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Wolf_Derek
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Wolf_Derek
@fbsferock
Market analyst & Crypto Trader Value Investor & Stock Picker (Small/Mid Caps ) Setups daily + real-time trading DM for collaborations
Se unió Mayıs 2020
568 Siguiendo888 Seguidores
$WLD I've had a few questions here, so here's a thought on the HTF horizon:
We've bounced 40% from the activation trigger indicated above, now entering an important range. For a bullish continuation, I see two scenarios: a breakout and consolidation above the box, or a pullback to the previous Bos, which we broke at 0.4143 (the maximum of the pullback to avoid missing the macro breakout).
Weekly, if we're seeing a real change in the HTF trend, the target levels are divided between the HTF VaH at $1, and then the two price ranges highlighted in the two macro boxes above. I'll update this situation as it happens
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$WLD It's literally flying in space🚀, did you like the setup?😆
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$PENDLE Short swing completed🎯, over 5R🚀, perfect execution, iron patience.
Probably one of my best short swings ever.
Thanks for participating👨🏻💻✍️
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$PENDLE +5R🎯, one of my best swing shorts, great execution, taking huge profits here. Have a great Saturday today
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$XAU 0.75 held, give me that breakout + consolidation above and we should be good to go. TP 5k, let's see
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$XAU $GOLD We had a bounce right in the indicated area a few days ago, without completely filling the box yet. For real confirmation, I want a clear break of the trendline or a consolidation above the box and a subsequent break. If we get confirmation, 5k is the next target
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$GOLD The LTF trend is clearly weak, but looking ahead, there could still be a long turn (especially depending on how the macroeconomy evolves in the near future). A retest of the white box with a recovery could lead to a break of the trendline, opting for a long trade. Losing it, however, could cause a slide to the local low at $4100, and there, if there is no sign of volume support, it would trigger a broader correction phase. Monitor closely
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@George1Trader $XAU That's what I'm looking at, buddy. It would also break a bearish LTF structure coinciding with the weekly open. That would be the trigger, after 0.75 has held. If we get a breakout and consolidation, we'll be up towards 5k in my opinion
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$BTC 💭If you took emotions out of the game, in hindsight, buying would have seemed easy.
Buy below the realized price, below the Long-Term Holder Realized Price, in the NUPL "capitulation" section, below the 1465D MA.
Emotions are the trader's true enemy.
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$BTC we still have ample downside offers, I wouldn't go all out with the longs here
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$BTC a year ago I posted this diagram, well it finally materialized.
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$BTC this is the scenario to avoid
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$USDT dominance, Here we are✍️
I'd noticed underlying strength in dominance here a few weeks ago. It went as expected, breaking the white box and causing a general cryptocurrency collapse. I've been seeing warning signs for weeks. We've been riding long positions via scalps or intraday on AI-based coins, especially those like $WLD or $RENDER, but the underlying signs of weakness were clear to me. I hope this has helped us move forward.
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$USDT dominance, All as expected, moving towards the white box (the AI sector continues to show strength)
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@wasmynme Yes, it doesn't have to be super precise, not even the timing, it was just to give an idea of the general trend. For me, the macro bottom is the 45k/59k range
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@fbsferock Wickoff stay in the room.. but i don't think 40 for one Bitcoin
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$RENDER Before vs After🎯
There was some jitters on the chart, and we were in a high area. I hope it brought you some profits
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$RENDER After riding the long with a profit of over 60%, we pulled back to the area I had previously highlighted and bounced. Now there are new triggers here for me: for a long continuation, break the VaH + white box + trendline, find resistance here and rejection for a short. Let's see.
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There will come a time when liquidity will come in; it doesn't take much to pump up the sector anymore. You know what I'm starting to think, brother? That the signing of the Clarity Act will be the real bottom. I think we'll have the last sell-off there, a big sell-the-news, with the fruits that will show in the medium/long term
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@swisstrader09 45k/59k This is the range where to focus on spot purchases in my opinion
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spot plan remains the same, haven‘t taken profit on the 60k buys…
gonna add on any significant manipulation move below 60k down to 50k, with extraordinary orders near the mid 40‘s
$BTC
Swiss@swisstrader09
$BTC | my spot investment (accumulation) plan this chart should help, especially for newpeople in the space, who want to invest in Bitcoin but don't know where/when ➡️personally, the early february dip into 60's triggered my 1st orders I had down there ➡️use any other sweeps below 60's towards 58/51's to accumulate spot, not all at once, scale in on different prices.... ➡️have some deep bids ready in case of leveraged flushes, speaking about the red zone at 47/44's
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@SailorManCrypto same thought Pop, that area is where I would completely close the swing short, I'm more interested in longs on ETH than on BTC
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ETH
Before vs After 🎯
This has now my full attention. Interested in longs if we get a proper deviation followed by a MSB.
