Muhamad Khalil
228 posts


I think it needs explaining that although I see an elongated cycle it doesn't mean my analysis is right. The breadth and depth of macro/crypto analytics framework I've added since 2021 is massive and I'm happy with the probabilities currently but things can change...
At GMI we have done tremendous amounts of work on this all at the nexus of crypto and macro in The Everything Code. It comprised of over 4,000 charts (serious).
However, I am not a guru.
We all need to take lifestyle chips off the table to secure our own future.. I can't dictate that. In RV too we will do our best to help as many people as possible,
But we are not, and will not be, perfect.
This is your choice alone. Not mine.
Only you can actually protect your own future and thus limit regret if the market reverses or even it explodes higher.
I'm guessing I'll take 25% to 30% off into year end but I don't know yet. It's based on my own circumstances, not yours and its based on my p&l and not yours.
Also don't forget that your risk profile is different to mine...
I can afford to take outrageously concentrated risks like having 80%+ of my liquid stack in Sui.
But based on my work I think Sui it outperforms most others majors. I am not a maximalist and my portfolio can and will change but I will let you know if my analysis changes.
My job for myself is to maximise profits with best risk adjust returns.
For most, just buy BTC, ETH and SOL
My job for myself is to max profits with best risk adjust returns I think are available.
The Banana Zone won't fix your shitty asset allocation. If you have had a decent portfolio you will already be up 5x to 10x from the low.
If you are newer, don't chase gains, time in the market is vital, you should make money this cycle but here is more to play for over time,
You have 5 years or so to Unfuck your Future.
Please don't fuck it up.
This will be my pinned tweet so you can refer to it.
Just let it all play out and take profits on the way.
Good luck.
My work suggests the next 6 to 9 months can change all our lives but don't bet on it exclusively.
If you want to reduce risk and also play for higher prices consider selling some and buying longer dated calls in due course, where you can only lose your premium (as I did in 2021 with ETH and only risked 5% for a potential leg higher which failed).
I appreciate your attention in this matter.
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@Stocktwits Am I a fool for really thinking little of such irresponsible company. Hard to take seriously and invest in it despite many hedge funds favoring them in recent quarters.
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@Osint613 Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries got no balls to retaliate. They spent billions buying so many fighter jets from the U.S.—and for what! When are they ever going to use them? 🤔🤔
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تتعامل حالياً الدفاعات الجوية الإماراتية مع اعتداءات صاروخية وطائرات مسيرة قادمة من إيران وتؤكد وزارة الدفاع أن الأصوات المسموعة في مناطق متفرقة من الدولة هي نتيجة اعتراض كل من منظومات الدفاع الجوي للصواريخ البالستية، والمقاتلات للطائرات المسيرة والجوالة.
UAE air defences are currently responding to incoming missile and drone threats from Iran
MOD asserts that the sounds heard are the result of the Air Defence Systems intercepting missiles and drones
#وزارة_الدفاع
#وزارة_الدفاع_الإماراتية
#MOD
#UAEMinistryOfDefence

العربية

@jayinneveh No, they don't. So far, their actions have been beneficial for Russia. By hitting Asaluyeh they have created an energy crisis which is beneficial for Russia. Russians are happy about what crazy @netanyahu has done for them.
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BREAKING: In what appears to be a highly questionable and unnecessary move, the Israeli Air Force has destroyed five Iranian Navy warships in the Caspian Sea. These vessels were tasked with protecting Iran’s territorial waters against potential future threats, including from Russia.
This raises serious questions about Israel’s strategic intentions. Rather than supporting meaningful change in Iran, such actions risk degrading the country’s defensive capabilities while leaving the current regime intact.
Claims of supporting the Iranian people and pursuing regime change appear increasingly inconsistent with actions that weaken national military assets without targeting the regime’s core power structures.
#OperationLionsRoar #OperationEpicFury



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🇺🇸🇱🇧 Ana Kasparian:
"If I was the leader of Lebanon i would demand my military to join forces with Lebanon to defend the country against Israel."
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇮🇱🇮🇷 Reports of cluster munitions spotted raining down like deadly confetti from Iranian missiles over southern Israel right now. Source: RN Intel
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@bahaa_alanssari @suoad_q ابو العيورة همة ما خلو بلد ما ضربو.. هههههههههههه
العربية
@Muhammad5Khaled يا ابن الحمار يا بهيمة يا ابن البهيمة مش انا اللي رح اضربلك دول الخليج
العربية

🚨‼️ عاجل💥🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸
صور الأقمار الصناعية وفيديوهات ABC News تكشف ضربات إيرانية مدمرة للرادارات الأمريكية في الشرق الأوسط!
إيران ووكلاؤها دمروا ما لا يقل عن 10 مواقع رادارية عالية القيمة منذ بدء الحرب قبل أكثر من أسبوعين، بما في ذلك:
- رادارات الدفاع الصاروخي AN/TPY-2 و AN/FPS-132
- أكثر من 25 موقعاً عبر 7 قواعد في 5 دول: السعودية، الإمارات، الأردن، الكويت، قطر، البحرين
الخبراء:
هذه الرادارات شديدة الضعف، وإلحاق الضرر بها يُعمي أنظمة الإنذار المبكر والدفاع الصاروخي جزئياً.. "إغماض عيون" الدفاعات الأمريكية والحليفة!
المصدر: شبكة ABC News

العربية

@RoaaWarStudies هذا متخلف عقليا.. دمرو ايران ويجي يقول طيزين بلباس
العربية











