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niveshak

@Sandeepnirvan

Speaks on 'What should U avoid while investing | IIM-Ahmedabad | Investment Advisor (AFP) | NISM- Research Analyst| MF, Stocks and Market Outlook| Xpertvoice

Ahmedabad Bergabung Haziran 2016
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐Ÿง  ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐—ง๐—ฅ๐—จ๐—ง๐—› ๐—”๐—•๐—ข๐—จ๐—ง ๐—ฆ๐— ๐—”๐—Ÿ๐—Ÿ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ ๐—œ๐—ก๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—œ๐—ก๐—š ๐—ก๐—ข ๐—ข๐—ก๐—˜ ๐—ง๐—˜๐—Ÿ๐—Ÿ๐—ฆ ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ This is the chart of the Nifty Smallcap Index. From January 2008 to March 2009, the Indian market witnessed a major, full-fledged bull run across all sectors and indices. > The Smallcap Index made its era high of 6060+ in the first week of March 2008. > It was the euphoric phase of the market. > I remember many domestic and global analysts and brokerage houses giving big upside targets. But a bubble with over valuations canโ€™t sustain for too long. > Along with the broad-based market, the Smallcap Index also crashed badly. > It fell sharply over the next 13 months and made a low of 1350. > This was a fall of 4710 points โ€” a 78% crash from peak levels. > The NAV of many smallcap-focused funds crashed to one-third, and panic was clearly visible among investors. ๐Ÿ’ก Before delivering good returns, the Smallcap Index will test your patience by showing big drawdowns in your portfolio. > I personally visited many investors and advised them not to press the sell button ๐Ÿ”˜. > Instead, I told them to accumulate more at those pessimistic levels. > Within the next 20 months, the Smallcap Index made a high of 4550+ levels. > Thatโ€™s a 237% return in just 20 months. ๐Ÿ‘‰ So, investing in smallcap funds is not easy โ€” it comes with huge risk and volatility. Do you still hold your smallcap fund? ๐˜ผ๐™ง๐™š ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช ๐™ง๐™š๐™–๐™™๐™ฎ ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง ๐™– ๐™—๐™ช๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™ž๐™™๐™š?
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
These pages of the book are sending chills down my spine. A long phase of muted returns? Are we heading to a scenario like Japan ๐Ÿ—พ? 35 Year with no returns? Falling number of consumers (population)!!
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Neil Borate@ActusDei

Almost a decade after Coffee Can Investing, Saurabh Mukherjea says the idea is dead. Consumption has crawled. Those fabled moated compounders aren't compounding. And India, he warns, is heading for a 1991-style crisis. Here's what he told us at a @thefynprint event. ๐Ÿงต

