scott m

206.2K posts

scott m

scott m

@scottthomasm

yimby political junkie

North Carolina, USA Beigetreten Nisan 2011
6.8K Folgt1.7K Follower
The New Statesman
The New Statesman@NewStatesman·
After Iran, America may turn against Israel The real special relationship is unravelling By @freddiejh8 #Echobox=1775811558" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">newstatesman.com/international-…
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Brandon Weichert
Brandon Weichert@WeTheBrandon·
At this point, Iran is not only on track to become fabulously wealthy but it will become the regional hegemon we had been striving to contain. That’s what strategic failure looks like.
Brandon Weichert tweet media
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Policy Tensor
Policy Tensor@policytensor·
Enough with the bullshit tactical/operational copium! Operationally, the decapitation strike failed, the interdiction war failed, the attempt to reopen Hormuz failed, the attempt to coerce Iran into submission failed. This is a clear defeat, operationally and strategically.
Brandon Weichert@WeTheBrandon

At this point, Iran is not only on track to become fabulously wealthy but it will become the regional hegemon we had been striving to contain. That’s what strategic failure looks like.

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Zachary Foster
Zachary Foster@_ZachFoster·
Second time this week that Israeli-ISIS forces carried out operations beyond the 'Yellow Line.' Israel's Palestinian collaborator militias are alive and well, as is Israel's plan to create civil war & chaos in Gaza.
MintPress News@MintPressNews

🚨Israeli Backed ISIS-Linked Militias Are Advancing In Gaza Towards Civilian Areas In Al-Bureij A large convoy of the militants are being escorted by Israeli attack drones. Clashes with resistance forces are expected imminently.

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Brandon Weichert
Brandon Weichert@WeTheBrandon·
Given the kind of people who rose to "run" MAGA at the highest levels since Trump took power, this is the kind of cleansing restorative that the shambolic grift that is the GOP actually needs. Losing in this case will force the kinds of changes we've been demanding.
Owen Shroyer@OwenShroyer1776

Make no mistake, MAGA did this. They will blame everyone but themselves, but we all saw it. They sacrificed mid terms for the foreign & special interests. They traded control of Congress for war in the Middle East. But they'll complain & blame everyone else for what they did.

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Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Massive geopolitical shift. NHK World reveals Taiwan's booming semiconductor industry has created so much wealth that Taiwanese investors are now buying up prime Tokyo real estate. They are brilliantly exploiting the weak Japanese yen to build massive portfolios.
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Charlie Sykes
Charlie Sykes@SykesCharlie·
When you’ve lost Meloni… Italy’s Meloni pivots away from Trump as she looks to reset her premiership – POLITICO politico.eu/article/italys…
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Firas Modad
Firas Modad@firasmodad·
Israel will NOT survive the coming separation from the United States. Israel is a Western protectorate, full stop. And today the only possible security guarantor is America. Muh nukes. Imagine how using nukes would play out. Already the Iran war of choice has convinced the region that everyone needs nuclear weapons. What do you think happens to a much hated country with a small population and no strategic depth if it uses its nukes? What makes this much worse for Israelites is that their extremism in the West has pretty much sentenced liberalism to death. Meaning that the age of tolerance is over. And pendulums always swing to the extreme. I wish it wasn't like that. But it is. The Israelis would do well to adopt temperance, justice, prudence, and humility, but these are the values they rejected when they rejected Jesus Christ. This is the warning of a friend, not an enemy, but I don't expect it to be accepted as such.
H.A. Hazony@HAHazony

