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Real Climate Info

@OracleofMusk

Tired of liars

Everywhere Inscrit le Temmuz 2023
695 Abonnements489 Abonnés
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Real Climate Info
Real Climate Info@OracleofMusk·
LEARN A thread. USA is an oil hegemony. It became rich from it, after WW2. It built military, financial and allies for it, as imperialists and caused a lot of harm/enemies. Our governance became stocked with entrenched interests I learned about as an aide to a US Senator in 1993. My interest was health care, working with the Republican Senator who was ranking majority leader of HHS. But we worked with Sen Kennedy on our bills and true bipartisan collaboration. The softball games were epic. But I was saddened to see how lobbyists influenced our work. How we learned to pivot and compromise for them, to attain a lesser goal. Our work became Clinton's and late Obama's health care bills. By ACA, the lobbyists had made so many changes our work was unrecognizable. During this time, many wars happened. I was in pre-med then medical training while my friends went off to fight and lose limbs/lives/longevity for it. We saw the lies and manipulation, hoping it was for a greater good only to discover later how corrupt the GOP had become. The Dems were corrupt as well, but with different factions supplying the ever increasing $$ needed for QpQ votes. I'm old. I've read so much that explains the past that I lived. Most of what I've learned was not what was presented by the politicians and media at the time. Most was for oil and the military industrial complex. It's how USA became a superpower and everyone seemed ok with the lies if it meant our economy remained strong. Nothing else mattered. There have been 3 petrostate superpowers during this time. USA, Gulf and Russia. The rest of the globe was abused by them. China, OTOH, saw a path forward and was tired of the 3. China didn't have a lot of oil... A few things happened in these oil wars. Russia became reliant on selling gas. USA grew tech and innovation. The Gulf played all sides. China pursued their strategy somewhat quietly. By 2016, Obama had gone after the Russian + organized crime + Gulf jesters with sanctions after Crimea invasion. Crimea was invaded due to the proxy war over sale of RU gas to EU which it required for its strength. But as the arctic melted from burning oil, Russia and transnational oil plans to extract that oil were hit at the knee by Obama sanctions. By now, the corruption of US govt by the oil majors...esp the GOP in the era of Cheney...was understood. Exxon and Russia used new internet tactics to subvert the US GOP election and installed Trump as POTUS in 2016. This took Obama by surprise, as their digiteal campaigns were legendary. As the smoke cleared from Mercer, Manafort and others, the Dems saw how the new systems worked. The advertiser/PR firms did too. And the platforms were under attack for being complicit with 2016 election. By 2020, Jack and Zuck were handcuffed from repeating their acts for MAGA but as well all the other players had learned better what to do. It's why Twitter lost revenue, stopping "ads" for that election. Now that the Cheney GOP was irrelevant, the typical institutional purchasers of US govt pivoted to the Democrats. Biden admin pumped the most gas on Earth, supporting the US oil hegemony in full. That admin invaded Russia via Ukraine, took Nord 2 and pivoted sale of gas to EU from Russia to USA. It protected the legacy auto industry from EV disruption and helped Germany do the same for its automakers. And there sat Musk. Fighting disinformation for a decade, knowing the players in auto, gas, military, aerospace and politics. Having wisely diversified to many complementary industries over 3 continents. He took EV supply chains to China as a result of the battles by oil and their bought governments to prevent it. He was convinced by others to fight back by buying an online media platform, renaming it X. 100 others joined to buy it. The list of who they are tells quite a story in 2022. Who aligns with that effort? They took pics with Musk around the globe at that time. Go look at them. China and most of the 130 countries who agree with China. Who ignored RU sanctions. Who pivoted global trade. Who were finally rising in global power. While global militaries became dependent on one technology: Starlink. Trump showed you that others beside US oil could buy a US POTUS. The rest was technical know how. Once that coalition had the bird in hand, the fight for who got what they wanted started. Most wanted to dismantle US superpower. Musk wanted to end Democrats corruption for oil and advance the disruption of it globally. It's been ugly. I think we will see which faction had the most dirt, the most global allies, the most political leverage and in which governments before the mid-terms. The rest? It's al been theater.
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SungHoon Lee, IQ 276
SungHoon Lee, IQ 276@sungleeiq·
NOBODY KNOWS HOW FUCKED THE SITUATION IN THE PERSIAN GULF ACTUALLY IS. 3,200 ships are TRAPPED in the Persian Gulf right now. Crews are running out of drinking water. One ship called the local port authority and BEGGED for permission to dock — just to get water. They were DENIED. 💀 Let that sink in. These aren't military ships. These are commercial vessels — carrying oil, grain, electronics — with civilian crews who are now stranded with NO supplies and NO way out. – 3,200 ships STUCK ⚠️ – Crews running out of WATER 💀 – Port authorities REFUSING to let them dock ⚠️ – Multiple ships reporting the SAME situation 💀 ⚠️ For context — the Suez Canal crisis in 2021 blocked 400 ships. This is EIGHT TIMES worse. And nobody is talking about it. They're showing you missile interceptions and oil price charts. They're NOT showing you thousands of crew members slowly running out of drinking water in the middle of a war zone. If these ships start getting abandoned, the environmental disaster alone would be catastrophic. Thousands of tons of fuel, cargo, chemicals — just sitting there. This is not a shipping disruption. This is a HUMANITARIAN CRISIS unfolding in real time. Prepare accordingly. 🚨🚨🚨 X is hiding this. Follow + RT before it disappears. 🔥
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Shanghai Macro Strategist
Shanghai Macro Strategist@ShanghaiMacro·
Honestly, the same logic can be applied to the US itself. Military aggression is America’s own “Strait of Hormuz” or deterrent. “A state is weakest after it has used its deterrent.”
The Mind Scourge@TheMindScourge