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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
During the Harshad Mehta bull run, we made 30 crores from just 12 lakh rupees of investment. Bull run used to be fierce and price can move anywhere within a small time frame. Image: Master class with super investors (Raamdeo Agarwal, MOSL)
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
I don't know how many will agree, "Along with continued SIP, in such a cheap and lower-valued market, there should be a concept of SSP in an overvalued market." Tell me honestlyโ€”who told this to their investors in the last 12 months?
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
We have seen a lot of geopolitical events But the positive side of these uncertainty and Tariff is that: ๐Ÿ”ธIndia completed very important deals like UK FTA and EU FTA. ๐Ÿ”ธRBI pumping 10 lakh crore of liquidity. ๐Ÿ”ธInterest rates also coming down. Source: Sunil Singhania Abakkus Asset Manager Pvt Ltd
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
5 years from now, people will say โ€” โ€œI wish I had bought more.โ€ But today, theyโ€™re waiting for the settling of the marketโ€” A perfect bottom. It doesnโ€™t exist. Start with a small amount . Keep pouring consistently. ๐Ÿ’ก Accumulate quality when itโ€™s ignored. ๐Ÿ‘‰Catching the bottom is a myth. ๐Ÿง  Catching the upside is a decision. Be early, not perfect. #Investing #StockMarket #stockmarketeducation
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
We all get swayed by news, information and analysis. Too much analysis leads to paralysis. India got independence in 1947. It took us 60 years to reach the $1 Trillion economy in 2007. Then $ 2 trillion tool 9 years and another one more took 8 years. After 78 years we are $4 Trillion economy. ๐Ÿ‘‰ No single event can make it good or bad for the economy. So I will rather say, "Do nothing" Sunil Singhania, Abakkus Asset Manager LLP Source: Outlook Money
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
Ten timeless investing rules of Bob Farrell
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป โ€” ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—•๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฟ 2008โ€“09: Markets crashed and bottomed out in ~10 months, followed by nearly 12 months of consolidation. 2020โ€“21: The crash bottomed in just 5 months, with another 5โ€“6 months of time correction. 2024โ€“26 (Current Phase): The Nifty peaked in September 2024 and corrected ~16% over the next 5 months (till Feb 2025). Then came a trigger โ€” RBI rate cuts. Banking stocks rallied, leading the index to fresh highs by November 2025. Despite new highs, retail investors and DIIs kept absorbing FII selling. Within 45 days, the Nifty scaled a new ATH of 26,373. ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒโ€™๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘‡ The correction didnโ€™t start now. It actually began in September 2024 itself, rotating across sectors: ๐—ฃ๐—ฆ๐—จ โ†’ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป โ†’ ๐—œ๐—ง โ†’ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜€ โ†’ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ-๐—•๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ This is a classic sectoral-to-broad correction cycle. ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„? ~18 months of combined price + time correction already done During the recent Iran tension-led fall, Nifty held Feb 2025 lows and bounced Most Nifty stocks are now trading near or below their 10-year average valuations So, the Nifty index is currently near its price bottom; however, a time correction may still continue.
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Steve Hanke
Steve Hanke@steve_hankeยท
#IndiaWatch๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is stepping in to try to slow the rupeeโ€™s slide. By restricting derivatives and other tools traders use to SHORT the rupee, the RBI is trying to suppress bets AGAINST the currency. THE RBI'S ENGAGED IN A FUTILE EXERCISE.
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฌ๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐Œ๐ž๐š๐ง ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง. What goes up faster than average speed will eventually come back to its median. The same applies on the downside also. What falls rapidly will return to the median range. ๐๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐ž๐ง๐ญ. Those who made wrong decisions when indices were stretched above their median range should avoid making the same mistake in the downside phase. Timing the market is impossible for anyone, but keeping pace with the "Average" is always possible. Image credit: DSP Mutual Fund NETRA
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ ๐—›๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—›๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€: ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜ Weak players come to the market with greed. Their greed laced buying slows down the overloaded bullock cart. Then market make an adjustment by make a big crash. Now these weak players make a panic quit. They sell their shares to strong players. Now it's time for a much faster pace of Marketโ€” as the Bull cart is lighter now. Note: This video is downloadable
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐—ฅ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ž๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—›๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† Out of 386 companies that launched IPOs since 2020, 57% of stocks are currently trading below their issue price. A few stocks are down due to the recent market correction. Even HDFC Bank has delivered just ~1% CAGR over the last five years. ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜. If you are skilled at stock pickingโ€”able to analyze balance sheets, identify moats, and value businesses correctlyโ€”then direct investing can work for you. But donโ€™t assume itโ€™s easy. > Stock picking isnโ€™t just about knowledge; itโ€™s also about investment behavior. > So let me come to the point: Picking individual stocks involves: ๐Ÿ”ธSingle-company risk ๐Ÿ”ธBusiness risk ๐Ÿ”ธBias toward a particular brand So whatโ€™s the solution? > One can consider ETFs, index funds, or cost-effective Smallcases. > With continuous inflows and periodic portfolio rebalancing, many of the above risks can be mitigated. Disc- ETFs, index funds, and Small case also carry risksโ€”but they are far more diversified than individual stocks.
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
niveshak@Sandeepnirvan

๐—”๐—ณ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€, ๐—œ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑโ€ฆ ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—œ๐˜ ๐——๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ปโ€™๐˜ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ Surprisingly, Today I completed my 21st year in the market. Seen many days where markets moved 5%+ in a blink โ€” like during the Global Financial Crisis, when panic became the norm. Seen multiple 10%+ corrections, whether it was the taper tantrum in 2013 or sudden global shocks. Seen brutal 20%+ bear phases โ€” like the crash during the COVID-19 market crash, where fear peaked and liquidity vanished. Seen two full, long, and disastrous crashes: ๐Ÿ‘‰ 2008 Global Meltdown ๐Ÿ‘‰ 2020 Pandemic Crash Also witnessed: โœ”๏ธ Sharp 10% rallies that came out of nowhere โœ”๏ธ Massive 20%+ bull runs fueled by liquidity โœ”๏ธ Two clear, long bull markets โ€” post-2009 recovery and post-2020 stimulus rally But hereโ€™s the real truth ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ”นEvery bear phase felt like the end of markets ๐Ÿ”นEvery bull phase felt like easy money forever ๐Ÿ‘‰ In 2008, people believed equity was dead ๐Ÿ‘‰ In 2020, people thought the world itself might stop ๐Ÿ‘‰ In 2021โ€“24, people believed stocks only go up And yetโ€ฆ Markets didnโ€™t follow emotions. They followed liquidity, earnings, and time. On top of that, all these crashes, bull phases, and rallies in the indices seem meaningless. ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐—œ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜€๐—ผ? Because retail investors rarely benefit from these moves in the market. Such investors are always lagging behind due to: ๐Ÿ”ธ Lack of understanding ๐Ÿ”ธ Emotional biases towards the market ๐Ÿ”ธ Excess noise, which keeps them out ๐Ÿ”ธ FOMO, which compels them to buy at higher levels ๐Ÿ”ธ Loss aversion, which stops them from selling losing bets Markets change cycles โ€” they go up, go down, and sometimes remain in consolidation. I believe nothing matters more than the behaviour of investors. I have seen many investors with strong conviction in their stocks or ETF portfolios. They make good money even in sideways or flat markets. There are also instances where investors make no money โ€” or even lose โ€” during bull phases too. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ. ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด. ๐Ÿ’กIn the end, itโ€™s not about timing the market โ€” itโ€™s about understanding it, and survive with discipline. ๐˜ฝ๐™š๐™˜๐™–๐™ช๐™จ๐™š ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™™๐™ค๐™ฃโ€™๐™ฉ ๐™ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™™๐™š๐™œ๐™ง๐™š๐™š๐™จ, ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ง๐™™ ๐™—๐™š๐™๐™–๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š.