Just used a parallel channel and a simple liquidity concept. Ranges rarely lie.
GIF
Popeye@SailorManCrypto
Another range broke down, just another re-distribution, lows started to be taken out. Nothing new, still headed to the bottom right corner. ETH
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@LLuciano_BTC $BTC It was a clear signal but it seems that people still don't give it importance
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@PostyXBT desperation must become boredom, that will be the bottom
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$BTC Two days ago I said how fast and brutal a crash is, compared to a slow and boring recovery. In two days, here's the result; time amplifies everything. I hope you didn't hurt yourself if you followed my advice.
There were many factors in the last few days that were predicting a crash on $BTC (we shorted it from 77.5k), huge outflows from Blackrock and other funds, Saylor sold for the first time, debunking his "never sell" story, the PA was very clear, plus weakness and an extremely weak/bearish structure.
I don't intend to go long now. As I said before, $ETH is still on a short swing and is currently yielding significant profits.
AI coins are now at significant support, in the box between VaH and PoC. To avoid losing momentum, they need to bounce from here and lose the box. We have lower support as our last lifeline, but getting there isn't a good sign.
As you can see, they were the strongest, but they're also the ones that will collapse heavily if the situation reverses; see the short opened on $RENDER, immediately making huge profits; look at other AI coins like $FET, a lot of weakness, only $WLD is holding up for now.
Stay alert and monitor, don't get carried away by emotions; if you've lost money, you'll get it back, stay alive.
I'll post some interesting charts if there are any.
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$BTC People's desperation is amplified by one factor: time. The recovery is slow, exhausting, boring/stressful; the decline is rapid, brutal, and cynical. It took three months to climb from the local low of 59.8k to 82.9k, and only 27 days to send it back down to 67k, with a high probability of falling further. Time is your best ally, but if you don't know how to manage it, it can also be your worst enemy. A rational, emotionless, and thoughtful strategy is what will save you, but without consistency, commitment, and determination, you won't get very far.
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@MacroCRG the outflows had been huge for a few weeks and the graph confirmed it, it was predictable $BTC
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GM, $BTC has revealed its cards. This morning I manually closed the remaining position on the swing short opened at 77.5k (everything documented from the beginning), started taking profits on the swing short opened at 82k with a larger size and timeframe but lower RR, taking further profits on the swing short on $ETH as posted last night. Last night it filled my short order on $RENDER after it missed on the first attempt, going to full take profit. It also filled my entry on $XAU, so I'm in now, we'll see how it goes. A good wake-up call (unfortunately, we can't say the same for those who bought every dip on $BTC and got torn to pieces).
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
#Crypto I hope the end-of-month update helped you. We had a retest and rejection on total2, which resulted in strong rejections. $BTC was holding part of the position after taking profits at $70k, and now the price has collapsed to $66k We're holding the short on $ETH. AI.D is heavily compressed, the spring is about to burst. It's vital to keep the first box blank. We're getting a bit close to VaL zones everywhere, and we could see a slight general LTF rebound (I'll publish new LTF plans on $BTC tomorrow, but I've already mentioned in the previous post, and various AI coins if there's an update to be made, about the ones we're trading on, namely $RENDER $NEAR $VIRTUAL $WLD $FET $ICP). Stay tuned
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$ETH +1.95R✍️, after the short swing on $BTC (reached +4.93R today), it's now starting to grind here too, starting to take partial profits now. Two short swings published in full transparency, with entry stops and take profits made clear (you can find all the trades in previous posts). I hope this helped someone, new plans tomorrow, and a check-up of the ongoing trades ( $WLD and $ENA )
Wolf_Derek@fbsferock
$ETH nice bomb today for my short 🙂
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