SemperDNA

Trump has placed us in a win/win scenario. Hand over the strait to anyone but the country we just destroyed and see who has the courage to take and manage it. If nobody does then watch our enemies slowly starve. If someone does, even the CCP, it allows us to disengage totally, not only from the Middl East but from Europe. My money is on the Saudis and Kuwaitis, with an assist from Israel.

Well, here are my thoughts... Firstly, I doubt that Trump has ever heard of Hegel or would have the slightest inkling of what 'dialectic' means. But the picture you present is essentially Trump's narrative - that NATO allies and others are free-riders on American hard power. But your analysis is ahistorical. You write as if America has no skin in the game - like they're doing the rest of us a big favour keeping the bad guys at bay. You don't mention the petrodollar system that replaced the Bretton-Woods Agreement that was repudiated by the 'Nixon-shock' in 1974. That new system was a deal between the US and Saudi Arabia, and then the other Gulf petrostates, whereby in return for American guarantees of security and investment these states would price and sell oil in US Dollars - and then recycle the Dollar surplus back into the US economy by buying US debt. It is this arrangement that has created an almost limitless demand for US loan notes and funded 50 years-worth of US budget deficits. Part of that US security guarantee was to keep the Hormuz Strait open so the oil exports could keep flowing. But in this present conflict America has failed to defend its Gulf allies from Iran's retaliatory strikes and now the Hormuz Strait is closed. This is a strategic catastrophe for the US - proving themselves to be unreliable allies to the very states that buy their debt. This could be the fulcrum on which the petrodollar system is undermined or even collapses and the Yuan becomes the currency for pricing oil. This isn't some Trump-genius Hegelian dialectic working its way through, it's a god-almighty cock-up by a President being manipulated by a Zionist Israeli leader. The tail wagging the dog nearly always leads to disaster.

Food for thought. Trump, Hormuz and the End of the Free Ride For half a century, Western strategists have known that the Strait of Hormuz is the acute point where energy, sea power and political will intersect. That knowledge is not in dispute. What is new in this war with Iran is that the United States, under Donald Trump, has chosen not to rush to “solve” the problem. In Hegelian terms, he is refusing an easy synthesis in order to force the underlying contradiction to the surface. The old thesis was simple: the US guarantees open sea lanes in the Gulf, and everyone else structures their economies and politics around that free insurance. Europe and the UK embraced ambitious green policies, ran down hard‑power capabilities and lectured Washington on multilateral virtue, secure in the assumption that American carriers would always appear off Hormuz. The political class behaved as if the American security guarantee were a law of nature, not a contingent choice. Their conduct today is closer to Chamberlain than Churchill: temporising, issuing statements, hoping the storm will pass without a fundamental reordering of their responsibilities. Trump’s antithesis is to withhold the automatic guarantee at the moment of maximum stress. Militarily, the US can break Iran’s residual ability to contest the Strait; that is not the binding constraint. The point is to delay that act. By allowing a closure or semi‑closure to bite, Trump ensures that the immediate pain is concentrated in exactly the jurisdictions that have most conspicuously free‑ridden on US power: the EU and the UK. Their industries, consumers and energy‑transition assumptions are exposed. In that context, his reported blunt message to European and British leaders, you need the oil out of the Strait more than we do; why don’t you go and take it? Is not a throwaway line. It is the verbalisation of the antithesis. It openly reverses the traditional presumption that America will carry the burden while its allies emote from the sidelines. In this dialectic, the prize is not simply the reopening of a chokepoint. The prize is a reordered system in which the United States effectively arbitrages and controls the global flow of oil. A world in which US‑aligned production in the Americas plus a discretionary capability to secure,or not secure, Hormuz places Washington at the centre of the hydrocarbon chessboard. For that strategic end, a rapid restoration of the old status quo would be counterproductive. A quick, surgical “fix” of Hormuz would short‑circuit the dialectic. If Trump rapidly crushed Iran’s remaining coastal capabilities, swept the mines and escorted tankers back through the Strait, Europe and the UK would heave a sigh of relief and return to business as usual: underfunded militaries, maximalist green posturing and performative disdain for US power, all underwritten by that same power. The contradiction between their dependence and their posture would remain latent. By declining to supply the synthesis on demand, and by explicitly telling London and Brussels to “go and take it” themselves, Trump forces a reckoning. European and British leaders must confront the fact that their energy systems, their industrial bases and their geopolitical sermons all rest on an American hard‑power foundation they neither finance nor politically respect. The longer the contradiction is allowed to unfold, the stronger the eventual synthesis can be: a new order in which access to secure flows, Hormuz, Venezuela and beyond, is explicitly conditional on real contributions, not assumed as a right. In that sense, the delay in “taking” the Strait, and the challenge issued to US allies to do it themselves, is not indecision. It is the negative moment Hegel insisted was necessary for history to move. Only by withholding the old guarantee, and by saying so out loud to those who depended on it, can Trump hope to end the free ride.

