
Chille
18.7K posts

Chille
@Chille
since 2016 investor ichimoku master





$BTC & $ETH positive headlines from the US-Iran front are lifting all markets right now. but throughout this conflict we've seen sharp moves in both directions, so treating this as a reliable signal would be a mistake. eth was already leaning positive but risky, btc was outright negative. now both are sitting at resistance levels. if resistance breaks, the daily close is what matters. the problem is, i can't act with full conviction here. volatility this extreme doesn't just affect crypto, it's across every market right now. what i need to see clearly is btc closing a daily candle above $71K. until then, i'm staying cautious. sorry for the lack of a cleaner take. i'd rather be honest about uncertainty than force a call i don't believe in.




$ETH & $ETHBTC while btc's chart looks rough, eth is telling a different story. eth hasn't lost kumo support and the cloud has flipped positive, but we're at a critical point where it could flip back negative. so it cuts both ways. here's how i'm reading it: as long as key support holds, the structure is leaning positive. but does it inspire confidence? not yet. for that, $2,159 needs to be cleared. a genuine bull signal only starts becoming real above $2,578. for now, i'm treating the $1,934 / $2,159 range as neutral territory. not bearish, not bullish. just watching. on the ethbtc side, same story, leaning positive but still neutral. key levels are marked on the chart, that's the cleanest way to follow it.








$BTC a few days ago btc managed to break above the first kumo resistance but it looks like it's about to give it back. losing the cloud after a breakout has historically been a red flag for larger downside moves. it hasn't officially lost it yet, but a daily close around $65.5k would confirm the breakdown. price action right now isn't exactly inspiring confidence. if we lose it, don't be surprised to see lower support levels get targeted. for a genuinely bullish structure, $79k needs to be reclaimed. a close above $71k first would put $79k in play as the next target. bottom line, no short-term bullish case here. staying patient on the crypto side.




















