
FEJ
841 posts











🇵🇰🇨🇳🇮🇷 HOW PAKISTAN AND CHINA ACTUALLY BROKERED THE CEASEFIRE Pakistan emerged as the mediator nobody saw coming, but it's been building for a year. Last spring, Trump intervened in India-Pakistan fighting and helped broker a ceasefire. Pakistan was ready to declare it, India wasn't, and U.S-India ties tanked while Pakistan got closer to Trump. Pakistan's army chief visited the White House multiple times. They even used crypto diplomacy to boost ties with Trump's family business. Perfect positioning: Pakistan sits next to Iran, has a defense treaty with Saudi Arabia, close ties with China and the U.S, and desperately needs oil and gas flowing because they're facing an energy crisis. But China may have been the real power broker. They reportedly intervened at the last minute. China is Iran's biggest oil buyer and put $400 billion into Iran's economy since the JCPOA without seeing returns. Source: Bloomberg

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 THE U.S. CAN STOP BALLISTIC MISSILES. IT CANNOT STOP DRONE SWARMS. Former U.S. Navy Rear Admiral Mark Montgomery says this is America's Achilles heel in this war. Intercepting ballistic missiles? The U.S. has that handled. Long-range attack drones coming in waves? That's a different story entirely. The U.S. does not have enough ground-based drone interceptors in the region. Until that gap is filled, every operation faces threats nobody has a clean answer for. @MarkCMontgomery


🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Netanyahu is publicly calling the ceasefire a win. Privately, he reportedly lobbied Trump against it, arguing it came too soon and gives Iran room to regroup. That tension tells you everything. Israel went into this war with goals: degrade Iran's nuclear program, gut its missile capabilities, maybe topple the regime itself. A 2-week pause, brokered without Israel even at the table, does none of that, it just stops the bleeding for now. At home, his coalition's hardliners wanted to keep going; they see this as leaving the job half-done. And the opposition, led by Yair Lapid, is already calling it the worst political disaster in Israeli history. The Lebanon carve-out is his lifeline; by keeping that front active, Netanyahu can tell his base he hasn't gone soft. Israel is still hitting Hezbollah, and he can frame that as staying on the offense while the U.S. handles the Iran diplomacy track. But this deal exposed how much Israel's military campaign ultimately depends on Washington's appetite for it. When Trump decided the Strait of Hormuz mattered more than another month of strikes, that was the end of the conversation. Netanyahu didn't get the decisive outcome he was selling to his country. Whether that catches up to him depends on what the next 2 weeks produce. Source: AP News, Times of Israel, Politico, Al Jazeera











