Expectigami

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Expectigami

Expectigami

@Expectigami

Tracking the Total Expected Points and Expected Offensive Touchdowns. xP = Total Expected Points, xTD = Total Expected TD's. Thought up by @thedrafttutor

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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
There are a few abbreviations here, so let me explain what these all mean!  xP: Tracks expected points at the end of a drive and tallies this up across all drives to create the expected points a team should be scoring.
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
Final: SEA (21.4 xP) 29-13 (37.5 xP) NE NE have scored -31.5 points and SEA have scored +7.6 points than expected based off of where they ended drives. Expected Touchdowns: Offensive TD's: (2.425 xTD) 1 - 2 (1.308 xTD) Team Adjusted xTD: 2.371 xTD - 2.297 xTD #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q4 2:21) NE! D.Maye pass to R.Stevenson for 7 yards. The score is now SEA 29 - 13 NE. That play had a 20.02% TD chance and the drive ended with 4.7 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q4 4:27) NE! Fumble recovered and returned for touchdown. The score is now SEA 28 - 7 NE. That play had a 1.30% TD chance and the drive ended with 3.0 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
FIELD GOAL (Q4 5:35) SEA! J.Myers 26 yard field goal. The score is now SEA 22 - 7 NE. The drive ended with 2.8 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q4 12:27) NE! D.Maye pass to M.Hollins for 35 yards. The score is now SEA 19 - 6 NE. That play had a 1.63% TD chance and the drive ended with 3.3 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q4 13:24) SEA! S.Darnold pass to A.Barner for 16 yards. The score is now SEA 18 - 0 NE. That play had a 7.43% TD chance and the drive ended with 4.7 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
End Q3: SEA (17.8 xP) 12-0 (23.7 xP) NE NE have scored -23.7 points and SEA have scored -5.8 points than expected based off of where they ended drives. Expected Touchdowns: Offensive TD's: (1.397 xTD) 0 - 0 (0.354 xTD) Team Adjusted xTD: 1.324 xTD - 1.069 xTD #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
FIELD GOAL (Q3 9:12) SEA! J.Myers 41 yard field goal. The score is now SEA 12 - 0 NE. The drive ended with 2.4 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
Halftime: SEA (11.0 xP) 9-0 (14.2 xP) NE NE have scored -14.2 points and SEA have scored -2.0 points than expected based off of where they ended drives. Expected Touchdowns: Offensive TD's: (1.223 xTD) 0 - 0 (0.207 xTD) Team Adjusted xTD: 1.217 xTD - 0.588 xTD #SEAvsNE #NEv...
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
FIELD GOAL (Q2 0:11) SEA! J.Myers 41 yard field goal. The score is now SEA 9 - 0 NE. The drive ended with 2.8 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
FIELD GOAL (Q2 11:16) SEA! J.Myers 39 yard field goal. The score is now SEA 6 - 0 NE. The drive ended with 2.1 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
End Q1: SEA (3.6 xP) 3-0 (8.2 xP) NE NE have scored -8.2 points and SEA have scored -0.6 points than expected based off of where they ended drives. Expected Touchdowns: Offensive TD's: (0.714 xTD) 0 - 0 (0.100 xTD) Team Adjusted xTD: 0.601 xTD - 0.332 xTD #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
FIELD GOAL (Q1 11:58) SEA! J.Myers 33 yard field goal. The score is now SEA 3 - 0 NE. The drive ended with 2.8 xP. #SEAvsNE #NEvsSEA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
Final: LA (25.7 xP) 27-31 (30.2 xP) SEA SEA have scored +0.8 points and LA have scored +1.3 points than expected based off of where they ended drives. Expected Touchdowns: Offensive TD's: (2.429 xTD) 3 - 4 (2.913 xTD) Team Adjusted xTD: 2.549 xTD - 2.199 xTD #LAvsSEA #SEAvsLA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q3 9:41) LA! M.Stafford pass to D.Adams for 2 yards. The score is now LA 20 - 24 SEA. That play had a 46.68% TD chance and the drive ended with 6.3 xP. #LAvsSEA #SEAvsLA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q3 12:02) SEA! S.Darnold pass to J.Bobo for 17 yards. The score is now LA 13 - 24 SEA. That play had a 7.43% TD chance and the drive ended with 4.7 xP. #LAvsSEA #SEAvsLA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
Halftime: LA (11.7 xP) 13-17 (17.2 xP) SEA SEA have scored -0.2 points and LA have scored +1.3 points than expected based off of where they ended drives. Expected Touchdowns: Offensive TD's: (1.338 xTD) 1 - 2 (2.755 xTD) Team Adjusted xTD: 1.309 xTD - 1.771 xTD #LAvsSEA #SE...
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q2 0:20) SEA! S.Darnold pass to J.Smith-Njigba for 14 yards. The score is now LA 13 - 16 SEA. That play had a 9.21% TD chance and the drive ended with 3.8 xP. #LAvsSEA #SEAvsLA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
TOUCHDOWN (Q2 1:55) LA! M.Stafford pass to K.Williams for 9 yards. The score is now LA 12 - 10 SEA. That play had a 20.02% TD chance and the drive ended with 4.7 xP. #LAvsSEA #SEAvsLA
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Expectigami
Expectigami@Expectigami·
FIELD GOAL (Q2 12:11) LA! H.Mevis 50 yard field goal. The score is now LA 6 - 10 SEA. The drive ended with 0.9 xP. #LAvsSEA #SEAvsLA
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