Alan Brewer

Short clip from latest Indications & Warnings with @ChuckPfarrer listen in for more, plus maps, and Chuck's exceptional analysis. youtube.com/clip/UgkxiHxB8…

In fact, this strike occurred on a tank farm south of the refinery that looks a lot like a depot working under contract to Defense to store jet fuel in floating roof tanks (kerosene requires that).

Great work here out of Bletchley again. Its a deep dive into what I mentioned yesterday on @Volya4UA . I will add one thing to his observations. The 🇷🇺 content providers will quit in droves as their channel disappears. News will soon be provided by more 🇺🇦 perspectives by VPN

BREAKING. The country President Trump called “very late as usual” just parked a nuclear submarine within Tomahawk range of Iran. HMS Anson, an Astute-class nuclear-powered attack submarine, is now positioned in the northern Arabian Sea with cruise missiles capable of reaching targets deep inside Iranian territory. Britain did not announce this with a press conference. The Daily Mail published the positioning. The submarine speaks for itself. HMS Anson left Perth earlier this month and traveled 5,500 miles to the Arabian Sea. It carries Tomahawk Block IV cruise missiles and Spearfish heavyweight torpedoes. Its Rolls-Royce reactor will not need refuelling for 25 years. Its pump-jet propulsor makes it one of the quietest submarines in any navy. It does not need to surface to strike. It does not need permission from Washington. Starmer authorises launches through Permanent Joint Headquarters at Northwood. This is a British weapon under British command. The sequence matters. On the first day of the war, Iran fired two intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, a British territory in the Indian Ocean. Neither hit. Trump publicly criticised the UK as “very late” and “disappointing” in its response. Starmer initially hesitated on US requests to use British bases for strike operations. Then Britain authorised the use of UK bases, including Diego Garcia, for operations to prevent Iran from attacking ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded by warning that British lives are now at risk. Britain responded by sending a submarine that can put a Tomahawk through a window in Tehran from underwater without surfacing. The escalation ladder from “very late” to nuclear attack submarine took less than three weeks. Starmer’s calculation is not ideological. It is economic. The UK imports significant quantities of LNG and oil through Gulf supply routes. The Strait of Hormuz carries approximately 20 percent of global seaborne oil trade. British energy prices are already surging from the Hormuz closure. British pharmaceutical supply chains depend on Indian manufacturers who depend on Gulf crude. The same supply-chain vulnerability that connects Modi’s Nowruz phone call to Ohio pharmacies connects Starmer’s submarine deployment to British gas bills. The submarine is not defending democracy. It is defending heating costs. The Astute-class is the most capable attack submarine Britain has ever built. Seven are planned. Five have been commissioned. HMS Anson, the fifth, entered service in 2022. At 97 metres and 7,800 tonnes submerged, it carries a crew of 98 in a hull designed to operate at depths exceeding 300 metres. It is smaller than the American Virginia-class but rated quieter by multiple independent assessments. It carries fewer missiles but needs fewer sailors. In a strait where stealth matters more than volume, the boat that cannot be heard is more dangerous than the fleet that can be seen. The UK is now the third nation with strike capability deployed in the war theatre, after the United States and Israel. France has the Charles de Gaulle carrier group for air operations. Greece has a Patriot battery defending Saudi refineries. Twenty-three nations signed a statement. But only Britain has put a nuclear-powered platform carrying land-attack cruise missiles underwater in the Arabian Sea with the authority to fire them on the Prime Minister’s order. Trump said late. Starmer sent a submarine. The missile it carries can reach Tehran. The reactor that powers it will not need fuel until 2047. And the man who authorises the launch is the same man Iran threatened by name when it said British lives are at risk. The threat was noted. The submarine arrived. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Absolutely indifferent to life Russian soldier, in another meaningless assault thousands kilometers from his home. He chose his fate himself 🫠

When the war in Ukraine eventually ends, the smartest investment any European army could make will be hiring Madyar and his team to advise them on organizing and scaling up unmanned systems. It will be worth every penny

Ukraine needs investors to fund the expansion of production of its world leading MilTech Cheaper and better than alternatives.

For $2 million per ship Iranian authorities are allowing ships to pass the Strait of Hormuz. What is notable that the Iranian regime itself issued that message. So far, China, India, Pakistan and Türkiye were recipients of Iranian oil and gas deliveries.

Hello and thanks for reading THE daily thread on Ukraine, on what is Day 1488 of the country's fight for survival. "Peace talks" continue with the US about ending the war, which Russia calls a "special military operation" as the US cannot even end its own S.M.O.🤡

Russia+North Korea losses, 24 Feb 2022-22 Mar 2026: 1287880 personnel 11793 tanks 24263 APV 38638 artillery systems 1694 MLRS 1336 air defence systems 435 aircraft 350 helicopters 190870 UAVs 4468 cruise missiles 33 ships/boats 2 submarines 84639 vehicles 4098 special equipment

Wierd how Trump's Iran "plan" is just a time compressed version of Putin's invasion of Ukraine, with all catastrophic mistakes included. Now Trump will destroy Iran's power plants, which (as we see with Ukraine) will further solidify the people's resolve and hatred of the US, as well as rallying humanitarian support from Iran's allies, which will lead to and further cement military support from those allies.

THREATS WONT WORK: If Trump hits Iranian power plants, which is clearly a suggestion by Netanyahu, say goodbye to Gulf States power & water desalination plants. In 48 hours the most likely outcomes are: 1) The SOH will likely see mines appear/detected/being planted… deliberately & obviously. 2) The next ship without an IRGC EzPass will get set aflame by small boats 3) Jebel Ali has power plant & desalinization complex supporting Dubai will be hit massively by drones. This is no off ramp, it’s Trump crashing the car into the divider … because it will “look cool.”

Guys, there is something seriously wrong that only 6% of my followers actually viewed this 13 tweet absolute banger on gasoline prices and sanctions visa vi the 🇷🇺 invasion of 🇺🇦. I think my referencing a big account that is probably also depressed did it. But whatevs . . ./1

There is no overarching strategy here. No plan. They're just reacting to developments without thinking about any of the consequences.

He’s lost control of the war and he is panicking.

Beyond the illegality of this, there’s the fact that it’s incredibly stupid. Do we think we’re going to win by creating 30 million refugees? How many suicide bombers will be created by scenes of neonatal ICUs going dark? Saddam Hussein tried these tactics, and they didn’t work.

This is a threat of war crimes. Using civilian suffering as coercion for an unrelated military object violates multiple levels of the DoD Law of War Manual and the laws of war. Distinction, necessity, and proportionality all come into play. This is a Russian mentality. Barbaric.

@hissgoescobra x.com/adamscochran/s…

Get ready for $250 a barrel oil. Trump does this, guarantee you every refinery and piece of infrastructure in the Persian Gulf will be attacked. What’s the logic here? Trump just freaked out when they hit one gas facility in Qatar. This valuation will be far worse.

Russia plans to shut down Telegram in early April — even as its own military relies on app for all battlefield communication. "That would be like shooting entire Russian army in the head" — Russian soldier to Politico. 1/