Sammael's_Party

'it’s not the case that institutions have been taken over by radicals, but that radicalism has been conquered by mainstream institutions' musaalgharbi.substack.com/p/the-cultural…

The World Food Programme estimates that if the Iran War is prolonged much longer the number of people in acute hunger will grow by 45 million people. That estimate does not assume significantly more damage to natural gas facilities in the Gulf and Iran so it could be even worse.

The gap between those who get the significance of things like this and those who do not is widening, if anything. People who were blasé about the Strait a few weeks ago are starting to get that it’s a big deal; meanwhile everybody else has moved on to wondering what will even be left to ship through it.

I feel like the oil market has already crossed the point of no return, regardless of how this war plays out. At first this wave just swallowed up everything East of Suez. We saw force majeures popping up all over Asia and premiums going through the roof. But now the Atlantic wall has officially crumbled. Only oil nerds like us are checking this stuff lately, but seriously—just look at the North Sea Platts window and the USGC diffs. This is nowhere near normal. I know some ppl are getting all hyped up every time a single Handy tanker or LPG carrier squeaks through Hormuz, even claiming there’s a secret fleet of tankers slipping through. I highly doubt it. If supply was actually fine, Atlantic physical diffs wouldn't be screaming like this. These numbers only happen when you're hitting a massive supply shock. Like some of smart guys have noted, once you pass a certain threshold, it doesn't even matter if Hormuz reopens—the logistical bottlenecks will make it impossible to absorb the shock anytime soon. I’m pretty sure we’ve already crossed that line. #oott #iran

My take: since 2023 startups have taken a limited, error-ridden technology - AI large language models - & fastened it onto a 60-year-old myth/dream in AI research: superintelligence. LLMs are the wrong tech for this, but these startups sold the myth & trapped investors.

Where are the human chains in DC? Where are Democrats leading marches? Where are the celebrities pretending to care about human rights in award shows? Where are the intellectuals? The scholars? The veterans? The churches? Where is ANY resistance to this? Even Nazi Germany had some internal resistance. This isn’t just Trump. This is the collective failure of a society.

I will address the nuclear issue again in a few hours because it has become truly serious in light of Donald Trump’s growing desperation. “The extremity of Trump’s threats, coupled with his growing desperation to find a way out of the conflict, has increased fears that a volatile president could try to use a nuclear weapon. Under the US system, a US president has sole authority to order a nuclear launch. To do so he would summon a security conference call of the National Military Command Center… A military aide who is always close to the president would open the ‘nuclear football’, a briefcase containing nuclear strike options as well as the codes to confirm his presidential authority. The only way to stop the order would be for those in the chain of command to deem it illegal. In January 2021, the then chair of the joint chiefs of staff, Gen Mark Milley, was so concerned about Trump’s volatility that he reportedly told his senior officers to make sure he was involved in any nuclear decision.” theguardian.com/law/2026/apr/0…

All US bases on U.K. soil should be closed. All access to U.K. bases for US forces should stop. All support for the US empire’s reign of violence and terror must end.

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They’re preparing to nuke Iran and people don’t realize it’s closer than ever For 39 days, the US has dropped its heaviest, $3.5 million GBU-57 bunker-buster bombs on Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility. And it’s failing. Fordow is buried 300 feet under a solid mountain. The laws of physics dictate that no conventional weapon on earth can penetrate it. So what happens when an empire realizes it can’t win conventionally, its aircraft carriers are retreating from cheap ballistic missiles, and the global economy is crashing? They dust off the Dial-a-Yield. Right now, military think-tanks are quietly discussing the deployment of the B61-12. It is a tactical nuclear gravity bomb. The US has been quietly stockpiling them in Europe and the Middle East. It has an earth-penetrating warhead and a dial-a-yield feature, meaning they can lower the kiloton blast to make it seem usable. In 2006, Pulitzer-winning journalist Seymour Hersh leaked that the Bush administration had drawn up plans to use these exact tactical nukes on Iran’s underground sites. (Yes 2006) The Pentagon was forced to shelf it because of the outrage. 20 years later, that exact plan is back on the table. Because Washington and Tel Aviv are currently trapped. They can't secure the Strait of Hormuz without a draft (which the public won't accept), and they can't destroy Iran's nuclear program with regular bombs. They are realizing that admitting defeat means the end of American unipolar hegemony. And history shows that declining empires would rather risk the literal end of the world than admit they lost to a regional power. They told you this was a surgical strike. We are now one bad Tuesday away from the first use of a nuclear weapon in combat since 1945, just to save the political egos of men who will watch it happen from an underground bunker. You are paying $10 for gas and funding the dress rehearsal for World War 3

🚨BREAKING: Bahrain announced they will cease all activities at their main port starting tomorrow. This comes after Kuwait told their citizens to stay home tonight and Saudi closed their bridge to Bahrain The Gulf is preparing for the worst tonight

I wonder how many other festivals will find mad reasons to just cancel themselves in the coming weeks, almost as if they know that the whole country will be shut down by July and they need to get those lovely insurance payouts in time.

The only senior figure on the British right with any moral courage. Silence from Badenoch. Silence from Farage. Silence I’m afraid from Lowe. Trump threatens civilisation erasure and the only person showing leadership is a 24 year old. The British right is full of cowards.

Pentagon cancels scheduled press conference tomorrow We all know what that means

In my neck of the woods, already seeing shortages of certain Western products and abruptly higher prices for everything (even if some rises are fairly small). Get used to this getting worse and worse and prepare accordingly.

US nuclear bombs under the launch authority of this President were moved to RAF Lakenheath in Suffolk, England, in 2025. British citizens - Did you vote for that in 2024? Does it make you feel safe?

Let’s go to the Winchester, have a nice cold pint, and wait for all of this to blow over.

⚡ JUST IN: TRUMP'S INSIDER JUST OPENED $30M OIL LONG AHEAD OF TONIGHT’S ANNOUNCEMENT. LAST TIME HE DID THIS HE MADE $10M IN 60 MINUTES. SOMETHING HUGE IS ABOUT TO HIT MARKETS.

The claim — long advanced by communists — that the United States is the Fourth Reich was never metaphorical. The US is the nucleus of world fascism.

وفقا لصحيفة "آي" البريطانية فأن قوات العدو البريطاني والبالغ عددها ٢٠٠ عنصر انسحبت من العراق خشية الاستهدافات المتواصلة .

Well indeed, and again: this shit is happening because the world did nothing to even impede the obliteration of the Gaza Strip, and the men who did that took it as global permission for them to expand their murderous destruction across the entire region. And here we now are.