks regression risk given his elevated contact profile. McLean's last - 5 ERA of 6.57 and a 42 - pitch inning flag command volatility. GABP 1.12x park factor compresses this edge from strong to slight. > Bullpen depth leans Mets: BP ERA 3.99 vs Reds 4.59. Reds are without closer Pagan (hamstring IL) and Pierce Johnson (rehab) - Caleb Ferguson is their lone high - leverage arm. Not a fatigue edge today but a structural depth advantage in close or extra - inning games. > Run line leans Reds +1.5 (53% confidence) - GABP, Reds' superior offense (.710 OPS vs Mets .665), and McLean's recent command issues make a tight game the modal outcome. Total leans Over (52%) - hitter - friendly GABP, elevated contact profiles from both starters, and bullpen depletion on both sides create scoring pressure.
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Eric 🍥
Eric 🍥@EricOnchain·
@_bcbread omg I just sent an email using windows xp dude you have to try it, matter of fact my blackberry runs on python bro this is groundbreaking xD Yes, the tech only appeals to us nerds, the use case and benefits people can get from it appeals to the other 99.99%
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🍞bcBread🍞
🍞bcBread🍞@_bcbread·
ATTN FRIENDS There are a TON of mutals following this scammer. You might want to unfollow/block this piece of shit🫶
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🍞bcBread🍞
🍞bcBread🍞@_bcbread·
@EricOnchain Been saying it for YEARS. Hide the wires. Blockchain is a tech stack, not a product. “Check out these jpegs from my vacation!” “You gotta hear this new .wav file i heard this weekend!” People want pictures and songs. No one cares about the tech lol🫶
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Eric 🍥
Eric 🍥@EricOnchain·
The NFT (even if good as concept) and then the memecoin bonanza didn't play so well for our space in terms of long term adoption. Too many people got burned to never come back. Granted before (and now) we still have a ton of scams from utility vaporware but at least people are more wary I'm still not sure we can actually reach mainstream by calling us "crypto/web3" companies, rather than just go consumer apps with real adoption potential that just happen to leverage blockchain in the background But if there's only one way (there isn't), I'd bet 99 out of 100 that it is consumer apps utility driven concepts powered by crypto
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🍞bcBread🍞
🍞bcBread🍞@_bcbread·
@EricOnchain Yea man. Its gotta be ROUGH for new naive accounts out here. THIS is why we struggle with mainstream adoption and everything is written off as a scam🤦‍♂️
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Eric 🍥
Eric 🍥@EricOnchain·
@_bcbread Never followed him, after reading the grok piece kinda glad about that
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🍞bcBread🍞
🍞bcBread🍞@_bcbread·
Here is what Grok had to say about the account:
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NFT kid “Keith Berry”
Gm ☀️ when people exclude you, remain excluded. Build alone it’s more effective reply with your flag, I’m testing - 🇺🇸
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Dave
Dave@DCBK2LA·
gmPM Episode 9: Prediction Markets got this World Cup ALL WRONG...OR DID THEY? x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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Dave
Dave@DCBK2LA·
⚽️ Matthew Cosgrove fromKansas City, Missouri was rooting for…. Algeria 🇩🇿? Someone make this make sense please! 🤔 The @gmpm_xyz show starts in 45 minutes and I guess we’ll try and explain this? 🤷‍♂️ 😂
Dave@DCBK2LA

@gmpm_xyz Ep. 9: Prediction Markets got this World Cup ALL WRONG...OR DID THEY? Spain was a massive favorite. Then they got held 0-0 by World Cup debutant Cape Verde. One bettor reportedly lost nearly $1 Million. Another turned a $427K position into a $4.7M payout. That's before we even get to Mbappé becoming France's all-time leading scorer and Messi responding with a World Cup hat trick. The biggest sporting event on earth has officially become the biggest prediction market event on earth. In this tournament, history is written in seconds... and the odds are moving faster than the clock. France has climbed to the top of major World Cup markets after Spain's stumble, while traders continue hunting for the next mispriced opportunity. On gmPM we're breaking down: ⚽ Spain vs Cape Verde shocker 💸 $1M lost / $4.7M won 🇫🇷 Mbappé takes over 🇦🇷 Messi's hat trick 📈 Polymarket & Kalshi movers 🎯 Best World Cup market opportunities 📅 Wednesday, June 17 ⏲️ 10:30 AM EST / 15:30 UTC Hosted by @DCBK2LA @itskkoma & @_bcbread Powered by @Stitch3_ai & @bvcket_xyz Special Guest: @hunter_nft Live across X, YouTube, LinkedIn, Instagram, and TikTok youtube.com/watch?v=4KUr60…

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