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@burrelljab

All-in on Web3

Beigetreten Mayıs 2020
1.2K Folgt293 Follower
jab
jab@burrelljab·
I got crypto scammed. Transacted crypto for 15 years, first time scammed. Feel like a fucking idiot. Do not use or interact with @usePolyArb or any variation (ArbPoly, poly_arb) it's all fake. In hindsight it was obv too good to be true.
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jab
jab@burrelljab·
@usePolyArb THIS IS A HUGE FUCKING SCAM, DO NOT USE. Upon connection it will drain your wallet. Can't believe I fell for it.
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PolyArb
PolyArb@usePolyArb·
We built the ultimate arbitrage machine. it literally scans every prediction market into one single dashboard: > live tracking for spreads across Polymarket, Kalshi, Drift & 12+ platforms > real-time price feeds from every market > executes both sides in <400ms on Solana > you profit no matter who wins > 24/7 automated scanning > free to use - we only take a cut when you profit while you're reading news and picking sides, this is running in the background. we didn't build a bot. we built infrastructure.
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jab@burrelljab·
@bigal_com These all offer real-time odds: Unabated has the books you'll care about and is in browser so easy to access on mobile. Oddslogic is mobile friendly as well. Built by some former DonBest people. Spotodds is currently developing a mobile version.
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Big Al McMordie
Big Al McMordie@bigal_com·
Can anyone help? DonBest’s mobile app no longer works on new mobile phones. I am looking for a mobile phone app which has odds from specific books like Circa & BetOnline. Are there any apps that has odds from those books so I can stay abreast when I am out of my office? Thanx
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Brett Meiselas
Brett Meiselas@BMeiselas·
People in authoritarian regimes don't wake up thinking, "I'm in an autocracy!" Leaders never declare, "Hey, I'm a dictator!" They stage "elections" like Russia's sham votes. Folks just live relatively normally: binge-watching shows, catching movies, chilling with loved ones, scraping by. But insidiously, free speech erodes. Minorities face persecution. Political opponents are targeted. History gets rewritten. Troops patrol streets. Businesses bow to state pressure. Independent media silenced. Judiciary packed with loyalists. Dissent labeled treason. Sound familiar?
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jab
jab@burrelljab·
@BetsandPicksMMA What software is that? Something custom?
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Andrew Gombas
Andrew Gombas@BetsandPicksMMA·
Bet Bengals -1 in tonight's preseason game. The line is currently -6/-6.5. If you want your accounts filled with bets like this, reach out and lets get going
Andrew Gombas tweet media
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Bet105
Bet105@bet_105·
Bet $100+ on #MLB — any market, any time — and we’ll drop a $25 Free Bet in your account. No code. No BS. Drop your @bet105 username below — we’re firing extra out FREE BETS into random accounts ALL DAY💸
Bet105 tweet media
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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
On Monday I’m introducing the FAIR BET Act, the Fair Accounting for Income Realized from Betting Earnings Taxation Act, to permanently restore the 100% loss deduction from gambling winnings. I welcome all other members to join this common sense fix.
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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
Republicans hurt Las Vegas gamblers and the gaming industry with their BS budget. I am working on a bill now that would reverse this unfair anti-gaming tax provision.
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Dina Titus
Dina Titus@repdinatitus·
Buried within the BS Republican Budget bill is a provision that harms poker players and those who gamble by limiting loss deductions. I’m working on a legislative fix that fairly treats gaming losses in the tax code.
