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Klay Thompson o2.5 3PTM (-125 BetMGM)
1.25u | #MFFL
🏀 NBA Thursday Pick #2
Bringing back prime Klay tonight as he’s in the BEST matchup to knock down 3s against the Utah Jazz.
To start, Utah is coming off a B2B where they just took the Thunder to OT in Oklahoma. They are dead tired and most definitely wont keep up with quick C&S shots.
The Jazz allow the MOST THREES in the league and it’s a matchup he has DOMINATED through his whole career. Dating back to his return in 2022 he has gone over this line in 10/10 games against Utah and has seen 4+ 9/10.
Since joining the Mavs, he’s over in 3/3 games seeing 4/5/4 threes made.
He’s already faced them once this season less than a month ago and went 4/9 in just 21 minutes.
He has now gone under in 3 straight games but has faced some very tough matchups/scenarios.
When Klay faces teams in the bottom 15 of 3PTA, he is OVER in 8/L9 and when he faces teams who rank bottom 5, he is OVER in 5 straight seeing 5/4/5/3/6 3PTM.
The matchup really is perfect here.
When you look at shot types, 63% of his shots come from C&S where Utah rank 30th in defending and 31% from the pull-up where Utah rank 24th.
They also rank 30th in defending the spot-up where Thompson scores 30% of his points.
Since Christmas, we’ve seen incredible shooting performances:
✅ Steph Curry - 6 (o4.5)
✅ Deni Avdija - 4 (o2.5)
✅ Sidy Cissoko - 4 (o1.5)
✅ Kawhi Leonard - 6 (o2.5)
✅ Santi Aldama - 7 (o1.5)
✅ Keldon Johnson - 5 (o2.5)
✅ Nicolas Batum - 4 (o1.5)
✅ Shaedon Sharpe - 5 (o2.5)
✅ Afernee Simons - 4 (o2.5)
✅ Duncan Robinson - 4 (o2.5)
Those are players who saw 4+, we just need 3 from Klay tonight.
Yes, betting on Klay is risky but the matchup is great and my balls are HUGE.
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