Allen Sutton, which Allen are u after? Jnr or Snr?

@SeaforthPub Cool, I have to wait for Veterans appreciation day next Thursday so I can put my order for that one and a few others 😆

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@MarkHubbard33 Or this could turn out to be the biggest clusterfuck since Gallipoli given that the Iranian Forces C4 is totally decentralised and using asymmetrical Attack & Defence Doctrine which the Yanks & IDF are struggling to control let alone defeat it atm especially against the IRGC.

Word. Not long now to free Iran.

@Cioccolata234 Yes this NZG & it advisors are placing way too much faith into the Neolib economic theory of "Just in Time Logistics" Which is a total load of Bollocks, as Clausewitz said in his book On War "Logistics is always subject to Friction" aka Disruption & strain to possible collapse

They'll learn! No change to fuel alert level tomorrow, says Willis rnz.co.nz/news/political…

@Wildflower_222 @pati_marins64 @AustralianArmy @NZArmy Who started to back load the 2rd and 3rd waves who were meant to support the initial 1st wave who were within a bee's dick of achieving the all important 3rd ridgeline You need read Gen Bridges OpOrd for D Day to D+72hrs &the Turkish/ German Reports & Returns in the War diaries.

@Wildflower_222 @pati_marins64 @AustralianArmy @NZArmy That's a bloody myth! The ANZAC's landed on the right between 2 Turkish units who hadn't tired in their Flank defence and were able to exploit the sweet spot with their Dawn Landing. Where it failed was logistics, as the bloody Pom's thought we were on the wrong beach 1/

An Amphibious Landing in Iran and the Battle of Gallipoli Any war against Iran risks repeating the classic mistake of Gallipoli: a superpower’s underestimation of a determined defense strongly favored by geography. In 1915, the British Empire believed its superior fleet would be enough to force the Dardanelles and bring down the Ottoman Empire with relative ease. Generals and politicians, including Winston Churchill, Ian Hamilton, and Lord Kitchener, viewed the Turks as a backward army of “doubtful value” that would flee at the first salvo from British battleships. Reality proved very different. The geography of Gallipoli turned the attack into a nightmare. The Ottomans controlled the steep heights above the beaches. Once the Allies landed, they became trapped on narrow strips of sand, fully exposed to machine-gun and artillery fire from above. Advancing or retreating safely was nearly impossible. This is exactly the same natural wall that Iran possesses today in the mountains that surround nearly its entire coast. Any force attempting a landing in the Persian Gulf would immediately face steep elevations right behind the beaches, giving the defender total visibility and fire superiority. Beyond geography, Iran possesses something the British also underestimated in the Turks: the ability to conduct a saturation defense. While offensive and defensive munitions stocks are running low for the attackers, Iran is preparing a war of saturation. Thousands of drones of various types, missiles, and fast attack boats launched in swarms could quickly overwhelm and exhaust the coalition’s ability to provide cover for a landing in Iran. Logistics represent another fatal bottleneck. In Gallipoli, the Allies could not sustain the flow of supplies under constant fire. In Iran, the challenge would be even greater: supply lines could not rely on American bases in the region, which have already been heavily damaged and under fire for 26 days. They would instead depend on much more distant logistics, supported by an already weakened American industrial base. Meanwhile, Iran would be fighting at home, with underground factories, short supply lines, and the ability to open multiple fronts through Iraqi militias and the Houthis. In parallel, the Strait of Hormuz functions as the modern equivalent of the Dardanelles. Iran dominates the area with sophisticated yet relatively cheap naval mines, anti-ship missiles, drones, and its own navy. The loss of just one or two major ships, or landing vessels, would be enough for the entire operation to collapse, just as happened in 1915 when simple mines sank three British battleships in a single day. The error of assessment is the same as it was a century ago. Just as the British believed the Turks “had no stomach for modern warfare,” today some assume that an intense technological bombardment would quickly cause the Iranian regime to collapse. Statements like Netanyahu’s, “Iran is a paper tiger… A strong blow and the regime will fall”, dangerously echo the declarations of Churchill and Hamilton. Both ignored the fact that a nation of tens of millions of people, fighting on its own territory with strong ideological motivation, does not easily surrender to technological superiority. Gallipoli cost the Allies around 250,000 casualties, including tens of thousands killed, and ended in a humiliating withdrawal. It was a meat grinder that exposed the arrogance of a superpower when it collided with the reality of the terrain and the defender’s determination. Any potential amphibious landing in Iran today carries the same risk of becoming a Persian Gallipoli: where excessive faith in technology runs into an insurmountable geography, a mass of missiles and drones, and the overwhelming advantage of those fighting on home soil. Iran is the opening conflict of a multipolar world, a reality that America, Israel and probably the entire west still fail to recognize.

