James Harris
13.7K posts

James Harris
@WormsofWrath
All-American Renaissance Man, author The Physics of Paradox Null, writer and composer of musical play Seeking Liberty





















🚨 "If scientists can't predict the weather next month, how can they predict climate change?" Because weather and climate are different questions. Weather asks: 👉 Will it rain in San Antonio on June 10? Climate asks: 👉 What happens to the atmosphere when we keep adding greenhouse gases for decades? Weather is chaotic. Tiny differences today can change the exact forecast two weeks from now. Climate is statistical. We don't need to know the weather on a specific Tuesday in 2050 to know what happens when billions of tons of CO₂ trap more heat in the system. In fact, the same physics, thermodynamics, fluid dynamics, and atmospheric equations used to produce the weather forecast you trust before a flight are used in climate models. And those weather forecasts work remarkably well: • 5-day forecasts are about 90% accurate. • 7-day forecasts are about 80% accurate. • Today's 4-day forecasts are roughly as good as 1-day forecasts were 30 years ago. The real irony? People trust weather models enough to cancel flights, evacuate hurricanes, protect crops, and prepare for floods. Then some of those same people turn around and call the exact same physics a "hoax" when it predicts long-term warming. That's not skepticism. That's selective disbelief.






@medialens Turns out the climate has been changing a wee bit longer than the instrumental record.



















