Ninety three today. I'm not about to start tweeting again, but look forward to the fascinating politics of the coming year.
English
Sir David Butler
83 posts
Sir David Butler
@SirDavidButler
Veteran psephologist. BBC Election Night broadcaster 1950 - 1979, then radio and press to 2010. Pioneer of swingometer and swing theory. Author of 30+ books.
Oxford, England शामिल हुए Mayıs 2017
75 फ़ॉलोइंग10.5K फ़ॉलोवर्स
Learning to tweet at 92 has been fun. But my musings should now be confined to elections, so I am signing off . . . until next year?
English
I have enjoyed my flirtation with Tweeting – and thank you for all the feedback. It’s wonderful to rediscover one is never too old to learn.
English
Parliament emerges "weak and unstable" after the snap election.
English
Unlike 74 though, this time the Opposition will probably want a new vote.
English
Wilson ran a minority govt for 8 months in 74. It's hard to see a May govt lasting any longer now.
English
Significantly more variation in swing this time both by region and amount than in any post-war election.
English
Sir David Butler रीट्वीट किया
**In the betting markets Jeremy Corbyn is now favourite to be the next Prime Minister of Britain**
English
@stephenkb @patrickkmaguire Hasn't one already gone to an Independent?
English
15 Seats declared. Still none changed hands. Unusual. Can't last of course.
English
No one yet pledging to eat their hat on the back of the exit poll.
English
Higher youth turnout in Sunderland may hint at explaining Labour strength generally.
English
Exit polls do not take in the last hour or more of real voting.
English
Health warning about TV exit poll: 2015 and 92 both underestimated Conservative support
English
If net poll forecasts of a 7-8% Tory lead are accurate, one would certainly expect an increased majority
English
If there's an overall swing towards the Conservatives, their victory becomes v probable.
English
The first 10 seats called usually give an accurate steer to the final outcome.
English
Rain can play a part - but it’s small. Lab voters go to polls later, so evening showers potentially hurt Lab more.
English
The polls have moved a great deal over the past two weeks. When people ask me for a prediction, I have to say I know that I don’t know.
English