Leveraged Leaders

BITCOIN - Daily BITCOIN appears to be in a Bear Flag The RSI (5) & Stoch bounced quickly near oversold The overall market is due for a decent bounce now If so, we think BITCOIN can see a run toward $80K Which is around the 100 dma & the top of channel $bitcoin $bitu $coin

NATGAS - Daily NATGAS has consolidated for a month now - high flag The 50 dma (green) is now catching up to price RSI (5) isn't getting oversold on drops But the Stoch (14) is under 9 Longs safe over $3.15 Shorts safe under $2.80 $natgas $ung $boil $kold

@paxtrader777 @ChicagoContrar1 This is what you say when you know the policies you enacted and defend actually get people killed - But you care more about the money your donors give you than the lives that get ruined because of those policies.

@ChicagoContrar1 There is a lot of truly evil people in this world. This perpetual victim is 100% part of rhe problem. I do not understand the blindness of people. EVIL.

Listen to 49th Ward Alderwoman Maria Hadden's take on Sheridan Gorman. Hadden blames Gorman for her death. "The wrong place, wrong time," excuse is bad enough, but to suggest Gorman "startled" her killer and he shot out of fear or in self-defense is clinically delusional.

@leadlagreport Dude.. you are becoming the new Inverse Cramer

Silver was at $80.90 last week. Now it's below $68. -16% in 7 days. The "inflation hedge" collapsed during an actual inflation shock. $SLV. Narrative destroyed.

SILVER - Daily Bullish A true intermediate ABC correction has formed Pullback to the 2011 top & recent breakout Daily cycle on day 30 now Positive Divergence on Stoch (14) RSI (5) now sub 10 $silver $slv $agq

Hope you all banked $s with us

@Mr_Derivatives Bounce back to the 50 dma and then lower we go again

Despite everything the $QQQ and $SPY are still nowhere close to a sub 30 oversold Daily RSI. The last time it happened was the April 2025 tariffs crash. Historically the RSI touches 30 or lower at least 1-2 times a year on average. We are a bit long on the tooth for a touchy touch. Just the tip baby.

OIL can move sharply to $88.75 now

GOLD - DAILY Gold consolidating for most of 2026 ? Daily RSI (5) @ 8 Stoch (14) sub 3 with a higher low today Bullish % index for miners @ 3.7 It's so Bearish you have to be Bullish $gold $gld $gdx

SILVER - Daily Double Bottom ? On Feb 5th we said SILVER was a buy. It rallied 36.9% Here we are again and SILVER has another spike bottom in play So far holding above the February 6th low And right at the February 5th low Longs safe again above $69.90 $silver $slv

OIL - 2hour On March 8th we posted a 20+ year OIL look back Oil over $100 barrel is not common And large quick spikes above tend to be short lived Take a look at OIL now on the 2 hour So far the $100.50 level is acting as resistance Lower gaps at $88 and $68 remain $oil $uso $sco $wticousd

@rbswingtrader Hey man. That's was a great call. Bullish % index down to 3% today so sentiment has completely reset for a wave 5 if the bull is still intact.

just worked out as expected. $SLV

SPX - Daily Today is Day 41 of the daily cycle There is a positive divergence on the RSI (5) VIX spike over 27 with a reversal candle now If oil starts to sell off now We can see a rally back toward $6850 and the forming of a large Head & Shoulder Pattern $spx $spy $vix

@CyclesFan Bullish % index just hit 3.7 % this morning .. going back 10 years only Sept 2022 had a slightly lower reading .. and now we are doing it above a rising 200 dma. The move out of the 2022 low was aggressive for miners as well

$Silver is trading below its 100 day MA for the 1st time since its April 2025 low. However, I don't think it's relevant since it retested the February low earlier today, so unless it breaks below 64 it probably made a multi week low today and should move higher into April.

GOLD MINERS Bullish % index as per @StockCharts now hit 3.7 today In the last 10 Years only Sept. of 2022 was slightly lower Miners rallied aggressively out of that low This time Miners are doing it above a rising 200 dma $gdx $gold $silver $slv

Regarding DXY it has been the preferred flight to safety. Just as the market topped in late January the big boys went to cash - can't trust treasuries in this environment. Like we talked about last time- I'm expecting a nice bounce in SPY. I was concerned before because it hadn't touched the 200 dma but we are here now. Plus a day like today gets retail panicking again. The 5 prior occurrences averaged 10% in 15 or so trading days. All were obviously very positive as the many months past. All the big moving averages are very positive - even if The Top is in for metals - they are due for a vert nice bounce. Also think it's time to short energy for a bit - XLE has a date with the 20 dma over the next few weeks

Six occurrences since 2016 is a tiny sample, but the setup makes sense directionally. When you get that kind of forced selling into extreme fear . $GLD down 3.4% while F&G sits at 444.74 . you're watching margin-driven liquidation, not fundamental repricing. The thing I'd add: watch $DXY here. Dollar at 100 is the pressure valve on gold. If that rolls over even slightly, the $GDX bounce you're describing gets turbocharged because you get the positioning unwind AND the macro tailwind at the same time. $SPY/$TLT correlation flipped positive at 86.95 . stocks and bonds selling together. That's a liquidation regime, not a directional one. When that normalizes, gold catches a bid first. What's your typical holding period on those prior six instances?

Gold down 2% on a day when Fear and Greed reads 18. Let that register. The "safe haven" is getting liquidated during extreme fear. That's not a risk-off move. That's a margin call. $GLD selling while the dollar rips higher and oil squeezes tells you exactly one thing. Funds are raising cash. Not expressing a view. Meeting obligations. Same fingerprint as the initial March 2020 crash phase. Correlations hit 1. Everything gets sold. Only the dollar and supply-constrained commodities survive. I think $SPY loses 655 before this week is out. The forced selling doesn't stop at oversold readings. It stops when the margin calls are met. Want the single best tell for when it's safe to buy the dip? Watch gold. When it starts going up on red days again, the liquidation phase is over. Until then, every bounce is a trap. Is gold your canary too, or am I reading this wrong?

GOLD MINERS Since 2016 there have only been 6 occurrence of: GDX falling more than 20% with a daily RSI under 13 and a Bullish % index under 20 Oct 2016 saw a 14% rally in 19 trading days Aug 2018 saw a 7% rally in 7 days Mar 2020 saw a 17% rally in 8 days Oct 2021 saw a 17% rally in 17 days Sept 2022 saw a 11% rally in 6 days And Now - GL

GOLD & SILVER Now after an 11% decline in GOLD And a 21% decline in SILVER My X feed is finally bearish metals All posts are bearish with more downside targets Bottom is close now $gold $gld $silver $slv $agq $gdxu

GOLD MINERS The Bullish % Index from @StockCharts is now at 18 for GOLD MINERS Since 2016 here are the forward results after the first move into 18 area Oct 2016 +15% July 2017 +20% Aug 2018 +28% Mar 2020 +135% Oct 2021 +19% July 2022 +23% Sept 2023 +19% Feb 2024 +44% $gdx $hui $nugt