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"MY Son is a Hacker"
that's exactly what my mom said
it was a Polymarket bot making $600/day while she stood behind me
polymarket pricing is basically one equation: softmax, the same math Claude uses to pick the next word:
C(q) = b · ln Σ e^(qi/b)
most traders don't even know it exists... they see 35¢ and think cheap
my bot sees 35¢ and computes fair value at 55¢, an 20¢ edge
two more formulas handle the rest: Kelly for sizing, Bayes for updating
I gave Claude the equations and told it: "Find every mispriced contract"
$502 → $12,089 on 348 trades, still running
72.6% win rate. wrong plenty, but position sizing makes wins outweigh losses
the formulas are on Wikipedia
the code fits in one file
drop a follow. I'll teach u how to build this bot
the only edge: reading the math at 2AM when the market's asleep
mom still calls me a hacker
she stopped asking about a real job xD
Lunar@LunarResearcher
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