jeffreyd

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jeffreyd

jeffreyd

@FFPmoonman

Trust God's Plan Ethical Philosopher Fantasy Football Best Ball Fade That Man Spread Exposure Bro Emeka Egbuka, Jaylin Lane Exposure 1day 1individual 1time

Moon Se unió Aralık 2012
570 Siguiendo452 Seguidores
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jeffreyd
jeffreyd@FFPmoonman·
Best ball is often about being correct more than incorrect. You can have a 5 rb build, literally whiff on 3 rbs...but if the 2 rbs you hit on are league winners or produce boom games at oppourtune times...nothing matters. A wild game we play. Monty truther forever always helps🤣
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jeffreyd
jeffreyd@FFPmoonman·
@ffdataroma Buying one of greatest QBs of all time seems logical. Im willing to take an L on Mahomie at current ADP in 2026. If oline better, Worthy healthy, Rice stays clean, KW and Chiefs revenge tour. Andy and the boys should have Mahomie at worst QB 10-15 with top 5 ceiling. Simply put.
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Dataroma
Dataroma@ffdataroma·
Don’t disagree that the rushing was an anomaly in itself last year and is pretty much certain to decline for Mahomes. But I think it’s pretty easy to see the upside even with the rushing volume going down. Injecting KW3 and a potential top 40 WR (3 chances at it) from the draft should be a pretty big boost to the efficiency/scoring upside of this offense. We saw what the clear struggles in the run game and the lack of a man-beating WR had on this KC offense at times last year, both of which could be “solved” this year. Could be looking at a top ~5 offense again. And we know the Chiefs like to be pass-heavy (especially near the goal line), adding to the appeal. Think top 5 upside at the position remains intact with this in mind, especially with some of the other elite QB profiles deteriorating.
Pat Thorman@Pat_Thorman

Keep hearing Patrick Mahomes is a bargain at QB12 ADP. Hate doubting him, but I don't see it. Only jumped back to QB5 in FF pts/gm (after QB11/QB14 in 2023/2024) due to career-high rush yards and TDs. Won't run 4.6 times/game (his 2nd highest) again off Dec 15 ACL/LCL surgery.

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Jacob Gibbs
Jacob Gibbs@jagibbs_23·
Dae'Quan Wright profiles as one of the best receiving TE in the 2026 class and has the size that many of these tight ends are lacking
Jacob Gibbs@jagibbs_23

One of my favorite sleeper TE from the 2026 class: Dae'Quan Wright out of Ole Miss + 8.4 career YAC per reception puts him right in between Brock Bowers (8.6) and Harold Fannin Jr. (8.1) + size/blocking to play in-line + TE3 in career YPRR from the 2026 class + 60+ receiving yards in 7 of 14 games in 2025 (Kenyon Sadiq had three career games above 60)

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jeffreyd
jeffreyd@FFPmoonman·
@TreVeyonH4 What if the truth was never written? What if all our God's creation. What if all humans sin. What if humans create/created false storylines, false realities in the name of Jesus. All in pursuit of selfishness, power and control. -Jeff 4:3:26.11:52
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TreVeyon Henderson
TreVeyon Henderson@TreVeyonH4·
To the broken, to the lost, to the undeserving, there’s hope In Jesus. Repent and believe in The Gospel(Good News). “But he was pierced for our rebellion, crushed for our sins. He was beaten so we could be whole. He was whipped so we could be healed. All of us, like sheep, have strayed away. We have left God’s paths to follow our own. Yet the Lord laid on him the sins of us all.” Isaiah 53:5-6
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jeffreyd
jeffreyd@FFPmoonman·
Jordan Addison/Rashee Rice are liabilities in fantasy football due to previous off field shenanigans. ADP appears to be a value until ship happens once again. Vroom vroom/Cheetah reincarnated. Low exposure. Willing to be wrong. Also refuse to draft Brown's QB not named Sanders.
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Ian Hartitz
Ian Hartitz@Ihartitz·
Michael Pittman: -2021: 14.04 PPR points per game (WR24) -2022: 13.53 (WR22) -2023: 15.64 (WR14) -2024: 10.36 (WR45, played through broken back like Mike Tyson) -2025: 11.91 (WR27, 14.1 points–WR16–in Weeks 1-14 before a literal Grandpa took over)
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Sam Sherman
Sam Sherman@Sherman_FFB·
In other words - "back weighted production" can be a real thing for rookie WRs, but don't just apply the concept wholesale to all rookie WRs. You might find yourself paying a premium for no reason
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Sam Sherman
Sam Sherman@Sherman_FFB·
Really good article from @JackMiller02 Finally put data behind a pet peeve of mine, which was people asserting that 1st round WRs like Marvin Harrison Jr. are good picks because they magically get better in the back half of the year. The data does not support that
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Adam Levitan@adamlevitan

