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@enumerate14
I originally used this account to do some informal data analysis of Christian Twitter. I stopped when the API got expensive. Now I mainly use it to doom scroll.
Beigetreten Mart 2021
808 Folgt89 Follower


@gummibear737 If this drags on for much longer, then either the blockade is ineffective or they can dig out new storage as fast as they need.
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@gummibear737 Time will ultimately determine whether Iran is successfully avoiding the blockade or not. Many people have claimed that the blockade puts the regime in an existential crisis. That within 30 days Iran’s storage would be full and they would have to shut down wells.
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@Osint613 Ugh… this sounds almost as delusional as the propaganda from the IRGC about their “victorious defense.” If Iran actually wanted the Strait open, they could have opened it during the ceasefire, when they said they would, prior to the blockade.
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Latest Trump post:
Iran doesn't want the Strait of Hormuz closed, they want it open so they can make $500 Million Dollars a day (which is, therefore, what they are losing if it is closed!). They only say they want it closed because I have it totally BLOCKADED (CLOSED!), so they merely want to "save face." People approached me four days ago, saying, "Sir, Iran wants to open up the Strait, immediately." But if we do that, there can never be a Deal with Iran, unless we blow up the rest of their Country, their leaders included! President DONALD J. TRUMP

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@nickshep7777 @Osint613 Trump *is* signaling that he wants this to end… And Iran is picking up on the signals and playing for time.
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@nickshep7777 @Osint613 I agree the blockade is hurting Iran, although there’s some fog-of-war regarding whether Iran actually managed to get over two dozen ships through. But Iran seems to be calculating that Trump wants this to end more than they are willing to suffer economically.
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Today the Islamic regime wins, let’s see what happens Thursday
Open Source Intel@Osint613
Islamic Regime: We promised not to negotiate if the Naval blockade is in place President Trump: We will absolutely not lift the Naval blockade until a deal is reached. Who wins?
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@nickshep7777 @Osint613 Iran is smart enough to see this and probably think their best option right now is for him to get more desperate so that he makes a bad deal.
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@nickshep7777 @Osint613 But the signs that Trump is looking for an off-ramp are all over the place and have been since the beginning of April when he first bluffed about hitting power plants within 48 hours.
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@nickshep7777 @Osint613 Because they refused to negotiate, stalling for time, while calling Trump’s bluff for the 3rd time that he was going to hit their infrastructure. Iran gets the public image of Trump looking like he’s desperate for an off-ramp while they remain defiant and resolute.
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@Osint613 How exactly does the IRGC win today?
The blockade is still in place.
The thing that’s hurting them the most is still there.
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@Osint613 And, what, about 200 people showed up for this parade?
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@PeteHegseth @POTUS Maybe actually making good on your threats, instead of being caught bluffing, would motivate them to find a unified solution?
GIF
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@_MossadHoneyp0t @Osinttechnical That’s why it’s a disaster, for Trump. He’s basically motivating them to hold out, thereby extending the situation.
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@_MossadHoneyp0t @Osinttechnical Trump has allowed the regime to violate this and completely overlook it. That is, in itself , a signal of weakness. Combined with his repeated bluffs, he’s sending very strong signals to the Iranians that he is more desperate for a deal than they are.
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Not sure I understand the point of this. So celebrities, being at greater risk of being deepfaked, aren’t sure whether they actually did the thing in the video, so we need to give them access to a tool to help them decide whether it’s actually themselves or not?
Alex Weprin@alexweprin
Scoop: YouTube is opening up its deepfake detection tool to all of Hollywood. Anyone famous enough to be at high risk, whether they have a YouTube channel or not, can now sign on to use the tool.
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@Osint613 Who gave the U.S. the right to touch a Chinese vessel?
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@govindrkannan @Osint613 Statements like this are only intended for social media chest thumping. If it was serious, they would have communicated it to the White House and official channels would declare the meetings canceled.
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@Osint613 Statements like this highlight just how deep the mistrust runs between both sides.
But shutting the door completely only guarantees escalation over progress. At some point, someone has to move first.
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