FluliFI

46 posts

FluliFI

FluliFI

@flulifi

Liquidity Flux Analysis for Ethereum DeFi. Not raw data - interpreted fragility signals. One score. No price calls, no noise. https://t.co/qrTlk2u5uA

Beigetreten Mart 2026
34 Folgt46 Follower
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
What that means in practice: WBTC/WETH - 68.7 WBTC against 18K WETH. Sell-only swap flow at maximum intensity across every window. Any meaningful outflow moves price materially. UNI/WETH - 666.8 WETH backing over 3.85M UNI. 1% average per-swap price movement on just 29 trades. AAVE/WETH - 355.1 WETH against 54K AAVE. A concentrated sell order exhausts WETH depth with no structural cushion.
FluliFI tweet mediaFluliFI tweet media
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
The USDC depeg to $0.87 during SVB was also one of the cleanest on-chain liquidity signals of 2023. Pool one-sidedness in USDC pairs went extreme before most people processed what was happening. The stablecoin risk debate matters. But the chain showed the stress before the headlines did.
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Ignas | DeFi
Ignas | DeFi@DefiIgnas·
USDC dominates in DeFi because of years of Tether FUD. But IMHO AI hacking DeFi is a bigger risk than USDC or USDT depeg risks. And because Circle fails to proactively freeze hacked funds, Tether's USDT might be a safer bet than USDC in DeFi. With Tether helping Drift maybe more of Solana DeFi will move to Tether? I remember years ago Aave wouldn't even list USDT as collateral on Ethereum. But as USDC depegged to $0.87 during SVB, ACI resubmitted the USDT collateral proposal the same month. The USDT backing also changed. Used to be up to 50% commercial paper, including Chinese bank paper nobody could verify. That was the main FUD point for years. By late 2022 Tether moved from commercial paper into US Treasuries. Latest Tether's Q4 2025 attestation shows USDT is backed by: ~74% US Treasuries ~9% gold ~4% Bitcoin ~8% secured loans ~5% other To be fair, backing is still too exotic for many. S&P gave them a 'weak' rating. In comparison, USDC is backed by 85% Treasuries and 14% cash at banks. But last month Tether signed a Big Four firm for its first full audit. So what's actually the bigger risk for a DeFi user in 2026? USDT briefly depegging to $0.95 like in 2022, or your hacked funds going to North Korea because Circle won't freeze funds without a court order? Circle's refusal to freeze is a luxury DeFi can't afford this until AI hacking risks decrease.
Ignas | DeFi tweet media
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
@DefiIgnas Not degen, but: watching a pool drain in real time is its own kind of exciting. UNI/WETH right now - 91% one-sided, zero new liquidity entering, only burns. The pool isn’t collapsing. It’s just quietly becoming unusable. That’s the kind of thing worth watching.
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Ignas | DeFi
Ignas | DeFi@DefiIgnas·
You've got my full attention: I'm scrolling X looking for something exciting to play with. But despite being open to try new things, nothing really lands.. Stablecoin adoption is great. But what am I supposed to do with it? Earning yield already. And signed up for like 10 crypto cards already. Another card needs to be 3x better now. RWAs trading is good but not what makes a DeFi degen salivate. Today's most exciting thing was Rabby's new Convert Dust feature. Fun to touch wallets again. Last bear market we had Hamster Racing. Can we do some more degen stuff again?
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
Full daily report - free in early access. flulifi.com
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
Anyone routing WETH-out trades across multiple venues from this cluster is compounding slippage at every hop. Today's portfolio score: 38.69/100 - Low overall. Three individual pools at 70/100 High. The aggregate masks what's underneath.
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
Three pools. Same structural failure. Same time. WBTC/WETH, UNI/WETH, and AAVE/WETH are all showing critically one-sided depth right now. The imbalance is identical across all four measured windows. This isn't price drift. ↓
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
@aave $20M in deposits is the start of the signal history. New pools need time before fragility patterns become readable - LP behavior, concentration risk, exit dynamics. The data is thin now but it compounds fast. Worth watching closely from day one.
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Aave
Aave@aave·
Aave V4 has reached $20M in deposits. Caps scale up from here as the system matures, under a security-first launch.
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
@DefiIgnas 72% slippage on $8.2M is the number that matters. Collateral that can't be liquidated without destroying its own value isn’t collateral - it's a fragility signal waiting to materialize. This is what illiquidity risk looks like before it becomes a bad debt headline.
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
@CoinMarketCap Chaos Labs exits Aave. Third major contributor out in two months. Governance risk is visible. What’s harder to see is whether it’s moving liquidity yet. LP behavior on Aave pools will show that before the headlines do.
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CoinMarketCap
CoinMarketCap@CoinMarketCap·
🏦 DeFi Brief: 🔹 Ethena expands USDe backing into broader RWAs. 🔹 Hyperbeat launches Liquid Banking neobank service. 🔹 Chaos Labs exits Aave citing risk misalignment. 🔹 Sushiswap integrates perps powered by Hyperliquid. 5/6
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CoinMarketCap
CoinMarketCap@CoinMarketCap·
🚀 CMC Market Pulse: Market Breathes on a Shaky Ceasefire BTC +7.76%, ETH +6.05%. $2.44T market cap rebounds as markets react to ceasefire news. Short liquidations spike as risk appetite returns. Let’s break down this week’s top crypto narratives 🧵
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
@coingecko Not a project - a pool. UNI/WETH on Uniswap. 91% of remaining depth is UNI-sided. Zero new liquidity entering for 24h. Only burns. Not a price opinion. Just what the chain is showing right now.
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CoinGecko
CoinGecko@coingecko·
Which project are you keeping an eye on?
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Wajahat Mughal
Wajahat Mughal@Wajahat·
DeFi outside of Hyperliquid is still phenomenal. Every year, new innovations come from within our industry, don't forget the good stuff we have! - Yield products (@pendle_fi, @ryskfinance, @ethena, @maplefinance, @yearnfi, @Neutrl) - Derivatives (@DeriveXYZ, @variational_io, @boros_fi, @nadoHQ) - RWAs (@spreads_fi, @xStocksFi, @PreStocks, @tethergold, @JarsyInc) - Money Markets (@aave, @Morpho, @eulerfinance, @kamino) - Credit (@USDai_Official, @capmoney_ @3janexyz) - Banking (@ether_fi, @hyperbeat) - Privacy (@RAILGUN_Project) - AMM innovations (@Uniswap, @CurveFinance, @yieldbasis, @ValantisLabs) - Intents (@CoWSwap, @NEARProtocol) + a dozen more I've probably missed. There's a new era coming for things like DeFi with tokenised equities and prediction markets.
James Christoph@JamesChristoph

