Rand Group

What really happened to Crypto on 10/10? Wrong answers only

In 2006, AP English passages were written at a graduate reading level. By 2026 they've fallen to 4th grade. A clear controlled demolition of academic standards across an entire generation... Serious question: who benefits from making the "smart kid" test easier? 🤔

@aleabitoreddit The people who sold during the Iran dip will spend the rest of the year explaining why they were technically right to do it. Your 485% profit needs zero explaining to them, great call btw 👌

And a few months later... my $EWY leaps are now up 485%. From IV expansion and directional memory longs. Unfortunately I did see a lot of people sell during the Iran volatility, due to doomposting everywhere on X. But returns going long on the memory sector from Samsing SK Hynix / $MU have been absolutely disgusting to watch. If you can model Samsung / SK Hynix becoming the most profitable companies in the world in 2028... Maybe it's a good idea to just embrace the volatility and let that thesis play out.

@BRICSinfo We back here again

JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran plans to block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait after ending negotiations with the US.

@AshCrypto The feeling right now

The US and Iran literally kicked off the month by nuking my bags!

@WatcherGuru Fear & Greed Index right now

JUST IN: Bitcoin falls under $71,000

@Kalshi_Finance Bullish momentum in times of war

BREAKING: Our traders forecast the S&P 500 will hit 8,050 this year

@aleabitoreddit Ignore the FUDsters, conviction wins here

There's a new $SIVE short seller with 0 clue what they're talking about. 1. $MRVL Celestial is likely buying lasers directly with $SIVE as the laser supplier, not through $POET. As they've been identified as a likely direct customer since 2023. An analogy is if O-Net / Enablence / Sivers, and O-Net worked directly with $SIVE (which they have) but vertically integrated away Enablence. They're still likely buying $SIVE lasers. 2. $SIVE is clearly the likely $AAPL supplier for lasers. I use the term likely, because although markets are 99% sure, the BOM is confidential. The short seller is claiming it's TASC, which I've already identified multiple times as an Apple supplier. But falsely they're conflating two different generations of Apple Watches with photodiodes and lasers for glucose monitoring to say $SIVE is not a supplier. 3. US NASDAQ listing is likely incoming soon after the new board meeting and shareholder vote. Upgrading accounting standards and having immaterial changes doesn't mean anything. 4. Ayar labs hasn't scaled up yet. Ayar specifically listed $SIVE as their primary laser supplier in their website. With their executives going out on statement that they couldn't built their products without $SIVE lasers. Claiming $SIVE isn't shipping volume to Ayar when their CPO products haven't ramped is stupid. 5. There's zero leak around news for listing. Hilarious coincidence and management has always been pursuing NASDAQ listing since last year. Short sellers keep repeating this disinformation to try and profit. 6. I've never seen such hilarious BS around Win Semi volume scaling. High confidence in SpaceX and $AVGO supply chain critical foundry. 7. Using arguments from authority saying they know an engineer and then having them confusing architectural differences between $LITE / $COHR and $SIVE is hilarious. Regardless -distorting financial statements -conflating different gen architectures and timeline NRE - reiterating false accusations to profit off short term sentiment is likely going to see them turn into a long as CPO/Jabil partnerships volume ramp.

@aleabitoreddit $IQE showing sold growth & well placed here with rumors that they dont intend doing any more fundraising for at least another 24 months, unless fuelled by major growth expansion.

A special thank you to the only European stock green today: $IQE. Up to $54, from when I went long at $12-13, 4 months ago. Unfortunately lot of volatility with the other ones from $LPK, $SOI, $XFAB, and $ALRIB.

@Kalshi_Crypto They know whats coming x.com/randgroup/stat…

JUST IN: Bitwise buys $25M worth of Hyperliquid in the past 12 hours

@richardseiler Might have to revise that to June

Sell in May is the most expensive cliche in markets The data shows annual highs cluster heavily in Q4 and Q1, almost never in the months retail is told to exit The seasonality everyone repeats out loud is the one professionals quietly fade every cycle

@KobeissiLetter Thats insane growth

BREAKING: Micron, $MU, extends gains to rise above $1,000/share for the first time in history, now worth nearly $1.2 trillion. This stock was worth $60 billion just 13 months ago.

@DryNavigator Supply vs. demand... simple maths

@randgroup Analysts are forecasting a copper deficit of 150,000 tonnes for 2026!

Copper just hit all time highs and almost nobody in your timeline is talking about it because it's not a tech stock with a ticker and a subreddit. Meanwhile every single AI data center, EV, wind turbine, and power grid upgrade on earth needs more of it than we can currently dig out of the ground. Don't sleep on it!

@MrPicule By the time the supply crunch is headline news, the easy money is already made. The window is open now, not then ✌️

@randgroup Real alpha is offline physical commodities. Time to stack those bags before the supply crunch

@_CryptoZee Its happening

@randgroup essential resource shift 🌍

@Santo88226828 50,000 tons per data center, hundreds under construction simultaneously, a 30% supply deficit projected by 2035 & Goldman targeting $15k per ton. Is it making sense yet?

@randgroup One hyperscale AI data center needs up to 50k tons of copper. There are hundreds being built right now. Goldman sees $15k per ton by 2035 and JPMorgan is already calling for $12,500 next quarter. The supply deficit could hit 30% by 2035. Nobody is positioned for this.

@TheChickenLens The physical world is repricing in real time. Copper doesn't lie about demand the way financial markets can. All time highs mean the real economy is running hot regardless of what the narrative says.

@randgroup One number buried in this. Copper is the dominant input to the physical-side read — heavier weight than any other single industrial commodity. Physical system already running above the financial channel. ATH copper is part of what's holding that gap open. Not a tech story.

@Mojid234 Three major commodities hitting all time highs at the same time isn't coincidence, it's the physical world demanding a revaluation

@randgroup Gold, silver, and copper all hitting all time highs simultaneously. That last happened in 1980. Either the inflation trade is back or the physical world is getting repriced against the digital one.

@AmalieXBT A decade to permit, build & ramp a new mine. The demand curve doesn't wait a decade. That gap is the trade.

@randgroup Supply side is the actual story here. Grasberg mine still not fully back, and new projects take a decade to come online.

@OladoyeJ759334 The commodity nobody is talking about is sitting at the intersection of every major infrastructure theme of the next decade

@randgroup Copper is the new oil, but the market hasn’t noticed yet⚡️