Not too long ago, rookie WRs were some of the best bets we could make in fantasy. But our opponents are much sharper now. Are rookie WRs still the great bets they once were in fantasy football? Our @JackMiller02 dives in, free here: establishtherun.com/are-rookie-wid…

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jeffreyd
jeffreyd@FFPmoonman·
@Sherman_FFB @JackMiller02 True. Tate, Tyson and Lemon go rd 5, 6 and 7 in drafts. Marv went 1/2 turn, Tet went rd 5 early on and moved up to Rd 3. Not sure this class' top 3 are beasty. Willing to have exposure at current ADP whereas is rd 3 and 4 would have less exposure.
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jeffreyd
jeffreyd@FFPmoonman·
@MBolduc88 Chase is the GOAT of boom games. Imo gotta spread exposure. Gotta have builds with the elite wrs too. Jet in round 2 days was great.
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Mike Bolduc
Mike Bolduc@MBolduc88·
Ill be suprised if A team that drafted WR Round 1 wins The Big Board
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Ian Hartitz
Ian Hartitz@Ihartitz·
33.7% of Kenyon Sadiq's career targets at Oregon were screens. That's the highest career mark of any Round 1-3 tight end over the last five draft classes
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Ryan Heath
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath·
The only WRs to exceed 2.50 YPTPA in a Power Conference before turning 21 years old [past three draft classes] Malik Nabers Luther Burden Marvin Harrison Tetairoa McMillan JORDYN TYSON Brian Thomas Xavier Worthy Emeka Egbuka Troy Franklin Jayden Higgins ...and KEVIN COLEMAN JR.
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath

Receiving yards per team pass attempt (YPTPA) is one of the most predictive production variables in most WR models. It has ~zero correlation with NFL fantasy points starting in a player's age-22 season. And it adds ~zero predictive power* to draft capital starting at age 21.

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Matt
Matt@BestballMatt·
Let’s go!!
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peter overzet
peter overzet@peteroverzet·
prizes, job offers & internet fame are on the line:
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Hayden Winks
Hayden Winks@HaydenWinks·
Every Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza convo we get recorded is going triple platinum viral
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PewterReport 🏴‍☠️
PewterReport 🏴‍☠️@PewterReport·
#Bucs HC Todd Bowles has a lot of optimism about the the WR room. He believes Chris Godwin Jr. can get back to recording 1,000 yards. On Jalen McMillan: "He doesn’t have a 6' 5 frame but he plays like he’s 6 '5. He has a very good catch radius and with Chris coming back and him coming back not just at the end of the season along with Mek, we feel like we got a good three.”
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Jakob Sanderson
Jakob Sanderson@JakobSanderson·
What if receiving TEs started producing early because we got a bunch of rare prospects with age-adjusted production on par with successful WR prospects?
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Jakob Sanderson@JakobSanderson

For years we were told not to over-invest in rookie TEs, but the 2022-25 drafts featured truly special TE prospects from a production standpoint — and we’re seeing them flourish Now everyone wants rookie TEs… but the top profiles are *not* on the same level as recent classes

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