So delicious that after 6+ years in defi the best we have outside of hyperliquid are companies making money on t-bills.

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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
Multi-layered risk assessment is right. Governance-level risk and on-chain liquidity fragility are different layers - both matter, neither replaces the other. LP behavior and pool signals on Aave pools are trackable continuously. That's a different layer from what LlamaRisk does, not a competing one.
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Stani
Stani@StaniKulechov·
LlamaRisk has done great job over the years as a risk manager on Aave. Great to see the team stepping up. Going forward Aave will continue to retain multi-layered risk assessment approach that has served Aave Protocol well.
LlamaRisk@LlamaRisk

1/ LlamaRisk is stepping up risk at @aave. We are expanding our mandate to deliver comprehensive risk coverage across V3, V4, and Horizon- operating as a core pillar of the protocol as it scales into its next phase.

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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
The UNI/WETH V3 pool showed exactly this pattern yesterday. Intraday LP flow fully mint-dominated. Full-day LP activity: zero minting, only burns. FluliFi tracks this across all monitored windows simultaneously - because the gap between timeframes is often the signal itself.
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
New liquidity entering a pool and old liquidity leaving look identical on a price chart. They are not the same thing. LP flow ratio is the signal that tells them apart - and what it shows before a pool structurally fails is worth understanding. ↓
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
@ETH_Daily Capital stays where the signals are readable. Ethereum's depth isn't just TVL - it's the on-chain data infrastructure that makes risk legible. LP behavior, liquidity concentration, holder dynamics - these are measurable because the ecosystem is mature enough to measure them.
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FluliFI
FluliFI@flulifi·
A pool scores LOW at every short window but HIGH at the daily. Short-term LPs are minting. Long-term picture shows only burns. Is that a recovery signal or a distribution pattern?
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