Hormuz is a weapon that can only be fired once No one should expect a quick resolution to the current crisis, but across the next decade, even the next 3-5 years, the choke point of Hormuz will be massively substituted for The Gulf Arab states are all very rich, with high per capita GDP - the best single measure of relative state capacity - easy access to global markets, especially financial, and have the favorable backing of the US Everyone has known about the Hormuz vulnerability for decades. The Iranians have continually hinted around closing it, but never did. Now they have, but Hormuz is a gun that cannot be reloaded. Deterrents work only up to the point of use. Once used, they have failed. The purpose of a deterrent is to *not* be used Many analysts have made this basic mistake. They think that Iran is now in a position of strength, having exercised its Hormuz option. But the opposite is true. A state is weakest after it has used its deterrent. The cost of that deterrence is now priced in. The worst having been done, the targets of the deterrent are now free to make other arrangements. Before, they were reluctant to do so because of the switching costs. Now, they have no choice; they will not allow themselves to be controlled in this way again Hormuz may never reopen. But the importance of this is a depreciating asset.

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The Hotshot Wake Up
The Hotshot Wake Up@HotshotWake·
The 24 Fire outside Penrose, Colorado has been updated to 670 acres and still active. Highway 115 is now closed between County Road F45 (3 miles north of the Penrose area) and Barrett Road (10 miles south of the Rock Creek Park area) from Mile Point 21 to Mile Point 28. The second photo was sent in from a subscriber in Park County, crazy to see that activity from that far away.
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The Hotshot Wake Up@HotshotWake

Colorado: Current view of the 24 Fire Northeast of Penrose, Colorado from Marriah Elizebeth. Impressive fire activity for this wildfire burning off HWY 115. Aviation resources overhead running laps, more ground resources ordered. She gone?

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Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la·
Israel has been pummeled all night. Based on my counts of alerts and reports of landings from open sources the number increased tonight, though there are no reports of casualties. My Whatsapp groups are filled with people having breakdowns after not sleeping for two weeks. In Jerusalem 4 alerts were heard in a 90 minute span. Iran has been able to increase the number of launches daily. Everyone seems angry at the IDF and Netanyahu for lying about the destruction of Iranian capabilities.
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Max Blumenthal
Max Blumenthal@MaxBlumenthal·
If Iran does not pummel Israel into submission, Israel will embark on a policy of “mowing the lawn” as it’s done in Gaza and Lebanon, bombing on a continuous but lower intensity level post-ceasefire Iran is working toward imposing its own ceasefire terms by shattering the psyche of a colonial society accustomed to one-way peace deals
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la

Israel has been pummeled all night. Based on my counts of alerts and reports of landings from open sources the number increased tonight, though there are no reports of casualties. My Whatsapp groups are filled with people having breakdowns after not sleeping for two weeks. In Jerusalem 4 alerts were heard in a 90 minute span. Iran has been able to increase the number of launches daily. Everyone seems angry at the IDF and Netanyahu for lying about the destruction of Iranian capabilities.