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Latha Venkatesh
Latha Venkatesh@latha_venkateshยท
You are mistaken if you think RBI Guv Sanjay Malhotra is not trained in economics. He completed a Masters in Public Policy from Princeton University, with a specialization in Economics and Monetary Policy.He was taught among others by Alan Blinder, as you know, a renowned economist and former Vice-Chair of the Fed
Latha Venkatesh@latha_venkatesh

You are mistaken if you think RBI Guv Sanjay Malhotra is not trained in economics. He completed a Masters in Public Policy from Princeton University, with a specialization in Economic and Monetary Policy.He was taught among others by Alan Blinder, a renowned economist and former Vice-Chair of the Fed

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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐—”๐—ณ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€, ๐—œ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑโ€ฆ ๐— ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—œ๐˜ ๐——๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ปโ€™๐˜ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ Surprisingly, Today I completed my 21st year in the market. Seen many days where markets moved 5%+ in a blink โ€” like during the Global Financial Crisis, when panic became the norm. Seen multiple 10%+ corrections, whether it was the taper tantrum in 2013 or sudden global shocks. Seen brutal 20%+ bear phases โ€” like the crash during the COVID-19 market crash, where fear peaked and liquidity vanished. Seen two full, long, and disastrous crashes: ๐Ÿ‘‰ 2008 Global Meltdown ๐Ÿ‘‰ 2020 Pandemic Crash Also witnessed: โœ”๏ธ Sharp 10% rallies that came out of nowhere โœ”๏ธ Massive 20%+ bull runs fueled by liquidity โœ”๏ธ Two clear, long bull markets โ€” post-2009 recovery and post-2020 stimulus rally But hereโ€™s the real truth ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ”นEvery bear phase felt like the end of markets ๐Ÿ”นEvery bull phase felt like easy money forever ๐Ÿ‘‰ In 2008, people believed equity was dead ๐Ÿ‘‰ In 2020, people thought the world itself might stop ๐Ÿ‘‰ In 2021โ€“24, people believed stocks only go up And yetโ€ฆ Markets didnโ€™t follow emotions. They followed liquidity, earnings, and time. On top of that, all these crashes, bull phases, and rallies in the indices seem meaningless. ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐—œ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜€๐—ผ? Because retail investors rarely benefit from these moves in the market. Such investors are always lagging behind due to: ๐Ÿ”ธ Lack of understanding ๐Ÿ”ธ Emotional biases towards the market ๐Ÿ”ธ Excess noise, which keeps them out ๐Ÿ”ธ FOMO, which compels them to buy at higher levels ๐Ÿ”ธ Loss aversion, which stops them from selling losing bets Markets change cycles โ€” they go up, go down, and sometimes remain in consolidation. I believe nothing matters more than the behaviour of investors. I have seen many investors with strong conviction in their stocks or ETF portfolios. They make good money even in sideways or flat markets. There are also instances where investors make no money โ€” or even lose โ€” during bull phases too. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฏโ€™๐˜ต ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ. ๐˜๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด. ๐Ÿ’กIn the end, itโ€™s not about timing the market โ€” itโ€™s about understanding it, and survive with discipline. ๐˜ฝ๐™š๐™˜๐™–๐™ช๐™จ๐™š ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐™™๐™ค๐™ฃโ€™๐™ฉ ๐™ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™™๐™š๐™œ๐™ง๐™š๐™š๐™จ, ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ง๐™™ ๐™—๐™š๐™๐™–๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š.
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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
Good to see you are back @Akshatinvest
Akshat Shrivastava@Akshat_World

1) Invest for long-term. This takes care of "time in the market" 2) Invest more when valuations are fair (eg. now). This takes care of "timing the market" 3) If your portfolio has high Beta, you need to keep cash on the sideline to manage risk 4) Point #3 is especially relevant if you can't hedge using options 5) It also makes sense to "sell" put options on high quality stocks (that you wish to own). These are called as cash secured puts If they get assigned you are lowering your cost of acquisition. If these don't get assigned, you are again lowering your cost basis on existing stocks Either way you are fine. 6) Who does all this? Almost every single big ticket investor, hedge funds, PE funds etc. Who keeps investing at whatever levels? People who don't know point 1 to 6. And, are too lazy to learn anything new. Investing for long-term is NOT: closing your eyes and buying at whatever levels religiously. It is not "discipline", it is marketing.

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niveshak
niveshak@Sandeepnirvanยท
๐Ÿ”ฅ 10-Year Bond Yield: 7.11% ๐Ÿ‘Ž SBI's FD Rate: 7.05% Let that sink in.
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