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James Tate
James Tate@JamesTate121·
🚨🚨🚨This is exactly how I feel. 🚨🚨🚨 CHARLES PIERCE WRITES: “In my life, I have watched John Kennedy talk on television about missiles in Cuba. I saw Lyndon Johnson look Richard Russell squarely in the eye and say, "And we shall overcome." I saw Richard Nixon resign and Gerald Ford tell the Congress that our long national nightmare was over. I saw Jimmy Carter talk about malaise and Ronald Reagan talk about a shining city on a hill. I saw George H.W. Bush deliver the eulogy for the Soviet bloc, and Bill Clinton comfort the survivors of Timothy McVeigh's madness in Oklahoma City. I saw George W. Bush struggle to make sense of it all on September 11, 2001, and I saw Barack Obama sing 'Amazing Grace' in the wounded sanctuary of Mother Emanuel Church in Charleston, South Carolina. "These were the presidents of my lifetime. These were not perfect men. They were not perfect presidents, god knows. Not one of them was that. But they approached the job, and they took to the podium, with all the gravitas they could muster as appropriate to the job. They tried, at least, to reach for something in the presidency that was beyond their grasp as ordinary human beings. They were not all ennobled by the attempt, but they tried nonetheless. "And comes now this hopeless, vicious buffoon, and the audience of equally hopeless and vicious buffoons who laughed and cheered when he made sport of a woman whose lasting memory of the trauma she suffered is the laughter of the perpetrators. Now he comes, a man swathed in scandal, with no interest beyond what he can put in his pocket and what he can put over on a universe of suckers, and he does something like this while occupying an office that we gave him, and while endowed with a public trust that he dishonors every day he wakes up in the White House. "The scion of a multigenerational criminal enterprise, the parameters of which we are only now beginning to comprehend. A vessel for all the worst elements of the American condition. And a cheap, soulless bully besides. We never have had such a cheap counterfeit of a president* as currently occupies the office. We never have had a president* so completely deserving of scorn and yet so small in the office that it almost seems a waste of time and energy to summon up the requisite contempt. "Watch how a republic dies in the empty eyes of an empty man who feels nothing but his own imaginary greatness, and who cannot find in himself the decency simply to shut up even when it is in his best interest to do so. Presidents don't have to be heroes to be good presidents.
James Tate tweet media
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Vinnie
Vinnie@VinRBI·
My website is almost complete. You enter any baseball savant search query and it will collect all the videos from that query and combine them into one video for you to download. Here's a test example. It was made in less than 1 minute with just 2 clicks of a button
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Neil deGrasse Tyson
Neil deGrasse Tyson@neiltyson·
America is indeed a land of opportunity. Why else would so many immigrants want to come here — all the time — in search of freedom and prosperity. There is no America as we know it without the stories and ambitions of immigrants.
Neil deGrasse Tyson tweet media
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4Cᕽ
4Cᕽ@4CxSweeps·
Kyle has some motion but most sweepstakes enjoyers quit before cashing out a huge redemption. We want you to win. For the rest of today, if you tweet us a graded winning or losing ticket, we will credit you 100 GC and 5 4C cash. Good luck and enjoy your bonus, Kyle.
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MeidasTouch
MeidasTouch@MeidasTouch·
NEWS: Chief Justice John Roberts has issued an administrative stay pausing the court order requiring Kilmer Abrego Garcia, a man wrongfully sent to an El Salvadoran prison camp, to be returned by midnight tonight.
