Alexander

4

@Moneytaur_ There shouldn’t be a single person out there supporting this man or his presidency by now. That level of sheepness is something that has to be studied. Something like a giga sheep. The sheep of all sheep.

Trump's inauguration date: January 20th, 2025. Bitcoin's price on January 20th, 2025: above $100,000 Today's price: below $80,000 WLFI rugged. Trump's coin rugged. His wife's coin rugged. The crypto market has been downhill for most of his Presidency. Welcome to Trumponomics, where math doesn't math.

@MoneyTaura ➡️ yes

Forgetting my laptop for a little bit of today. Not all day tho. Just a little bit… just because. Just to enjoy the moment.

DXY + POV

My current view of the market: Bitcoin: Bitcoin had strong HTF closes and the bullish trend is on. The question is, where this trend will come to an end and PA will top locally and continue it's weekly bearish structure, which is the most likely scenario. When looking at this chart alone, things that speak for at least a short term bullish continuation from here are that the HTF EQ, (which sits at the most powerful hidden liquidity level) has not been hit yet and it is not unlikely it will. I expect this level to give a powerful bearish reaction to Bitcoin if happening. Even though the Supply level BTC hit is powerful, we have to look at the FIBs here and see, that there PA didn't close CLEAN at any main swing FIB, which also speaks for higher prices. Total1 & Total2: Recent HTF closes on TOTAL2 show no real strength to be expected from altcoins across the board. This can also be found in larg cap altcoins, as they also act very week. TOTAL shows a very similar picture, with the only distinction being a 2W close above PSH. However, on the monthly timeframe, it looks identical to TOTAL2. These recent moves rather show signs of weakness within the broader HTF bullish trend. Another important point is that there are no strong optimal HTF bullish levels within this range. What Iam watching is the liquidity below 🗝️ SH. If price moves there and we get an HTF close below, that would confirm a BOS of the HTF bullish structure. Also noting that this is not an optimal liquidity level, which increases the likelyhood of continuation of the downtrend once broken. Also, see that there is no liquidity below this level... ⚡️ On TOTAL, there is some additional HTF hidden liquidity just above 1.06T. With the recent closes, a potential HTF 3-Drive into that area is something to consider, which could then reverse price aggressively to the downside. The next major optimal bullish key level would be around 670B. However, this move higher is not necessary, as price has already reacted from a decent HTF level. SPX: This is currently the most important chart. The first weekly bearish BOS was a trap and PA moved higher, pushing for new ATHs and closing HTF above the prior ATH. When studying prior cycles, I’ve seen that this is not unusual near tops. So we can take it as a sign that the top is close, especially considering the 4-year cycle I talked about. May is now the most likely month for SPX to top. It can extend, of course… cycles are time windows, as mentioned. Still, as it stands, 43 months is the longest bull run for equities since the start of the 21st century. I expect the marked out key level to be hit this month. The question will be if crypto will follow the upside or not. If so, SPX hitting the highlighted bearish key level will be good confluence for shorts. DXY: This chart changed it’s HTF trend to the bullish side. DXY rising is usually bearish confluence for Bitcoin and vica versa. So this chart gives us confluence and indicates the Bitcoin might get some more downside. I expect the market out bearish key levels to be hit before DXY goes lower. ETH/BTC ETH.D: I’m not doing a broad analysis here. However, I’d like to point out two things many people don’t see. First: On ETH/BTC, the refined level (0.02786) AND .705 of the key swing have NOT been hit. Second: These charts are rations. This does not mean that if Bitcoin manages to break its key SL and slingshots into the low 40s, altcoins won’t follow. From here, BTC could drop 40% while ETH.D or ETH/BTC is still ranging. Which means the levels hit on these charts do NOT imply that altcoins won’t drop by at least the same percentage as Bitcoin. The 40k key level on Bitcoin is the most powerful Level on the entire chart and it will reverse price aggressively. With that fact and ETH.D & ETH/BTC tanking more fuel, this could become very good money on Alts… USDT.D.: Pretty much the same picture as on Totals. Bullish Trend, but no HTF closes below key SL. Price should at least reverse into 7,8%, which is a level to be used as great confluence for MTF longs. If the market decides to pump one more time, Iam eyeing 6,7% as the most powerful level for a HTF reversal. If this level doesn’t reverse price aggressively to the downside and/or PA fails another time to break key SL, It’s more likely for this chart to go higher. Summary & thoughts: Personally I can see more upside on equities and I expect my marked out key level to be hit in the next few weeks. The question is how much love crypto will get from that. While I don't see much strength for altcoins, BTC could potentially go for 80.5k before reversing aggressively. All other major crypto charts don't look bueno from a HTF perspective. Also look how volume charts move further in the near future for more confluence. With BVOL dropping fast again and EVOL also at support, this could indicate the start of a large sell program soon. Psychology-wise, people are leaning more to the bullish side again. Also, we’ve already seen narrative validation in the news for the pumping stock market Master spoke about, comparing the stock market performance under Trump vs. Biden. So technically we can check that off. The question is whether it’s already enough to trap people before the wreckage. If we haven't seen the top already it's very likely to print in May. Iam in many HTF shorts and decided to don't take any profit on them. Stop loss is break even. Well aware that Iam in the minority with this behavior. Iam leaning more to the bearish side currently and if Iam right the shorts will print hard. If Iam wrong I will get stopped out BE and short from higher targets. Longs are treated as scalps. Also, Iam still in full $ with my spot positions. Yes, there has been some more upside and selling a little bit later would've been the better decision. Still, I want to protect myself against the downside as I don't want to see a -40% on my portfolio.

