bettin$tation

ATP 🎾 Jack Pinnington Jones ML (1.5%) Match is priced way too short considering JJ Wolf hasn’t played a legitimate tour player since his injury last year. Wolf won the Naples M15, which is nothing to really consider if we’re being honest. Courts in Houston player faster, literally not even clay, basically equivalent to smashed brick. JPJ should win this matchup pretty easily.

ATP 🎾 Jiri Lehecka +2.5 (1.5%) I was really impressed with how Lehecka performed against Quinn. Many times I found myself saying “too good” or “Jiri is playing out of his mind.” It was a very good performance and if he plays like that against Taylor Fritz, he should compete very heavily here. Fritz isn’t a strong returner, so if Lehecka just pounds the serve and doesn’t break himself, he should hold comfortably. Fritz is all dealing with knee discomfort, so Lehecka can just outlast Fritz in a long match, the tide should roll in his favor. Lehecka covers the court well and can force that extra ball. He needs to be aggressive and play physically with Fritz. That’s the plan for Lehecka today.

1u - KAT o4.5 1Q Points (-144 @ FD) Brunson is doubtful so KAT should step up in this spot. KAT has hit this in 4/5 games this year without Brunson and has averaged 8.8 1Q Points. Knicks are still -14.5 favorites so targeting just the 1Q feels like the play. Indiana allows the 6th most points to Centers and this can hit in two shots with KAT’s three point upside. Not caring about the juice when we’re on a hot streak. LETS ROLL!

1u - Trae Young 2+ Points In The First 3 Minutes (+125 @ DK) Going hunting for a nice plus odds play. Trae has hit this in 3/3 as a Wizard and now gets to debut in front of his new Wizards fans. Warriors allow the 4th most points to PG’s and Trae should be motivated tonight. We haven’t seen Trae play heavy minutes yet as a Wizard as he ramps up from injury, but this market makes it rotation proof. 180 seconds to bring us a bucket or two free throws, this should be fun. LETS ROLL.

JJ over 17.5 RA is too good to pass up in my opinion. Let’s goo.

1u - Jalen Green 20+ Points (-130 @ HardRock) I paid down a point purely out of trusting my gut. Green scored exactly 20 within his last 5 games and if he did it again I would be livid. Speaking of those last 5 games, he has hit this in 4 of them. His minutes are finally back up to a consistent 30+ and he is officially the secondary scorer behind DBook as Brooks remains out. The only concern here is blowout, but I trust this shotchucker to take advantage of a very weak Pacers defense that can’t stop pull up shots to save their life. Green has less than 20 games this season to beat the bust allegations, I don’t expect him to be efficient but I expect him to be aggressive which is all we can ask for here. LETS ROLL.

1u - Evan Mobley 4+ 1Q Points (-140 @ Fanatics) Will be short and sweet here. I don’t expect Allen to play in this one and Mobley sees nearly a 3 points per game boost when that happens. Harden is now in town which is great for Mobley. He has hit this in 12 of his last 14 games and Philly remains without Embiid. Mobley is 3/3 in this matchup this year regardless of it being an Embiid or a Drummond night. I expect Mobley to score two quick buckets here with ease, don’t care about the juice. LETS ROLL.