@RobertBGlennie @frankie2258 👍

@AllenSutton73 @frankie2258 Burnside - largest co-ed in South Island with 2,350 students - is another (I went there 1994-99).

All the air-hell-airs in their Range R9vers stuffed with spoiled bored privatee schooled "children" will have narry a care in the world about boring old petrol. Oh God no dahlings! rnz.co.nz/news/national/…

@frankie2258 @RobertBGlennie Yes rowing in the more well heeled private schools is always considered an elite sport. Given that the Maadi Cup has its roots from the Egalitarian NZ 2nd Div Rowing club on Nile. I don't have much time for the Toffs IRT High Senior Boy Cricket especially in CHCH mid 80-90s.

@AllenSutton73 @RobertBGlennie Granted. Bit the vast majority of parents are mostly welp-heeled showy-offy mothers. I know from first-hand experience teaching in private schools.

@kellyenz Yep, thence Just in Time Logistics Model is & always be a complete a joke expect for the bean counters, economists & dunderheads with Business Management degrees who love it LoL As Clausewitz said in his book "On War", logistics is always subject to friction aka disruption!!!

The just in time model continues to perform in line with expectations. We have fuel now but have no idea if we will have it in 3 weeks. Thats no way to run a business - and especially not a country!

@RobertBGlennie @frankie2258 The Sth Is champs were held prior to Maadi. FYI Frankie, there are a couple of Public State School's that partake in Maadi. I believe my old Hornby High School has a small team of Single and Double skulls

@frankie2258 I actually thought it had already been. Coming back from the family property down there a few weeks ago multiple schools with vans towing trailor loads of canoes were going in the opposite direction.

@kellyenz It's going to get alot more worse before it gets better, as the Yanks are playing for time to reorganise itself after plan A failed If plan B fails like it did in Gallipoli? But countries like NZ who kept on believing in Just in Time Logistics to Triumph over rationing are🤬

Things are not improving.

@Eastandbays It may do, and it may not? But after you have done your CONOP's plan, you still have to write up your detail set of orders.

@AllenSutton73 Of course AI will speed that up.

Australia is running out of fuel in some locations. The Philippines has declared a national emergency because they have 44 days fuel remaining. New Zealand has fewer days fuel remaining than the Philippines but our government doesn't appear at all concerned.

@black13830 @Eastandbays Oh yeah, and the people/ the cookers whinge like a bitch over COVID LoL If the Most Dangerous scenario happens? Ie NZ runs out of fuel or depleted it's fuel Reserves below the bare minimum! It's going to make COVID look like a pleasant Sunday walk/ Sunday picnic 😂

@Eastandbays @AllenSutton73 It's all going to hit the fan.

@Eastandbays The CONOP's -We already have the mission -The Objective/s - What resources I have on hand to achieve the Mission & Objective/s - Any Additional Resources I need & more importantly We also develop the all important Timeline from D- to D Day & from D Day to D+. Pretty simple 😂

@Eastandbays In other words we plan for War and hope the Politicians achieve Peace or Maintain Peace. Anyway once we achieve the Most likely and the Most Dangerous Course of Action. We then write up the CONOPS (concept of operations) for Most Likely and Most Dangerous Course of Actions 2/

@LewisHoldenNZ Plus there some what, 20+ plans for LR in Auckland ever since the Trams/LR stopped running in the City? Couldn't understand why the NZG and it's groupies had to reinvent the wheel again?

Bingo. The Consultacracy and all their fellow travellers grossly overcomplicated things to the point of making them non-viable. ALR is a classic example. Just doing what Jacinda Ardern proposed would've been enough, they didn't need to boil the ocean

@DevinMynett @ClintVSmith Yep, should've started rationing fuel when that Clusterfuck of a War in the Sandpit kicked off as NZ is at the end of a very long global logistics chain!

@ClintVSmith Should have been conserving diesel at east 2 weeks ago, now, possibly too late.

we had 18 days of diesel in country as of Sunday, but we know there's only 7 days' arriving in next 2 wks Fall to 11 days' buffer is locked in. & subsequent deliveries are set to be less than consumption rate Need to start conservation while there's still something to conserve

@Julie_nzkiwi Chippy has been reading up on some history? Wellington said while observing the French over it extend itself prior to one of battles during Peninsula campaign. "Never interrupt your enemy while he's are making a mistake" He went on to defeating the French later that day 😂.

Hipkins has no solutions. Jade was right about him, he's a moron

@bagga_buntyy Yep, especially that night during one of those International Tri Series ODI's when Dean Jones ask him to remove his white wrist bands! Then all hell broke loose, he wasn't a happy chappie that night & I think he may have done 10 overs on the trot as well ?

Indeed Curtly was a great bowler. When he got into one of "those" moods he was a batters worst nightmare.