
THE END OF BITCOIN & ALL CRYPTO: 2030
I recently published here an article about the upcoming end to all crypto caused by quantum computing. I suggested a date range between 2029 and 2035.
The reason: quantum computers can break within a very short time the current encryption standard which is entirely based on the Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC), a modern public-key cryptography approach based on the algebraic structure of elliptic curves over finite fields. It would mean the end of all crypto and all electronic bank transactions among other.
No one has moved to post quantum-computing encryption (PQC). The complacence is mind-boggling and raises serious concerns
I estimate that an array of 450,000 Qubits is needed to break traditional ECC encryption within 4 minutes.
The year 2019 saw quantum computer arrays of a few Qubits. In 2024 it was already 6500 Qubits, in 2025 it was more than 24,000 Qubits. The extrapolation of this exponential increase points to 2030 as the defining year where we will have – at the latest – a fully working quantum computer capable of taking down entire countries within minutes. While past devices have operated in the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) regime, enormous progress in qubit coherence, gate fidelity, and scalable architectures has been made.
The US military has set a deadline of 2035 for a full transition to post quantum-computing encryption (PQC). That timeline seems way too late. The world’s militaries face a daunting task: change to PQC or be annihilated. Everything from nuclear missiles to radar stations has to be re-programmed. The work at hand is gigantic.
Civil infrastructure is in an identical situation: everything from powerplants to computer networks to railways, you name it, needs to be re-programmed to PQC standards.
The strategy by decision makers and leaders so far seems to be to hope that quantum computers will never see the light of day. That is an erroneous assumption. Enormous progress has been made regarding the stabilization of Qubits and reliable processing results.
From my own work in the field I can only say that quantum computers will definitely arrive – soon.
I am also convinced that the arrival of quantum computers will mean the end of most wars. Why make costly interventions with missiles, fighter jets and bombs when a few strokes on the keyboard can take down an entire country within minutes? Very few nations, possibly up to 3 only, will have quantum computers. The geopolitical power map will be dramatically different from today.

English














