#NBA: Pistons +4.5 (-105) 1 unit
The best team in the East is a road dog tonight. The market is begging you to take New York.
Detroit is 40-13 and owns the best record in the NBA. They beat this Knicks team by 31 and 38 in the first two meetings this season. 121-90 on January 5. 118-80 on February 7. Combined margin of 69 points in two games.
The Pistons rank 2nd in defensive rating this season and hold opponents to 44.1 percent shooting. They lead the entire league in steals at 10.6 and blocks at 6.3 per game.
Brunson went 4 for 20 in the last meeting. Shot 0 for 8 from three. Detroits length and switching ability smothered him both times.
The Pistons are 8 of their last 8 covering as road underdogs this season. They are 26-7 against the Eastern Conference. Cade Cunningham is averaging 25.3 points and 9.6 assists running one of the deepest rotations in basketball.
Getting 4.5 points with a 40-win team that has won this season series by an average of 34.5 points is not a number you see often.
LaMelo Ball “O” 24.5 Pts+Asts ❌💩
1-9 from the field and of course the Hornets are down by 25 points. Two things completely out of my control. All we can do is move on I guess…
KB’s November 25th NBA Cup Prop #4 🏀
Trust the Wagon Once Again Tonight! 👀
Franz Wagner “O” 16.5 FG Attempted
We have now taken this prop twice so far this season at this line and we’ve cashed it both times so you know I have to take it once again.
Last game his FG attempted line was at 19.5 but due to him only taking 10 shots we’re getting a major discounted line.
Paolo Banchero remains ruled out! Without Paolo and with 30+ minutes played, Franz is over this line in his last 12 STRAIGHT and 19/20 games averaging 20.4 FGA per game.
In these 20 games he’s also seen an average usage rate of 31.4% which is very high volume for him. With a 28% usage rate or higher, Franz is over in his last 18 STRAIGHT and 19/20 games averaging 20.2 FGA per game with his only miss being at 16 FGA!
Plus if you add him playing on the Road then he has gone over this line in his last 8 STRAIGHT games averaging 21.2 FGA per game.
This is also an NBA cup game if you didn’t already know. Franz has shot with lots of volume in these games as he’s over in his last 9 STRAIGHT and 9/10 NBA cup games averaging 19.4 FGA per game with his only miss being at 16 FGA.
Franz has already played the 76ers once this season where he took just 12 shots but this was because Paolo scored 32 points and took 18 shots plus Desmond Bane scored 24 points and took 17 shots. I just don’t see this happening again.
Without Paolo, Franz is over in his last 3/3 games vs the 76ers recording 23 FGA in each one of these games!
In Philly’s last 5 games, 5/6 opposing SF’s have gone over their respective FG attempted lines vs them. Check all of them out ⬇️
- Isaac Okoro: 8 FGA / 6.5 line ✅
- Zaire Williams: 9 FGA / 6.5 line ✅
- Jaylen Brown: 19 FGA / 18.5 line ✅
- Corey Kispert: 11 FGA / 5.5 line ✅
- Kyshawn George: 17 FGA / 12.5 line ✅
Backing Franz to come through for us once again to go 3-0 on this prop and line in a high stakes NBA cup game!
Drop a ❤️ if you’re tailing this play!
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THE SHARP TNF UNDER ⬇️
W. Robinson U 18.5 Longest Rec (-120)
#NYGIants vs #FlyEaglesFly
Turn on the film and you will wonder why this line exists.
Show love if you want ANOTHER Play ❤️
Since Dart became the starter, Wan'Dale has had 12 targets.
8 of them have been screens
1 was a 2 yard flat
1 was a scramble drill inside the 5
1 of them was a 12 yard reception against soft coverage on 3rd and 20
1 of them was a deep target that should have been intercepted
Daboll as tried to keep the offense as simple as possible for Dart and Robinson has made a career out of being the short-yardage receiver type of player. While he had 2 games with deeper targets this season, it is no coincidence that those occurred with Russ at the charge who is a gun slinger.
It is also worth noting that against screens that are NOT to RBs, PHI ranks 7th in the NFL with just 3.7 yards per receptions (only 3 receptions) and ranked 3rd best against them last season on 24 receptions allowed.
On short throws to slot/outside, PHI ranks 8th in Yards per reception this season and 1st last season
3.7% Explosive play rate on short throws to slot this year and they sat at 3.1% in the same stat last season.
Losing on this line would have to mean there is just a disaster moment by the PHI defense because his role in this new scheme does not justify this line in the slightest
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