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One of the paradoxes of bear markets -
people become disinterested in the market, at the precise point where they should be watching it most keenly,
just when opportunities quietly emerge.
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Rishabh | Compounding Alpha
3.4K posts
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha
@RGxAlpha
📈 Value Investor & Derivatives Trader — Stocks • ETFs • Indices • Commodities • IPOs 💰 Personal Finance 📊 Market Data & Insights
Delhi, India Bergabung Mart 2016
641 Mengikuti830 Pengikut
@mataramgaonwal @InvestorOfJAMMU Next time please do a simple google search
Quarterly profit is $40 Billion, which is expected to close at $250 Billion as per the management guidance
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@RGxAlpha @InvestorOfJAMMU Samsung ka annual net profit historically $20-30 Billion ke around rehta hai
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The EPS of Korean companies growing at 200% CAGR, specially in FY26.
The PE of Kospi is still in single digits despite 3x return.
They are real VishabhGuru.
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@SarangSood Dream day for trend followers -
PEs went almost 20x from opening lows
x.com/RGxAlpha/statu…
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha@RGxAlpha
Nifty Expiry - Nifty one sided fall of 400 points after opening gap down 100 points 💥 Straddle was 130 in morning IVs were sticky, good CE side skew throughout the day OTM PEs rallied good 20x from opening lows - 🚀 10 to 180 4 to 90 💥 3pm move triggered CTM PEs blasting 10-20x in 20 minutes - 💥 10 to 80 2 to 40 💥💥
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Tbs & trend following systems today:
Market is kind. God is Great.
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India cannot keep celebrating narratives while ignoring market signals :
-> Weak index performance compared to peers
-> Continuous FIIs outflows
-> Currency depreciating
-> Slowing private capex
-> Consumption stress in several sectors
If India is truly the standout growth story, then policymakers should also introspect on why capital is not rewarding that narrative proportionately.
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One of the worst performing indices in the world over the last 2 years.
One of the worst performing currencies in the world over the last 2 years.
The world is moving ahead, India is being left behind. Forget fresh foreign inflows, over ₹10 lakh crore has already been sold in the last 3 years.
If we are supposedly the best, then why do the numbers say the exact opposite?
Why not bring active changes in policies?
You don’t get answers until you start asking questions.
Stop worshipping, Start questioning, At the end of the day, a country’s progress matters more than political progress.
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Nifty Expiry -
Nifty one sided fall of 400 points after opening gap down 100 points 💥
Straddle was 130 in morning
IVs were sticky, good CE side skew throughout the day
OTM PEs rallied good 20x from opening lows - 🚀
10 to 180
4 to 90 💥
3pm move triggered CTM PEs blasting 10-20x in 20 minutes - 💥
10 to 80
2 to 40 💥💥
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@AryamanBharat You call your family that dabbu thing not me!
You have a name I have a name so just don’t BS here.
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@AryamanBharat Disagree all you want, but there’s no need for such harsh language.
A strong argument should be able to stand on facts alone.
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Who will tell these dabbus that the massive capex in OIL and Renewables and Nuclear is happening via these so called profits only??
How else would you fund that capex??
Kaam na kaaj ke, dushman anaj ke.
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha@RGxAlpha
@REDBOXINDIA Crude prices were falling since last 4 years (almost 50%), why didn't you reduced the price of petrol diesel during that? OMCs (Indian oil, HP, BP) had made massive profits during that period. Now when it starts to pinch them a little, they can't bear it
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Then retain the earnings for CAPEX na?
Why were record profits continuously extracted via dividends ?
Consumers didn’t get cheaper fuel, and OMCs also didn’t retain most of the windfall cash flows for balance sheet expansion.
So please stop pretending this was just about CAPEX funding.
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@WeekendInvestng Let's see how many days it takes to fill,
the market breadth is super weak since 2 days (No Strong demand coming from the buyers)
x.com/RGxAlpha/statu…
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha@RGxAlpha
Looks like the break away gap is getting filled in both Nifty and BankNifty
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Nifty50 is now down -1000 points (4%) in just 4 days 💥🔻
PM Modi's speech created unwanted panic among the Investors related to economy's health
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@REDBOXINDIA Crude prices were falling since last 4 years (almost 50%), why didn't you reduced the price of petrol diesel during that?
