TopCheddarFantasy

1.6K posts

TopCheddarFantasy

TopCheddarFantasy

@fantasycheddar

Creator of the True Value Goalie Rankings (Quality Weeks), Contributor at @ApplesGinos @DobberHockey #FantasyHockey analysis. NHL Props

Toronto, Ontario Inscrit le Ağustos 2022
279 Abonnements665 Abonnés
HockeyFan77
HockeyFan77@CanucksFan777·
@fantasycheddar Would u drop E Lindholm, Dobson, or L Hughes to add Seth Jones? For this week
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TopCheddarFantasy
TopCheddarFantasy@fantasycheddar·
@WilcoWacko @OTT Ooof thats tough. I’m inclined to go Reimer who would be most likely to get the W for you. All three are scary for SV%
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Banks Thompson
Banks Thompson@WilcoWacko·
@fantasycheddar Hey Ryan-My playoff match will come down to my Sunday goalie - Ned @OTT Reimer vs SJ Comrie vs STL - Wins SV% are now dead even - I’m il 2.73 to 3.67 in GAA- who do you ride and who scares you to death? THANKS for your insights man!
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TopCheddarFantasy
TopCheddarFantasy@fantasycheddar·
@CanucksFan777 Gotta go with the extra game from Lindholm. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mccann outperforms though
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HockeyFan77
HockeyFan77@CanucksFan777·
@fantasycheddar do you prefer 4 games of lindholm, 4 games of coyle, 4 games of perreault, 3 games of mccann, or 2 games of snuggerud?
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TopCheddarFantasy
TopCheddarFantasy@fantasycheddar·
@CanucksFan777 That’s tough cuz I loveee Snuggerud. I will almost always choose more GP though. But maybe you can stream a Bruin Mon/Tues like Lindholm, Arvy or Zacha, then drop them for Snuggy on Wednesday. Love CGY and VAN as STL’s opponenets
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HockeyFan77
HockeyFan77@CanucksFan777·
@fantasycheddar Thoughts on snuggerud? Only 2 games next week but what are some cutoff players that u would rather snug over? Like guys that play 3/4 games
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HockeyFan77
HockeyFan77@CanucksFan777·
@fantasycheddar Which 3 u keeping for playoffs? - March 16-Apr 5 Landeskog E Lindholm Dobson L Hughes S Jones Cats include hits and +/- (no blks)
HockeyFan77 tweet media
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Tuki
Tuki@TukiFromKL·
🚨 Do you understand what Amazon just did? Amazon made their 2,847 engineers spend 8 months documenting every code pattern, every debugging workflow, every optimization trick. Then fed it all to AI. Then fired them. They didn't just replace their workers. They made their workers build their own replacements first. And package themselves for deletion. > One senior engineer said: "I literally trained the AI that made me redundant." If you're writing internal docs right now, stop and ask yourself one question: Who is this actually for?
Tech Layoff Tracker@TechLayoffLover

AMAZON PRIME VIDEO BLOODBATH 2,847 employees got the email at 6:47 AM PST "Your role has been eliminated effective immediately" Badges dead by 7:15 AM. Slack access revoked mid-sentence Senior engineers who built the entire streaming infrastructure. Gone The team that shipped 40% faster last quarter using Claude for code generation. Eliminated 847 contractors in Bangalore just got handed their prompt libraries and deployment scripts Same streaming platform. Same feature velocity expected 14 remaining Seattle engineers to "manage AI-augmented offshore delivery" The kicker: those eliminated seniors spent 8 months documenting every architectural decision into internal wikis Every code pattern. Every debugging workflow. Every performance optimization trick That documentation just became training data for the AI systems replacing them VP of Engineering sent company-wide: "This transition represents our commitment to AI-first development" Severance packages include mandatory 90-day non-compete clauses Meanwhile the Bangalore team already pushed 12 commits using the extracted knowledge base One former L7 told me: "I literally trained the AI that made me redundant" If you're at FAANG and not seeing this coming you're already dead DMs open for anyone who needs to talk

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TopCheddarFantasy
TopCheddarFantasy@fantasycheddar·
@MathWinsBets Can likely just be “you have been identified as an advantaged player, feel free to use our online casino still!”
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TopCheddarFantasy
TopCheddarFantasy@fantasycheddar·
@StatsOverScore Awesome! And does your model project probabilities for each outcome? I feel like that would be more useful than the projected raw number.
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StatsOverScore
StatsOverScore@StatsOverScore·
I do internal audits to the actual performances and results to ensure the models tuning is representing the NHL appropriately. There are people independently tracking my model vs discrepancies in lines which I appreciate the independant tracking of. Skaters outperform books lines on the whole but do have more variance where team shots and goalies are vastly outperforming the books lines. Per the independent tracking any edges in goalie saves are hitting at 59% but the larger the edge the higher the hit rate. 2 and 3 save edges are around 62% and 4+ save edges are at 81% for this season. Happy to share the full report!
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StatsOverScore
StatsOverScore@StatsOverScore·
Builds a sick NHL shots model… Tells the world how it’s wrong so let’s ignore it. Avs sitting on 33 shots trailing by 1 with 17 mins to go and MacKinnon has 6 shots. Next time someone tell me to trust my own data 🙃
StatsOverScore@StatsOverScore

Very perplexing projection over on statsoverscore.com today for Avalanche Shots. 37.3 with how they are playing seems ludicrous and I’m not buying it. Let’s talk about why it’s so high, and why I personally think my own projection is wrong…

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