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Sharpiebets
338 posts


@iago_jackx @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops The “you are fucking dumb” original comment is what got me to jump in here and debate.
Congrats on your PhD that’s some hard fucking work! Glad you came with hard facts! You’re smarter than I’ll ever be.
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@Sharpiebetsbig @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops Thanks! I'm a finance PhD student, so thinking about stats and risk is basically my everyday job.
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@iago_jackx @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops I honestly don’t disagree with you, I can always play devils advocate which is what I was doing to troll but you’re right
You’d be great at +EV betting.
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@Sharpiebetsbig @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops Context changes the risk tolerance, not the math. The probability remains exactly the same, and 1 out of 7 times you will end up completely soaked. Again, that's not essentially no chance.
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@iago_jackx @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops Yeah but if there’s a 14% chance of rain you’re not taking your umbrella
Context matters.
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@Sharpiebetsbig @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops I take airplanes because there is actually 'essentially no chance' of them crashing. If an airline told me there was a 14% chance of going down (1 in 7), I wouldn't take it. 14% is a very real chance
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@iago_jackx @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops It is Russian roulette and if you’d be willing to play your thought process is screwed
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@Sharpiebetsbig @DaRealMoss92 @LegionHoops 14% for me is not a low percentage. One time every seven. It's almost Russian roulette
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@kick @xQc @LosPollosTV @theburntpeanut @N3onOnYT @PontiacMadeDDG @Trainwreckstv @adinross @Asmongold @REALIcePoseidon @Odablock 8 rooms
Top row and 3rd row
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@OnyxOdds where's Murray at? I'm super surprised if he's lower than 21.7
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@UnderdogNBA He’s proving a point to the rockets that they suck ass. No luka, no Reeves, 41 year old LeBron.
They weren’t good because they’re a good team with a good coach. They were good because KD was on that floor.
Trade Fox for KD
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