OMCs (Indian oil, HP, BP) had made massive profits during that period. Now when it starts to pinch them a little, they can't bear it
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OIL MINISTER SAYS WE HAVENT RAISED PRICE IN 4 YEARS
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@sandipsabharwal The price hike for petrol and diesel is coming very soon, the government can’t fund this forever
The Top 3 OMCs (IOCL, BPCL and HPCL) will lose the entire last years FY26 profit in just 1st Quarter of FY27
x.com/RGxAlpha/statu…
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha@RGxAlpha
Let’s consider the top 3 OMCs (Oil Marketing Companies) - IOCL, HPCL, BPCL Their FY26 profits were - IOCL = ₹40K cr BPCL = ₹25K cr HPCL = ₹15K cr The sources are saying that the combined loss would be around ₹80K cr for just these 3 companies in just 1 Quarter - that is around loss of ₹1000 crore every day And remember this is when Crude Oil is at $100, what if Crude Oil reaches near $120-150?
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Wasn't it this government which scuttled one of the best reforms i.e. Free Pricing of Fuel
The UPA government had got trapped in the same maze and then we saw the Oil Bonds game.
Now the government enjoyed for 2-3 years when crude prices were down and fuel prices were not reduced. I am sure they can take a hit for the public for atleast size months.
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@InvestorOfJAMMU The price hike for petrol and diesel is coming very soon, the government can’t fund this forever
IOCL, BPCL and HPCL will lose the entire last years FY26 profit in just 1 Quarter of FY27
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha@RGxAlpha
Let’s consider the top 3 OMCs (Oil Marketing Companies) - IOCL, HPCL, BPCL Their FY26 profits were - IOCL = ₹40K cr BPCL = ₹25K cr HPCL = ₹15K cr The sources are saying that the combined loss would be around ₹80K cr for just these 3 companies in just 1 Quarter - that is around loss of ₹1000 crore every day And remember this is when Crude Oil is at $100, what if Crude Oil reaches near $120-150?
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Oil Marketing Companies losing 1000 Crores a day.
And losing 1 Lakh Crore every Quarter🤒🥵
Are you helping nation by using less fuel??
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@Rakesh_KA23 There is still that terminal risk due to AI, and entire business model is getting disrupted
But the valuations are extremely good now,
Who could have thought we would ever see TCS and Infosys at 15x PE
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Nifty IT is now down 40% from ATH 🔻
Almost every stock in Nifty IT Index is down 40-50%
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@tushar9590 Oil prices are going to increase for sure and by a decent 20-30%
OMCs are losing almost ₹1-2K cr every day currently, and if Crude oil prices does not fall, there is more pain ahead
x.com/RGxAlpha/statu…
Rishabh | Compounding Alpha@RGxAlpha
Let’s consider the top 3 OMCs (Oil Marketing Companies) - IOCL, HPCL, BPCL Their FY26 profits were - IOCL = ₹40K cr BPCL = ₹25K cr HPCL = ₹15K cr The sources are saying that the combined loss would be around ₹80K cr for just these 3 companies in just 1 Quarter - that is around loss of ₹1000 crore every day And remember this is when Crude Oil is at $100, what if Crude Oil reaches near $120-150?
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Looks like the break away gap is getting filled in both Nifty and BankNifty
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Indian investors lose lakhs and crores of rupees as the bloodbath in market continues because of rising crude and weakening INR.
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A State Bank of India ATM turns into a hair salon in Patna. 🙏
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@WeekendInvestng I think instead of fighting demand, Government should focus on monetizing that gold which is sitting idle in lockers.
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Besides these official appeals in 1967/2013/2026 there have been several instances of trying to curb gold imports.
Gold Control Rules 1963
Gold Control Act 1968
Gold Deposit Scheme 1999
Gold Bonds 1962 1965 1980
Gold Bonds (Immunities and Exemptions) Act, 1993
Gold Deposit Scheme 1999
Gold Monetization Schemes 2015
Sov Gold Bond 2016
Nothing can really curb Indias love for Gold. Hence the Govt should create a thriving Spot Market and lending mechanism in the country itself to galvanize the holdings.
Alok Jain ⚡@WeekendInvestng
Got a whatsapp fwd. If true it is amazing that we are dealing with the same problem nearly 80 yrs later as well 🥲
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