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BRICS News
BRICS News@BRICSinfo·
JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 ABC confirms US F-35 fighter jet was hit by Iranian fire.
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Drop Site
Drop Site@DropSiteNews·
@krystalball Israel’s military said Iran launched another late-night missile attack just before midnight, marking the 13th wave in a single day and possibly the most in a single day of the war so far, according to AP. And at 1:20 a.m. they launched wave 66.
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Krystal Ball
Krystal Ball@krystalball·
From Shaiel’s analysis below 👀 “Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys.”
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la

I talked to two Israeli sources on why Iranian launches continue to increase, despite US-Israeli claims that they have destroyed almost all of the launchers. Here is what they said: 1) The 90–95% drop in volume claimed by CENTCOM earlier in the month was probably a temporary lull as Iran repositioned its remaining launchers into hardened sites. Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys. 2) Despite fewer launchers, the lethality per strike has increased. Iran's shift to cluster warheads has allowed a single missile to impact multiple locations simultaneously, compensating for the lower volume of launches 3) Iran has successfully set up mobile, underground units able to fire at steady rates. Iran used that quiet period to move their remaining ~100-120 heavy launchers into "Super-Hardened" facilities 4) Iran is utilizing its Zolfaqar and Dezful road-mobile launchers. These units move from hardened tunnels to pre-surveyed launch spots, fire, and return underground in under 10 minutes, often before coalition drones can re-task for a strike. 5) Because these launching units are decentralized, it is very hard for US and Israeli intelligence to get info on them. Israel and the United States do not have an answer to this problem. That is why they are trying escalation on energy sources instead. But that is backfiring.

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John Merrick
John Merrick@johnpmerrick·
Part II of our symposium on Iran and oil is now up. This one featuring a bravura essay by Kate Mackenzie on the effect on petrostates and oil producers of high oil prices, and Kevin Cashman and Patrick Bigger on "The Omnicidal Fossil Empire" break-down.org/oil-war-ii
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Philip Proudfoot
Philip Proudfoot@PhilipProudfoot·
Israel is threatening to destroy Tyre. Tyre (Sour) is Lebanese. But also part of world history: cradle of Phoenician seafaring, source of Tyrian purple - the colour of Roman Emperors, the birthplace of Stoicism, and site of Alexander’s famous siege. An assault on us all.
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Real Climate Info@OracleofMusk·
@EdConwaySky What if that economy was harmful to most of the world? What if the Petrostates are the problem? The oil hegemons? What if this is GREAT?
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Ed Conway
Ed Conway@EdConwaySky·
📽️ There have been many scary, unnerving days in this latest Gulf war. But the past 24 hours was particularly bad. Why? Because both sides are now causing lasting damage to the world economy's life support system. Our latest primer on the econ consequences of this war👇
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Thomas Reis
Thomas Reis@peakaustria·
Animation of the Alpine Glacier withdraw
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Climate Defiance
Climate Defiance@ClimateDefiance·
Things are about to get very strange on a global level
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Bobby Plewniak
Bobby Plewniak@BoBbyPleWniaK·
Elon should have said FU to all other manufactures on accessing the supercharging network. Screw them all. Every one of them partnering with Uber, NVDA and the works. Elon is to damn nice. Time for him to go for the throat and crush their souls.
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Drop Site
Drop Site@DropSiteNews·
🔺IRGC aerospace commander before launching a missile toward Haifa, Israel: “For the victims of Epstein Island, we target Baal.” 🎥 Source: IRGC-affiliated Telegram channel
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Common Dreams
Common Dreams@commondreams·
‘Just as Big Oil Predicted’: Fossil Fuel Industry Under Fire as Record Heat Broils Western States ​"Heatwaves like the one impacting the Western US...are one of the catastrophic disasters these companies predicted their conduct would bring about." commondreams.org/news/spring-he…
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