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Anderson Clayton☀️
Anderson Clayton☀️@abreezeclayton·
🚨 BREAKING NEWS: the Republican-majority on the N.C. Court of Appeals rules to overturn the decision of the Wake County Superior Court (and the voters in the state) in a 2-1 decision to disenfranchise more than 65,000 voters from LAST year’s election. ⬇️ appellate.nccourts.org/opinions/?c=2&…
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Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran·
So let’s recap: -DoJ found “Operation Good Ol USA” of Russia spreading Ukraine disinfo in the US -Sec of Def Hegseth has a Russian burner phone and email that has received payments from National Security Advisor Mike Waltz -DNI Gabbard is constantly retweeting Russian state propaganda from RT. -Gabbard also has a multi-decade long history of supporting Russian causes, meeting with Russian lobbyists and was an FBI person of interest in the DNC email hack. -Multiple former Trump campaign officials pled guilty to being unregistered foreign agents for Russia. -Trump, Vance and Rubio ambushed Zelensky in the Oval Office. -Trump has repeatedly withheld Ukrainian aid and support to coerce Ukraine, while doing nothing to Russia. -Trump refuses to directly be critical of Russia. -Musk has been lobbying Russia for access to rare earth minerals. -Musk shutdown USAID while it was investigating Starlink for misconduct on its Ukraine grant, including shutting off access on Ukrainian troops. -After months of strength in Kursk, Ukrainian forces suddenly started having positions compromised after connecting to Starlink. -Trump has discussed easing sanctions on Russia, leaving NATO, and directly vetoing Ukrainian involvement in NATO. -Trump has repeatedly promoted Russian talking points as the cause of the war. -Trump has threatened to invade Canada and Greenland, which provide NATO security monitoring of Russia and blockade any Russian shipping through Northern passages. -Trump has threatened to invade and take control of the Panama Canal which doesn’t allow Russian ships. At this point, anyone who turns a blind eye from how compromised this administration is, is complicit. Whether through stupidity, greed, or kompromat, Russia has infiltrated the highest levels of the US government, and Congress must meet its obligations to investigate and hold accountable every last traitor.
Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth)@adamscochran

The secretary of defense has a Russian burner phone.

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Chris Murphy 🟧
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT·
I went to the Senate floor to lay out for my colleagues the stunning story of brazen, open corruption during the first 6 weeks of the Trump presidency. I think it's a story everyone needs to know. 1/ So a🧵with the highlights from the speech.
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jab
jab@burrelljab·
@mckinleyslade Meaning the key variables are course fit and/or tee time/weather adjustments? Thanks, appreciate your thoughts.
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McKinley Slade
McKinley Slade@mckinleyslade·
@burrelljab I don’t think there is much of a consistent bias there anymore tbh. It changes on a week to week basis
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McKinley Slade
McKinley Slade@mckinleyslade·
As betting markets evolve and develop it seems like the "obvious" situations offer a worse opportunity set than ever. In fact, I would argue that the "obvious" stuff is actually over accounted for more often than not. It's a difficult concept to explain without an example, so here is one this week at the AT&T... It's no secret that in golf, putting tends to be the most volatile strokes gained category. The difference between a 12 foot putt that lips out and a putt that goes in the hole is approximately 0 skill, but a full stroke gained. This can lead to situations where players putt worse than their intermediate or longer term baselines over a stretch of events, and consequently, become attractive targets in betting markets. You would expect them to experience positive putting regression, and their prices to be depressed due to recent performance struggles. A picturesque example this week is Jason Day. One of the best putters in the world, has lost a bunch of strokes on the greens the last few weeks, and may be primed for regression on surfaces that he has historically thrived on. The only issue, is that the market knows this. Day is priced at ~35:1 across the industry, implying a roughly 2.8% chance to win, and is a -120 favorite against Keegan Bradley, who has one of the better stretches of recent form entering this week, and is a similar level of talent to Day in terms of baseline skill. Datagolf gives Day about a 1.7% chance to win, and my expectation is about 1.9%. In both cases, there is certainly no value to be had. Some of this is due to the fact that bettors love course history, and Day excels in that department this week, but there's no question that many have noted the expected putting regression. This sort of phenomenon is nothing new, but it has gotten more comprehensive the last few years. Angles that used to be niche enough to slide under the radar, are now discovered, and over-bet more often than not. Ironically, if Day had only putt kind of bad, something in the 25-35th percentile of his putting distribution, rather than the 0-10th percentile, he would probably offer more value in markets this week, even though the putting regression would be a smaller factor. If you're someone who makes fair values based on underlying models, this dynamic doesn't present much of an issue for you. But, if you rely primarily on intuition and trends, then you need to be careful not to jump on prices that have gone too far. The market no longer misses the extreme stuff, even if it comes in niche areas.
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jab
jab@burrelljab·
@RapSheet Hope he's a better fit than that jacket.
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