$100,000 invested 5 years ago in Ethereum $ETH is worth $85,000 today. $100,000 invested 5 years ago in Nvidia $NVDA is worth $1,400,000 today.

This hasn't changed

@lucas67261771 Get well soon, take care of yourself!

Yesterday, it was just a ride. And then, in the blink of an eye, it became something else entirely, a moment where the line between “I’m fine” and “everything changes forever” was thinner than you ever imagined. The kind of moment that humbles you, that shakes something deep inside, that reminds you how close loss can stand without ever announcing itself. I’m very lucky I have one of the biggest,strongest, heaviest moto in the market and I avoided losing my leg thanks to the protections bars that the moto has 🙏 Deutsch Qualitat 🙏 That accident was quite bad, a crazy driver drove on me, being totally distracted … I must have a guardian angel I guess, I will be fine despite the violence of the shock. The ordinary becomes precious. The small things feel louder, more alive. You understand, not intellectually but deeply, that being here is not something to take lightly. It’s not just about how fast things can go wrong. It’s about how suddenly you can be reminded of what truly matters. If you are a rider like me, be extra cautious, I know we hear that every day, but even me, a very experienced rider couldn’t avoid that crash yesterday… Be safe my friends 🙏

Yeah the BB was definitely the more optimal setup. I took the OB because it hit with BTC and I really liked the FIB's there which blinded me to the BB (who also has good fibs ofc), who I thought might be a good target from $0,038. In general I wouldn't say OB's are useless. I also trade OB's successfully but in that case it was a retail trap. Lesson for me here is to only play classic S&D when there is no hidden liquidity. I used to know that but yeah lessons will be repeated until they are learned 😅 Thanks for the long and good feedback tho good trade🤝

Personally I didn't even consider shorting that D OB as there is no reason at all, and most importanly you have above it a much more valuable area and setup that gives you much more probabilities to see ( at least ) a proper reaction Secondly the BB setup is on more premium area ( = better risk to take - higher % to profit from it ), most retail traders would have short your D OB = higher % to not play out like they would have wanted, the PA has more % and makes more sense to retrace after taking hidden liquidity that most can't find/see ( even more in this example that has also multiple MTF bbsx2 inside the DBB ) To sum up, i am just saying that D OB is useless, you only watch if it turns hidden and you wait for the PA to hit your higher probabilistic setup hoping my view helps 👍

$CHZ SL was eaten here and PA went for the more optimal level just above. Kinda sweet talked the HTF closes at the EQ & 0.618 and waited for at least the 0.382 of the latest swing to get hit in order to put my SL2BE. Notice how PA did close 12h at the mentioned FIB's but not on a daily timeframe, which probably was the trap here. Placing a LO at $0,051 would have been valid. I couldn't enter it. All shorts are at least BE at this point here. Kinda a make or break it situation in the market IMO. Many people turned very bullish lately, while being bearish or sidelined at the bottom. Kinda recognize the behaviour when BTC was in the high 90's before the big flush.

@SebWeb14 @Nelio07011 @Phantom_by_HKCM Bitte um Erläuterung der Lachsmileys

@altuscapra @Nelio07011 @Phantom_by_HKCM 😂🤣

Dieses Jahr werden noch einige Gesichter schmelzen

Servus, leider wird hierfür dir dieser Account nicht helfen. Mit Leute wie Phantom wirst du langfristig Geld verlieren und nicht Geld gewinnen. HKCM verkauft Kurse und bewirbt diese aktiv. Das Nummer 1 Indiz, dass sie mehr mit dem Kurs Geld verdienen und nicht mit dem Inhalt. Wenn du wirklich in den Märkten Geld verdienen willst und verstehen willst wie diese wirklich funktionieren schau auf mein Profil und schau dir viele profitable trades an. Bei mir und den den Leuten denen ich folge lernst du wie man richtig tradet.

@Phantom_by_HKCM Hoffentlich 🙏 bin seit kurzen alleinerziehender Vater von einem 6 jährigen Sohn. Könnte es gut gebrauchen 🙏

OP in play.

$BTC No weekly close above 🗝️ SH. It's about to get interesting. The last time Bitcoin did that, it dropped nearly 40% from the high 90's. If 67k does not hold or shows a weak behaviour by going for a powerful bearish level that still needs to be printed, I'd say 40k is in the books. Also, all eyes on todays stock market openings. A very important week.

@san_cryptic It's the most powerful level for a HTF reversal on this chart. Minimum target $1.31

@altuscapra So buy at 0.750? And ride it to 10x ?

$SUI HTF

@altuscapra just charted this too lol.. XMR pumping "alone" got me trippin🤪

Monero I like $434 the most since my favourite FIB sits there. $386 also very pretty. Considering the weekly SFP on BTC as well....

@alphadojo_net Puh das Engagement bei euren posts ist ja ganz schön Mau. Musste Kian schon ein Auto verkaufen?

📊 Long/Short Ratio – Stimmungsindikator mit Sprengkraft Die Long/Short Ratio verrät, wie der Markt positioniert ist und wo es gefährlich werden kann. Ein Thread über Marktpsychologie, Liquidationen & strategische Nutzung 🧵