Kenneth S Rogoff

高市総理との議論は大変有意義でした。日本経済を活性化させようとする総理のご努力に、心から敬意を表します。特に、日本の強みを活かした投資を促進すること、そして、金利がより高く、為替もより不安定になりうる中で、国際通貨体制が多極化していく世界に日本がどう備えていくかは重要だと強く感じました。高市総理と日本の成功を心から願っています。 www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/…

本日、経済財政諮問会議に、世界的に著名なマクロ経済学の有識者として、オリヴィエ・ブランシャール教授、ケネス・ロゴフ教授のお二人をお迎えし、我が国の経済財政運営を国際的な議論の中に位置づける「特別セッション」を開催し、活発なご議論をいただきました。 ブランシャール教授からは、 ・財政運営について、｢経済の不確実性｣や｢債務残高対ＧＤＰ比｣を踏まえつつ､モデル試算を活用し、年々の｢機械的な調整｣を避け、信頼に足る｢中期の道筋｣を示すことが重要、 ・公的投資については、歳出と想定される歳入の関係性を透明化し、投資予算を「別枠管理」することが重要、 といった御示唆をいただきました。 ロゴフ教授からは、 ・補正予算への依存度低減は｢予見可能性｣を高めること、 ・日本の強みを活かす分野への取組に着手すること に対する評価をいただきました。 お二方からは、世界的に金利が高まり不安定化が進む中で、金利上昇に備えた｢リスク管理｣が大切であることなどについて、数多くのご示唆をいただきました。 今後、本日の御議論も踏まえ、今夏の骨太の方針に向けて、経済財政諮問会議において、「責任ある積極財政」の具体化に向けた検討を加速していきたいと思います。

simonandschuster.com/books/Thinking… New book by chess and poker champion @JenShahade. A masterclass in how to use strategic thinking for making decisions in life. Deeply researched, thoughtful and engaging.

PM Takaichi:"I held a special session at the meeting of the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy. I invited Professor Olivier Blanchard and Professor Kenneth Rogoff, both of whom have served as Chief Economist of the IMF, and received their analyses (1/2)

Congratulations to executive producer Robin Hessman who also translates onstage deadline.com/2026/03/mr-nob…

Very much liked @SecScottBessent Fed piece in @IntlEconomy especially on mission creep which echo the views in my book. On core interest rate policy and post-pandemic inflation surge, the Fed far from perfect but there is also some Monday morning quarterbacking going on here.

The White House posted my CNN appearance on today's inflation numbers, which can only be called good news. However, given that there was no October CPI report due to the shutdown, it will take at least a few more months to be confident in the underlying trend.

Respectfully, @thetimes repeats polemic nonsense. thetimes.com/business/econo… boosts short-term growth, but there is a tradeoff because legacy high debt weighs on it, as our complete published 2012 paper showed cleanly and much modern experience demonstrates. project-syndicate.org/commentary/lon…

A pleasure to be in Paris to give laudation for Silvana Tenreyo's achievement . A brilliant scholar and policymaker, her recent work on exchange rates and monetary policy challenges the sticky-price dollar dominance model many academics and the IMF have coalesced around

"As unhinged as some of these characters might have been, at least they seemed to be correctly interpreting the book’s main points; they just happened to violently disagree."

I’ve avoided playing for a very long time due to my uncontrollable chess addiction, but that was the price of admission for the famous Botez chess podcast youtu.be/YJDJ19tdo6k, featuring the brilliant and charismatic Alexandra Botez.

Jan Timman reached the highest levels of world championship chess and today is one of the deepest and most interesting writers in the game.

A Fed subordinate to the US president will not mean immediate higher inflation right away but the market is far too sanguine about the long term effects

ECB President Christine @Lagarde on rising risks: "This time is never different: the importance of safeguarding financial stability ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date…

The Supreme Court has ruled that President Trump can only fire Federal Reserve officials for “just cause”. Does “just cause I want to” count? @realDonaldTrump

Thank you Kristalina Georgieva @KGeorgieva for the vibrant conversation and really appreciate the many IMF Staff and board members who found time in their busy day to attend.

A pleasure to be speak with Rory and Allastair (just released on Apple) @RestIsPolitics (towards end, Allastair covers the anti-austerity polemics from 2013) podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/dee…