Fairly common for anti-Israel people to point out the negative poll numbers Israel has among the youth. Some thoughts on why this is misread. 1) Opinions change. 18 y/o who don't know anything about Israel will have a negative view if all they see is bombed out buildings on TV. But that very same demographic will simply forget Israel exists within 2 years if it's out of the news. The people who love Israel, however, are going to love it into the future. Point is, there's no real way to know how this plays out long term. 2) People love a winner. Remember how anti-Israel sentiment exploded after 10/07? When the Jewish people was hurt worse than it has been in decades. Rule of life: everyone kicks you when you're down, everyone is missing when the shoe drops. It's the way of the world. But conversely, the opposite is also true. Remember how everyone wanted to be MAGA and Trump's friend the weeks before the election because he was winning? Same thing could happen if Israel decisively wins this war. 3) The blues are just showing their true colors. If you've been following Israel since 2008 (you haven't, that's ok), they have already lost support from the Dems. It's not some great revelation, Obama actively undermined Israel. IL survived, the US relationship has never been better. 4) Let's say the polls hold into the future. So what? Israel needs to stop fighting to protect itself? You don't let yourself be killed in order to keep strangers on the internet happy. Israel can't afford friends who demand from it pacifism. 5) Israel does not need financial aid. Israel will not cease to exist if the US stops sending subsidies that are used to buy US weapons. Bibi wants to wind this aid down, I've been publicly speaking about it for 5 years atp. I don't really know what will happen in the future, but the argument that Israel should lay down its arms because the most left-wing progressive generation dislikes the Jewish State just doesn't make sense. Either they get over it, or they don't. Either way, Israel has to do what it has to do to survive. Some will argue that Israel can't survive bad polls in the US. This is fairly naive. First, because it assumes that DC FP is fully responsive to the polls. But US was far more pro-Israel than the DC establishment for decades and that never stopped the deep state. If Israel is a useful ally, US FP will use it--popular or no. And second, because it's laughable to think that Israel's depends on the US to survive. The US is Israel's closest ally. Israel is immensely benefited by this relationship. But Israel survived for 30 years before it became friends with the Americans, and it was a poorer and weaker country back then. Israel survives, to a very large extent, because it punches way above its weight militarily. Since the day the Jewish State was founded, it's neighbors try to destroy it every 10-20 years. The survival of the Jewish people has so far been preserved by its warrior ethos, by the ingenuity of its populace, and by the hand of providence. Negative opinion polls among 18 year olds are not going to change that.

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Gregg Carlstrom
Gregg Carlstrom@glcarlstrom·
"Crucially, a Hormuz toll system would likely be opposed by China. 'The biggest trading nation in the world has no interest in going back to the 18th and 19th centuries now that its entire economy is predicated on exports.'" wsj.com/world/middle-e…
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Firas Modad
Firas Modad@firasmodad·
Trump is stuck. He wants Iran to help lower oil prices by reopening Hormuz. But if he escalates again, the prices rise again, for much longer. Iran knows he can't launch a ground invasion and that the cost of fighting from the air is unsustainable for the global economy. So the Iranians are pushing their luck and keeping Hormuz closed to force Trump to include Lebanon in the ceasefire and to maintain their leverage for the Pakistan talks.
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex

BREAKING: Trump says 'This is not the agreement we have!' regarding oil going through the Strait of Hormuz

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Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️
The NATO fiasco just exposed a massive US national security vulnerability: America barely owns any ships. The top 5 container shipping firms (all European or Chinese) control 65% of global capacity. The US has zero container shipping firms in the top 30 — and less than 0.2% of worldwide container shipping. If Europe won’t even let us use their bases to strike a regime they hated… What happens to this shipping capacity when we’re in a hot war with China and European leaders demand their shipping firms reduce capacity or cut off American businesses that do business with the US Department of War? Supply chains are the front lines.
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MC Squared
MC Squared@mcsquared34·
USPS isn’t inefficient & it’s not a burden on Americans that runs at a loss, it’s a valuable benefit to citizens who subsidize it so they can send mail & receive packages cheaply. It’s a much better use of resources than endless wars & bombing children in third world villages.
MC Squared tweet media
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Ed Krassenstein
Ed Krassenstein@EdKrassen·
This is absolutely insane. MAGA is now claiming that their movement is about empire building and we should just “take” Greenland” and “whatever else we want to take back.” “This is all fake and gay… I know a lot of people who have been voices at the front of the MAGA movement for 10 years — OG MAGA — who are OK with empire, as long as its empire that suits us. We need Greenland. We should be on better terms with Russia. They should be helping to balance China, while we deal with Greenland. While we take Greenland. While we take back whatever else we want to take back.” Jack Posobiec: “The United States already has Greenland. It isn’t even about taking it back.” MAGA is so delusional! How can anyone vote for this crap?
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Very Brexit Problems
Very Brexit Problems@VeryBrexitProbs·
The strategic “genius” who told NATO allies to drop dead is now setting them deadlines to come rescue his idiotic war because his own navy is too scared at getting shot at. You couldn’t write a more humiliating U-turn if you tried. But sure, tell us again how Europe needs America more than America needs Europe.
Faytuks Network@FaytuksNetwork

BREAKING: President Trump has set a deadline for European allies to provide concrete military support in the Strait of Hormuz, including the deployment of warships, Der Spiegel reports. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte informed European countries that political pledges made since the start of the conflict are no longer sufficient.

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Middle East Eye
Middle East Eye@MiddleEastEye·
US military bases in Gulf 'useless' after Iranian strikes, experts say One expert said it was 'highly unlikely' the US Fifth Fleet will ever return to the Gulf state of Bahrain
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