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To whom it may concern,
You can also follow me at jonnyc.bsky.social
Best wishes,
JC 🚀
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JC 🚀
2.4K posts
JC 🚀
@FPL_Spaceman
Fantasy football nerd | Co-founder @SolioAnalytics | @TFFootball Champion 24/25
Se unió Ağustos 2021
311 Siguiendo8K Seguidores
@FPL__STRATEGY Whoops, that should be 3% EO for Gab my bad, not sure what happened there
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@FPL_Spaceman 8% partook in benchwankery didn't they as Gabriel's EO is 8%.
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@BakerFPL343 In all likelihood it looks more like they just missed the deadline haha
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@FPL_Spaceman A legendary captain wank? We need to know who capped Mo in AE64
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Solio projected #FPL points and picks | GW31
Minutes updated after press conferences - these are the current top projected players & an example FH team ahead of today's deadline 👇
Projections will auto-update until deadline
👉 fpl.solioanalytics.com
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JC 🚀 retuiteado
Here are #FPL Game Week 31's predicted line ups and a huge thanks to all of our predictors and
@FPL_Spaceman
We could really do with a few more Man City & Brighton predictors - dm if interested.
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@Ronit059 @lateriser12 If you're locking in FH34 with no WC then these would likely be the best teams to target, sorted by attack/defence.
Something like Rice to Gordon might make most sense for you? Unless you'd rather double up on NEW defence with eg Timber to Hall
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@lateriser12 @FPL_Spaceman Hey man I'm in a bit of a jam. Already used wc, currently on fh34(bgw), which team to target to make most out of BB33, Timber out or Rice out? want 3 arsenal for later. would really appreciate some advice. Seems like everyone's just talking about wc strategies so no help😬
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Was chatting with the genius that is @FPL_Spaceman and taking advice for my team.
He then does this. What a guy!
JC 🚀@FPL_Spaceman
Had a couple requests for help with people's teams this week, so thought I'd walk through a demo using @lateriser12's team to talk about how I've been using @SolioAnalytics stochastic optimizer to stay flexible for non-WC32 lines. Hope it's useful!
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Had a couple requests for help with people's teams this week, so thought I'd walk through a demo using @lateriser12's team to talk about how I've been using @SolioAnalytics stochastic optimizer to stay flexible for non-WC32 lines. Hope it's useful!
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When he says “my simulations from last night” he means intense, drug-induced dreams btw. Just a note of caution
JC 🚀@FPL_Spaceman
Projected number of doubles and blanks in each gameweek based on my simulations from last night
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@StingFPL @MarkkuOjala_ 3 doubles is pretty likely yes, it's just the small chances of things like ARS / CHE not winning in FA cup, or CHE-BHA / BUR-MCI going back into GW34 if our broadcast preference assumptions are wrong etc, all start to add up. It may be too conservative and a small underestimate
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@FPL_Spaceman @MarkkuOjala_ Surprised the average number of doubles is closer to 2 than 3 when ARS, CHE have easy QF matches. Also if MCI win, Sky will want their game to move to GW33 given the title race, while if LIV win, they would double with CRY. That implies 3 doubles
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@talha_nadeem_90 Yes, so eg WHU-EVE moving from GW34 weekend to GW34 midweek wouldn't be counted here
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@FPL_Spaceman To confirm, all blanks stated (in 34 and 37) are only blanks and do not include postponements in the same GW also?
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@PhilFox44956641 @FPL_McFred Ohh I see what you mean - like this?
0 DGWs = ~3.2%
1 DGWs = ~18.4%
2 DGWs = ~46.2%
3 DGWs = ~30.6%
4 DGWs = ~1.6%
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@FPL_Spaceman @FPL_McFred Looks good as a summary.
Isn't actually what I was thinking, I was more simply the probability of there being x number of DGWs /blanks over the remainder of the season.
Perhaps I'm simplifying too much, but I have all my chips left so for me it's confirming 2 DGWs expected.
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@fm_kari If either team is knocked out in the QFs of FA cup or UEL then we know it won't be forced into GW36. There is a small chance they move the FA cup final clashes into GW36 anyway, but I think we expect them to go back into GW37 midweek if it is available like they did last season.
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@FPL__Enzo A lot of them are pretty similar to be fair, I still think you can plan around sets of permutations if you wanted
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Top permutation is a mere 19%… don’t waste your time making WC drafts and wait for info
JC 🚀@FPL_Spaceman
Since Crystal Palace beat AEK Larnaca tonight, then MCI-CRY fitting back into GW31 (or into GW32 to form a double) is now off the table. These are my top projected permutations of rearranged fixtures from simulations of the relevant cup competitions ⬇️
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@FPL_Spaceman @FPL_McFred Can you express this as your expected probabilities of a certain number of DGWs (ignore who is playing)?
I can already see where that is likely to land, but think if you expressed graphically it would be powerful.
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