Zero to Infinity

This account documents my personal journey in options trading and self-discovery. Nothing here is financial advice. Wins, losses, and lessons. Follow along.

Most traders and investors are freaking out about the stock market, I tell you that all time high is coming. Concerns about Oil, War, and Private Capital will be resolved soon. AI investments are accelerating. Bull cycle must continues. For now.

$MU $GOOGL $ASML These expired today. Added to watchlist in April, ASML in Sept '25 when no one was bullish. Didn't take a single trade. My analysis was right. Lacked courage. Working on closing that gap.

The variable: execution. Abel inherits $381B vs Buffett's $25B in 2008. That's 15x more capital for crisis deployment. Question is whether he deploys $100-200B at $240 when banking stress peaks. That decision defines post-Buffett era returns. Watching closely.

Historical comp: 2007-2009 October 2007: markets peak in euphoria March 2009: -54% crash Buffett deploys $25B during panic Goldman, BofA investments return billions Same pattern forming. Melt-up to $600, crash to $240, recovery to $760 as Abel deploys.

$BRK.B at $492 holds $381B cash earning <4%. Problem: falling yields compress returns $4-6B annually. Seeing a three-phase setup that mirrors 2007. Chart pattern, fundamentals, and timing all align. The parallels are uncomfortable.

$ASML hit my March '26 PT early. Underestimated the High-NA EUV catalyst. Memory orders surged 186%, Intel deployed first $400M machine. This isn't about data centers completing—it's an AI-driven super cycle starting. See 40% to 100% upside to cycle top.

Though $TSLA could deliver a multi-year breakout, it won't be sustained. Optimus and robotaxis can't save it - not yet. Expecting a drop below $200. If macro deteriorates? Could see sub-$100

Oracle's rising CAPEX could drag $ORCL down to $150 - potentially marking the ultimate bottom for this cycle.

Small caps going parabolic. Forty percent rally to 3400+ - asymmetric setup. Multi-decade channel approaching upper boundary. These lead to blow-off tops. Expecting sixty-five percent crash late 2026 into 2027 from cycle completion. Risk/reward favors both directions.

$MU at 30-year highs. Prices high, bit volume flat. Memory cycle says crash soon, but AI capex surging + fabs delayed 2+ yrs can extend upcycle into '27. Position for 50-75% collapse late '27-'29 when capacity hits. Memory crashes are violent. Watch fab ramp timelines closely.