@Gandalf_da_Grey @DrJStrategy Sometimes gut feeling is the correct first instinct, like the first instinct I had of you being a total d**che canoe…

This is very interesting thesis but has one big flaw: Trump is a moron and isn’t thinking about any of that. He is vain, self centered, greedy, thin skinned, and extremely emotional with no discipline or self control. He’s just going off his gut feelings and then reacting to what the Iranians (and to a lesser extent, the Israelis) are doing. He’s not playing 4D chess, he’s putting the pieces in his mouth. And before the MAGA cultists show up ask about Biden, yes, I also thought he was a moron.

@saws_skmdrt @umlaut Just remember that onky Marines can go full Gunny Hartman.

アメリカの友人たち、日本で飲食店をやってくれませんかね？ ・BBQがメイン ・一時間に一回、アメリカ人スタッフによる本場のUSA chant (U-S-A!)を披露 ・アメリカ国歌「星条旗」が店内に流れると、客も店員も全員起立して星条旗に向かって直立不動 ・たまにハートマン軍曹が現れて客を罵倒 絶対に受けます。

@nikutaberuru Hillsborough River, Tampa, St. Patrick’s Day. The river is dyed green…

親愛なるアメリカ兄貴たち 日本人は綺麗だったり 壮大な景色を見ると 興奮する生物なのです。 アメリカ兄貴たちの国には そのような景色が たくさんあると聞きました。 アメリカ兄貴たちの知る景色を たくさん見せてくれたら嬉しいです。

@HAPIOKI Holy moly

アメリカよ、これが沖縄の豚の角煮だ！！

@koma_rkgknote Happy Birthday, from Florida!

実はですね、今日誕生日でして、 いいねだけでもいいので、押していただけると、とても嬉しいです、、

Sometimes you need new energy in a successful movement. Bondi is a heroine of the movement. We are going into the third quarter and we need to sub out some of the team. I prefer at this point in the game a 275 pound half back who can barrel through the lines and get some major scores.

Bondi is out? I have been one of her biggest champions, as many of you know. In fact, this has been one of the biggest single points of disagreement I have with many of my followers. The Epstein rollout was a disaster, I've never denied that. But her success in the appellate courts and SCOTUS in moving forward the Trump agenda has been the best of any conservative AG in my lifetime, and I stand by that. But apparently Trump wants her gone, and I will always defer to his decisions in these matters. Godspeed, Pam Bondi. You stood in the fire when others stayed home. People have no idea how much bravery it takes to put yourself out there like that.

@AGPamBondi Thank you for your incredible service to our country, Madame.

Over the next month I will be working tirelessly to transition the office of Attorney General to the amazing Todd Blanche before moving to an important private sector role I am thrilled about, and where I will continue fighting for President Trump and this Administration. Leading President Trump’s historic and highly successful efforts to make America safer and more secure has been the honor of a lifetime, and easily the most consequential first year of the Department of Justice in American history. Since February 2025, we have secured the lowest murder rate in 125 years, secured first-ever terrorism convictions against members of Antifa, shattered domestic and transnational gangs across the country, taken custody of more than 90 key cartel figures, and won 24 favorable rulings at the Supreme Court. I remain eternally grateful for the trust that President Trump placed in me to Make America Safe Again.

@ankoromochuu The Japanese people are our greatest ally. The government, not so much historically, but your new President shows a lot of promise!

左翼はよく「日本は世界の嫌われ者」と私たち愛国者に言ってきます。 私は悲しい気持ちになりながらも、「海外でも日本を好いてくれている人はいる」と信じてきました。 Xで世界の皆さんと話せるようになり、大勢の人が日本を親しみを込めて好いてくれていると感じることができました。 ありがとう！

@mnty_ocean Black coffee, scrambled eggs cooked on cast iron with Irish butter and Gruyère cheese, followed by lapsong souchong freshly brewed and iced.

