Tobias Berger

It's launch day! Check out ProspectTheory.io - your new platform for NBA draft intelligence. It provides its own draft model, big boards, but also the opportunity to deep dive players via their scouting pages. Mission and features I explain here: prospecttheorydraft.substack.com/p/introducing-…

Btw, this is Zuby

Do I have a type?`Is this board in line with this?

Looking at the consensus my guys seem to be: Boozer Flemings Wagler Mara Graves JQ Okorie Jefferson Zuby Onyenso Won't count the orange tier I call "fun stat profile bets" for this category. Lower on: Dybantsa Brown Jr. Burries Acuff Ament Steinbach

Never made a board with watching less tape tbh. This is based on limited film, mainly interesting stats profiles, my personal draft heuristics and a bit of intuition following the smartest draft minds on this app. Balancing their opinions with my simple first impressions.

@_prospecttheory Then it’s gotta be Acuff?

@_prospecttheory Ugh. Christian Anderson?

The first part of my draft notes is here! Below are 9 of my favorite candidates for successful careers in overseas leagues all around the globe. Each position group has 3 different players for differing team needs and budgets. Make sure to give it a read!👇

@coachnatebdraft Nope, this is him:

@_prospecttheory Flemings?

I also upgraded the comps section. First we see some projections. How did players of that age and position turn out usually? What nba outcomes does the player cluster the prospect is in usually produce? So have a look at Swain that the model gives the two way wing label.

Any guesses who this is? 2026 draft again.

I compare the prospects in style, skill and their anthros. Trajectory also gets compared for multi year ncaa dudes. And then outcome gives a broader outcome assessment. Swain again.

super tall bigs to grade smaller on the offensive side here. This basically means that he profiles like a 6'10'' here who are usually more fluid that those real giants. This is positive. In the end we are playing skill ball. The tallest feel dudes.

This is Aday Mara. Here it gets interesting. One the one hand this shows that super tall human beings break those kind of models. Tough to project someone defensing like a 7'8'' guy when there has never been one. Only logical that he plays smaller. Interestingly tho you want your

Next new feature is calculating a functional frame. So you can see how tall, heavy or rangy a prospect is playing. I checked which factors give the most reliable estimate of those anthros and then checked what the model gave back based on those inputs with an off def split.

In the 2026 draft i might add.

Added it below the possession impact metric in every players scouting tab for reference. It is rare to be dominant in all of these. But there is one player who is just killing it at all of these metrics. Want to take a guess?

It is officially draft season, so I added a few new features to the site. Inspired by this tweet I checked these skill intersections and added rim pressure / low t0% to the mix. Back came oreb/ast and ast/blk as the most valuable. The other ones had to much noise to be added.

Die besten GUARDS der Draft Class 2026: Peterson, Acuff, Wagler, Flemings & Co. Host @whaamncheese & Co-Host @AtTheLevel werfen einen Blick auf die besten Guards der kommenden Draft Class. Ist Darryn Peterson der beste Spieler der Klasse? Kann Keaton Wagler in der NBA ein Primary Creator sein? Warum sind die Jungs bei Darius Acuff Jr. eher skeptisch? Wie unterscheiden sich Kingston Flemings & Mikel Brown Jr. von ihm? Außerdem besprechen die beiden noch einige Prospects die generell außerhalb der Lottery gerankt sind sowie zum Abschluss ein paar Honorable Mentions, damit ihr alle wichtigen Guards der Draft 2026 kennt... Das alles und noch viel mehr in knapp anderthalb Stunden!