Grein

This 1 hour Stanford lecture on "Sports betting math" by founder of $160M sports platform, reveal the math used by betting platforms to print millions on sports. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read post below.

Augusta National Chairman Fred Ridley says golf has become "one-dimensional." "Until recent years golf has been a game of imagination, creativity, and variety. The game has become much more one-dimensional." Great soundbite. It's also directly contradicted by the USGA's Distance Insights Project. Here's what their research actually found. Today's long hitters are good at everything. Report R56 measured how closely driving distance was linked to every other skill on Tour. Longer hitters have improved their approach play. They have improved their short game. They have improved their putting. R56's conclusion: "This can be interpreted as longer hitters becoming better at the non-driving distance parts of the game, while accurate hitters were becoming worse at the non-driving accuracy parts of the game." Read that again. The USGA concluded long hitters are becoming MORE well-rounded. The straight hitters are becoming LESS well-rounded. If anyone is getting more "one-dimensional," it's the shorter hitting accurate players, not the bombers. Report R14 (Mark Broadie) broke down what separates the top 40 players from the field: approach shots 36%, driving 32%, short game 17%, putting 14%. The single biggest contributor to elite scoring is still approach play. Non-driving skills account for 68% of the scoring advantage. R56 analyzed every tee shot on every par 4 and par 5 on the PGA TOUR over 15 seasons using Shotlink data. Driving distance explains 3% of scoring variance on a hole. Where your ball ends up (fairway, rough, bunker) explains 9% of scoring variance on a hole. Where you hit it matters three times more than how far you hit it. Ridley's claim "feels" right, but feelings aren't data. The USGA's research found that today's long hitters are more well-rounded than ever, approach play still matters more than driving, and distance explains 3% of scoring variance on a hole while where the ball ends up explains 9% of the scoring variance. The game hasn't become one-dimensional. The best players have added dimensions.

Finally got through this entire podcast… Here is the cliff notes version. Theo Von- “Let’s talk about the fact that we are funding a genocide, an unjust war, and our government is ran by jewish lunatics.” Rogan- “Nah man let’s talk about aliens, sex with robots, drugs, and vaccines.”

The older I get, the more I realize intelligence is overrated. Intelligent people are more likely to overthink, overplan, and overanalyze. They hide behind motion that doesn't create progress. They fear the judgment of others if they're proven wrong. The truth is that intelligence is abundant. Courage is not. The people you admire are the ones who had the courage to act. They aren’t more talented than you. They aren’t smarter than you. They just took action when you didn’t. I often wonder how many extraordinary people wasted their entire lives waiting for permission that never came. Permission isn't granted. It's taken. You get to tap yourself in whenever you want. You can just do things. Courage beats intelligence.

If you think you're retarded, just remember there are still Christians out there who believe the state of Israel is the Israel from the Bible.

CBS spent 10 minutes talking about Alvaro “punching” Condon But Chinyelu comes down and T’s off into the back of Jirak and not a peep Should’ve been Flagrant 1 and free throws

Tucker Carlson challenges The Economist’s editor-in-chief to define Israel’s “right to exist”

Let that sink in… Joe Kent goes onto Tucker, and all but explicitly says that he had evidence and investigatory leads pointing at Israel in the death of Charlie Kirk, and he was not allowed to investigate that. He is not some random dude on a podcast. He was the head of counter-terrorism for the USA, he sat in the best possible seat in the country for judging the credibility of evidence pertaining to foreign involvement in the death of Charlie Kirk. And his investigation was shut down immediately. By ’this FBI’. Somebody call an ambulance for the official narrative. What an interview.

@TourSwingsTommy Depends how far you hit it. If short hitter it’s so obviously driving distance but otherwise it’s definitely wedge play

Been thinking about what the highest ROI skills in golf are. - 6 footers? - Driving distance? - Wedge play? If you could devote 100 hours of practice to only one skill, which would net the greatest improvement to your index?

Sorry I had to come back to this, these highlights scream #1 lol Like you probably wouldn’t even question it in any other draft

2025 Caleb Wilson

I knew he was good and watched most of the games. But rewatching this tape is ridiculous 🤣🤣 One of the best you’ll see good lord

Wait a minute… They literally said we “completely obliterated” Iran’s nuclear capabilities last year lol.

Nick Fuentes posted this a month before the election Safe to say he’s the most vindicated man alive

Every March I find myself watching Caleb Love’s 2022 post season run.

Dang… Charlie just didn’t miss did he

Hello Goyim... I have released a 73 minute long documentary on New Jersey's Jewish Invasion.

Conspiracy theorists win again.

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn. So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works. Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it? Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them. For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information. Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible. Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

🚨 Tim Dillon suggests Erika was Charlie Kirk's handler "You try to zoom out and go, 'All right, tragic death on its face.' We see a furry, the furry's boyfriend. I think, okay, then we zoom out. We go, 'Wait, the wife's weird. Something up with the wife. The organization's weird. Something's up with them.' You know, three weeks after the guy's dead, she's out there with sparklers. You know, they're doing Circus Ole. Something's off. Something's weird. Now we find out like the wife is beyond weird. It's creepy. And there's a very good chance that this woman was his handler. He was this powerful young guy who raised a lot of money for a lot of people and took a lot of money from a lot of people and and money's never free. So you think about it, how do you how do you direct a guy like that who's incredibly important? He's running the largest young voter registration organization. He's handling large sums of money. He's out there sculpting narrative as it regards to domestic and foreign policy. So you have a handler who comes in."