The Eurovision Square

If you saw $23 sitting on the ground… would you not pick it up?

Someone on Polymarket is so sure that Finland will not win Eurovision they are putting down over $140,000 against anyone willing to match it.

Started backing 🇱🇺 Luxembourg NQ. Very competitive SF with a stacked 2nd half. I expect them to finish below every song from the 2nd half. I don't see the appeal for it. Forgettable song & shaky vocals.

I think 🇫🇮 is heading for a landslide victory. 2.70 For the win doesn't sound appealing 2 months before the final but it's probably fair value. I also think they should be the favorite to win the juries.

@BetfairExchange Thank you @BetfairExchange 🙏Can you also add Semi Final markets?

Hey @BetfairExchange can you please start adding more Eurovision markets? Specifically Semi Finals & Top 10, Top 15

Prediction markets have changed the landscape for ESC. The winner market on Polymarket already has 15M vol. with Betfair sitting at less than 500k. Most NF's had no action at all including big NFs from previous years like 🇮🇹🇸🇪🇫🇮 whilst doing hundreds of thousands in volume on PM.

So many jury baits this season 🇮🇱 might achieve their long 3-year dream of very organically winning Eurovision.

I started laying Australia around 10. I hope the delusion keeps up for some time so I can keep adding. This is literally never winning.

Jonas was a very deserving winner in MGP. The live won me over. Norway will do very well in May. A very authentic high quality rock song with great vocals. Casuals will love this. Ignore everything the fandom has to say for the next two months.

Mileo seems like such a no-brainer choice for 🇳🇴. But so did Noep 🇪🇪 & Kautkaili 🇱🇻. NF's are a weird beast. It's as if some countries are competing with each other to send the least competitive song to esc. Small bet on Mileo to win MGP @ 9

Early days but Søren is in pole position to win the Juries. Let's go Denmark

@Daniel81651727 @TheEuroJury We'll never know

@EscSquare @TheEuroJury I wonder how the results here would had looked here if this was planned ahead

One of the main reasons this year felt unpredictable is because @TheEuroJury did not happen. Every expert had to come up with their own original takes instead of parroting the EJ results as their own.

My worst takes of the season. - Thinking🇸🇪had it in the bag up until SF2. - Was convinced🇨🇭would've won over the public. - Getting on the🇧🇪hype train right before derailment. - 🇨🇿winning Jury. I guess we'll NEVER know. - Was unthinkable that a song with a giant blender would NQ.

@dolphin_dane Not extreme enough. - Ban online voting. VPN's & Credit cards are the easiest thing to rig. - Phone only voting. - 2 Votes only per sim. 1 During the live show, 1 after. - Get rid of ROTW. It was a good idea but it didn't work.

Two needed changes to reduce political televoting -Only open voting after all songs are performed. You shouldn’t be able to vote 21:15 and go to bed without watching the show -Only allow a max of 5 votes to be given to a single country. Then you can remove the overall limit of 20

@ChrisWh08370492 @toliskouts86 Not this analyst x.com/EscSquare/stat…

@toliskouts86 Wasn't just the fandom - most of the more established analysts had 🇮🇹 outside their T10.

🇮🇹 TV > 🇫🇷 TV is my controversial take of the year and I think 🇮🇹 are value for top big 5. 🇩🇪 still hanging in there as well making the 🇫🇷 lay very attractive #Eurovision2025

@eurovisionbets 🙋🏻

And those who had Austria 5th in the SF and Latvia 2nd, raise your hands... #Eurovision #Eurovision2025

Imagine laying the Latvian Queens to NQ at these odds.

Had my 2nd winningest Eurovision in 12 years. Less 4% of that profit was in the Winner's market. You also don't need to have a strong opinion on every song to make a profit. You find the ones were you feel strongly about and bet strongly.