niveshak

🧠 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗧𝗥𝗨𝗧𝗛 𝗔𝗕𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗦𝗠𝗔𝗟𝗟𝗖𝗔𝗣 𝗜𝗡𝗩𝗘𝗦𝗧𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗡𝗢 𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗧𝗘𝗟𝗟𝗦 𝗬𝗢𝗨 This is the chart of the Nifty Smallcap Index. From January 2008 to March 2009, the Indian market witnessed a major, full-fledged bull run across all sectors and indices. > The Smallcap Index made its era high of 6060+ in the first week of March 2008. > It was the euphoric phase of the market. > I remember many domestic and global analysts and brokerage houses giving big upside targets. But a bubble with over valuations can’t sustain for too long. > Along with the broad-based market, the Smallcap Index also crashed badly. > It fell sharply over the next 13 months and made a low of 1350. > This was a fall of 4710 points — a 78% crash from peak levels. > The NAV of many smallcap-focused funds crashed to one-third, and panic was clearly visible among investors. 💡 Before delivering good returns, the Smallcap Index will test your patience by showing big drawdowns in your portfolio. > I personally visited many investors and advised them not to press the sell button 🔘. > Instead, I told them to accumulate more at those pessimistic levels. > Within the next 20 months, the Smallcap Index made a high of 4550+ levels. > That’s a 237% return in just 20 months. 👉 So, investing in smallcap funds is not easy — it comes with huge risk and volatility. Do you still hold your smallcap fund? 𝘼𝙧𝙚 𝙮𝙤𝙪 𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙮 𝙛𝙤𝙧 𝙖 𝙗𝙪𝙢𝙥𝙮 𝙧𝙞𝙙𝙚?

I agree with Saurabh Mukherjea that there are times when we see 21% CAGR for a decade, and there are times when we need to accept flat to negative returns for a couple of years. As 'Coffee Can' investing failed, I have also grown bored of picking stocks directly. I am switching most of my portfolio to ETFs and exploring global stocks through my Axis demat account.

The most expensive barrel India has bought in two decades!

The Saver, fed this money to bureaucrats and non-taxpayers. In the last 29 years, nominal GDP has grown by more than 10%. There is nothing like compounding in most government-backed savings plans. It would have generated better if he had bought iron ingots every year.

When it's panic mixed with a fear sale, then wait for a while and listen to what the valuation says. It's not rocket science to find such opportunities. The Nifty IT index has simply delivered 11% returns from its March lows. I mentioned this in my previous posts, too: that rupee depreciation and the AI+Anthropic-led panic will emerge as a value buying opportunity here.

Nifty’s forward price-to-book value is now trading below its 20-year median range. The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/B is also significantly lower than the median in % terms.

10 years of data by Capitalmind Mutual Fund shows something interesting: On a comparative basis: 👉 Large caps are currently the cheapest. 👉 Small caps are cheaper than mid caps. This is the first time that mid-cap companies are more overvalued than both small & large-cap companies.

Starting an SIP seems easy. Picking index funds sounds easy. Doing a 10% top-up in SIP also sounds easy. But what about investment behaviour? What about the discipline, which is the real foundation of wealth creation?

🚨 Q1 CY2026 is showing early signs of pain, which may extend further. Yes. Overvalued assets will undergo both time and value correction. Do you know which asset class has taken the biggest hit so far in YTD 2026?

@SahilKapoor Thank you 😊🙏

@Sandeepnirvan Recording will be out soon. Will share. Apologies 🙏

A few minutes of delay can give you the pain of missing your favourite webinar. Missed this time. Why would someone miss listening to DSP Netra and @SahilKapoor Housefull

During the Harshad Mehta bull run, we made 30 crores from just 12 lakh rupees of investment. Bull run used to be fierce and price can move anywhere within a small time frame. Image: Master class with super investors (Raamdeo Agarwal, MOSL)

These pages of the book are sending chills down my spine. A long phase of muted returns? Are we heading to a scenario like Japan 🗾? 35 Year with no returns? Falling number of consumers (population)!!

I don't know how many will agree, "Along with continued SIP, in such a cheap and lower-valued market, there should be a concept of SSP in an overvalued market." Tell me honestly—who told this to their investors in the last 12 months?

We have seen a lot of geopolitical events But the positive side of these uncertainty and Tariff is that: 🔸India completed very important deals like UK FTA and EU FTA. 🔸RBI pumping 10 lakh crore of liquidity. 🔸Interest rates also coming down. Source: Sunil Singhania Abakkus Asset Manager Pvt Ltd

5 years from now, people will say — “I wish I had bought more.” But today, they’re waiting for the settling of the market— A perfect bottom. It doesn’t exist. Start with a small amount . Keep pouring consistently. 💡 Accumulate quality when it’s ignored. 👉Catching the bottom is a myth. 🧠 Catching the upside is a decision. Be early, not perfect. #Investing #StockMarket #stockmarketeducation

We all get swayed by news, information and analysis. Too much analysis leads to paralysis. India got independence in 1947. It took us 60 years to reach the $1 Trillion economy in 2007. Then $ 2 trillion tool 9 years and another one more took 8 years. After 78 years we are $4 Trillion economy. 👉 No single event can make it good or bad for the economy. So I will rather say, "Do nothing" Sunil Singhania, Abakkus Asset Manager LLP Source: Outlook Money

Ten timeless investing rules of Bob Farrell

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗜𝘀 𝗡𝗼𝘁 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗖𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 — 𝗕𝘂𝘁 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝘃𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝗕𝗲 𝗦𝗶𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗿 2008–09: Markets crashed and bottomed out in ~10 months, followed by nearly 12 months of consolidation. 2020–21: The crash bottomed in just 5 months, with another 5–6 months of time correction. 2024–26 (Current Phase): The Nifty peaked in September 2024 and corrected ~16% over the next 5 months (till Feb 2025). Then came a trigger — RBI rate cuts. Banking stocks rallied, leading the index to fresh highs by November 2025. Despite new highs, retail investors and DIIs kept absorbing FII selling. Within 45 days, the Nifty scaled a new ATH of 26,373. 𝗕𝘂𝘁 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲’𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗱 👇 The correction didn’t start now. It actually began in September 2024 itself, rotating across sectors: 𝗣𝗦𝗨 → 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝘂𝗺𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 → 𝗜𝗧 → 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸𝘀 → 𝗡𝗼𝘄 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱-𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱 This is a classic sectoral-to-broad correction cycle. 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘄𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘄? ~18 months of combined price + time correction already done During the recent Iran tension-led fall, Nifty held Feb 2025 lows and bounced Most Nifty stocks are now trading near or below their 10-year average valuations So, the Nifty index is currently near its price bottom; however, a time correction may still continue.