アメリカの皆さんはじめまして！！ 私は料理を作って人をおもてなしするのが大好きです🍙 ぜひ好きな料理について教えてください🙌

@hoshizorarock Holy sweet mama

アメリカ人の皆様 日本の牛肉を見てください 申し訳ありませんが日本の牛肉にはチーズの暴力は禁止にします。

@AGJamesUthmeier I agree with you, sir! Felons who have done their time and not committed a violent felony with a firearm should be allowed to carry like everyone else. Same with the right to vote.

Under our Constitution, someone who poses no danger to the community should not be disarmed or dragged to prison for exerting the right to self-defense. That’s why we are defending Second Amendment rights against certain past state prosecutions of non-dangerous felons.

A cutting reflection from Cardinal Ratzinger, Good Friday 2005: "Pilate is not utterly evil. He knows that the condemned man is innocent, and he looks for a way to free him. But his heart is divided. And in the end he lets his own position, his own self-interest, prevail over what is right. Nor are the men who are shouting and demanding the death of Jesus utterly evil. Many of them, on the day of Pentecost, will feel "cut to the heart," when Peter will say to them: "Jesus of Nazareth, a man attested to you by God... you crucified and killed by the hands of those outside the law." But at that moment they are caught up in the crowd. They are shouting because everyone else is shouting, and they are shouting the same thing that everyone else is shouting. And in this way, justice is trampled underfoot by weakness, cowardice and fear of the diktat of the ruling mindset. The quiet voice of conscience is drowned out by the cries of the crowd. Evil draws its power from indecision and concern for what other people think."

@rambling_28 Delicious!

美味そうな肉の写真をアップするとアメリカ人からリプを貰えると聞きましたwww

@WomanDefiner I agree, and with his record as Governor he’s a great candidate. Rubio is the lead horse IMO

If I was advising Ron Desantis on a presidential run I would tell him to embrace himself and go full autismo instead of trying to be likable. He's not likable when trying to be relatable, so just be a dick. He's a Nixon, not a Reagan.

@LeaderJohnThune Time to go scorched earth, sir. Cement your legacy by barreling this legislation through and you will be remembered for generations. Do not and suffer the reality of losing your seat. And you will, sir. Stand up and be a patriot!

The SAVE America Act debate has made one thing crystal clear: Democrats’ rhetoric is completely out of step with what most Americans support. Providing proof of citizenship and showing a photo ID to vote is just common sense.

In 1480 viel een Ottomaans leger (18.000 man, onder Gedik Ahmed Pasha) de Zuid-Italiaanse stad Otranto aan. Na 15 dagen beleg werd de stad ingenomen. De overlevende mannen (boven de 15) kregen een ultimatum: bekeren tot de islam of sterven. Ongeveer 800 weigerden. Ze werden naar de heuvel buiten de stad gevoerd (nu de Heuvel der Martelaren). Daar werden ze één voor één onthoofd. De eerste was kleermaker Antonio Primaldo, die riep: “Nu is het tijd om voor onze zielen te vechten voor de Heer.” De aartsbisschop werd voor het altaar van de kathedraal onthoofd. Andere priesters werden doormidden gezaagd. Vrouwen en kinderen werden als slaven verkocht of vermoord. Totaal: tienduizenden doden en duizenden in slavernij. Dit was geen “normale” oorlog maar een religieus gemotiveerde slachting van weerloze christenen die weigerden hun geloof af te zweren. Na de herovering in 1481 werden de lichamen (die maandenlang onbegraven op de heuvel hadden gelegen) verzameld en naar de kathedraal gebracht. In de Cappella dei Martiri staan vandaag de dag glazen vitrines vol met hun echte schedels – rij na rij, honderden stuks. Een stukje geschiedenis dat zelden in de schoolboeken staat… Anno 2026? Kerken organiseren vrijwillig iftars wereldwijd.. Hebben die 800 martelaren hiervoor geleden? Voor kerken die nu vrijwillig weggeven wat zij met hun bloed verdedigden?

Daisy Ridley in The Cleaner is really just female Die Hard. We will see.

@brianschatz Fake news

We are enthusiastically willing to pay TSA workers today, and we will keep trying, but the sticking point is that Republicans want to attach ICE funding to it. We are not in agreement about ICE, but I don’t think workers and travelers should have to wait for an ICE deal.

@Tim_Walz @ca_kolarski You are a criminal

The White House is cutting off $250 million for Minnesotans health care.